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Published byDominick Black Modified over 8 years ago
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Need to Reexamine Key Activity/EF Assumptions Employed in Base Year Inventory What information is available to suggest alternate values Does the use of those values lead a fundamental change in the source apportionment? Need to test impact on inventory/source apportionment so (a) SIP modeling can proceed and (b) guidance can be provided to Assembly on source significance/control measure options
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Space Heating – Residential Square feet of space to be heated – no alternative to tax records EF’s – OMNI provides alternative values to test (e.g., lower certified/uncertified wood stove values, etc.) relative to AP-42 values Adjustment for cold vs. hot-to-hot OMNI tests Fuel use as function of ambient temperature – home measurements versus degree day/unit efficiency Zip code fuel split – 2008 versus 2010 survey data Wood moisture – 2010 moisture survey versus 2011 home heating instrumentation Vacancy rate fuel use – should decision to not use wood be reconsidered?
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Space Heating – Commercial Square feet of space to be heated – no alternative to tax records, but tax exempt structures (e.g., religious, associations, etc.) not represented EF’s – OMNI can provide alternatives for default AP-42 values Fuel use as a function of ambient temperature – no alternative to degree day/unit efficiency
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On-Road Mobile Sources Fairbanks testing indicates MOVES overestimates gasoline vehicle emissions under arctic conditions No representation of block heater benefits Slope of cold start emissions more than twice measured values Unlike MOVES, hot start measurements showed no residual temperature influence MOVES based estimates indicate gasoline vehicles not a significant source Revisions to address problems need to be made outside of MOVES How much effort is appropriate to address this issue?
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Point Sources Base year values use fuel use/emissions data supplied by each source for episode days Three days inadvertently left out of January/February request (Feb 11 – 13) Placeholder assumption held February 10 values constant for remaining days Sources are being contacting for missing fuel use/emissions data Alternate approach to limit time delay would be to construct temperature relationship similar to that use in developing PCA inventories
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Aircraft Base year values based on reported LTO’s and applicable EFs Emissions represented as point source (similar to inventory practice employed in other communities) up to 3,000 meters (AGL) Not a significant emissions source, alternate forms of representation not worth investigating
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Rail Base year values based on # of train operations between fixed points and average fuel use per operation Differences between yard and line-haul operations addressed Not a significant source of emissions, alternate forms of representation not obvious
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Other Non-Road Sources Based on NONROAD2008 model runs (with seasonal allocations) as developed under EPA/ORD inventory
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Next Steps Turn-around time for data requests is an important consideration in light of SIP schedule Which sources/revisions should be further examined?
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