1. H OW TO MONITOR THE B LUE E CONOMY OF THE A TLANTIC ? Technical workshop: Socio-economic monitoring of the Atlantic Brussels, 24 March 2015 Johan Gille, Ecorys

2. Scope of the presentation I.Background: Blue Growth study and sea basin studies II.Method of estimating marine economy size III.Limitations of data availability IV.Considerations for monitoring

3. I. Introduction: A bit of background Blue Growth study: assessment of the Blue Economy at EU level –Value chain approach Followed by deepening at sea basin level and country 4 sea-basin studies: –Mediterreanean & Baltic (COGEA) –Atlantic & North Sea (Ecorys) Countries can pertain to more than 1 sea-basin (UK, FR, ES)

4. II. Country fiches: estimating blue growth Methodology and approach should: –Be in line with overall Blue Growth approach –Aim for replicability –Aim to minimise double counting –Consistency across countries (hence Eurostat/international sources preferred) Preference for use of statistical data (Eurostat, nat stats)  Link between maritime economic activities and economic sectors needed Aware that for small/pre-development activities no statistics exist

5. II General methodology

6. II. Elements of general data methodology I. Linking NACE sectors to MEAs: Eurostat NACE 4-digit Rev.2 taken as basis II. Addressing allocation NACE sectors containing maritime and non-maritime elements, NACE sectors relevant to multiple MEA, NACE sectors not possible to allocate III. Support data needed for allocation E.g. other sources to define share relevant for maritime and/or individual MEAs Often not available in Eurostat public sources but relying on alternative data IV. Some 10 MEA require other estimations No link between MEA and NACE 4-digit possible However not considered a problem in estimating total size of Blue Economy, as these MEA are relatively small

7. II. Linking NACE to MEA: matrix developed (example) Value chain NACE 2NACE sector 1.1 Deepsea shipping 1.2 Shortsea shipping 1.3 Passenger ferry services 1.4 Inland water transport 4.3 Cruise tourism Water transport 50.20 Sea and coastal freight water transport √√ 50.10 Sea and coastal passenger water transport √ √ 50.40 Inland water transport √ 77.34 Renting and leasing of water transport √√√√√

8. III NACE/Eurostat or alternative sources MEA developed using Eurostat/NACE MEA based on alternative sources / local data 1.1 deepsea shipping2.4 Blue biotechnology 1.2 shortsea shipping3.2 Offshore wind 1.3 passenger ferry services3.3 Ocean energy 1.4 inland shipping3.4 CCS 2.1 fish for human consumption3.6 Marine minerals 2.2 fish for animal consumption3.7 Desalination 2.3 marine aquatic products4.2 Yachting & marinas 2.5 Agriculture on saline soils5.1/2/3 Coastal protection 3.1 oil & gas6.1/2 Mar. security & surveillance 3.5 Aggregates mining6.3 Environmental monitoring 4.1 Coastal tourism 4.3 Cruise tourism

9. III Summary of the results: size of Atlantic Blue Economy Atlantic Arc accounts for –26,8 bn GVA –800,000 jobs –(direct only) –(only sectors that could be quantified) –(variety of allocation keys applied)

10. III Summary of the results: innovation and maturity of Atlantic Arc

11. IV How to monitor (the impact of) the Atlantic Action plan? Logical Framework approach –Actions (activities) –Results (outputs) –Impacts (outcomes) –Objectives (goals) To measure: –How the world evolves (in the right direction?) –Whether actions are contributing effectively to that Indicators for each layer and sources of verification –Requires data over a period of time –Requires also a baseline measurement (from where do you start)

12. IV Components of the Atlantic Action Plan Four priorities defined (= specific objectives) –Indicators for each priority? –Target/objective aimed? Actions under each priority area –To be specified? (when, where, by whom) Relation to other ongoing actions (EU level, national, local) –Do you want to know the contribution, or rather the result? Action plan for Atlantic Arc as a whole –Zooming in/detailing at country or regional level?

13. To measure is to know (or not?)

14. Thank you Johan Gille E Johan.gille@ecorys.comJohan.gille@ecorys.com T +31 10 453 86 21