1. Establishing Case Typologies in Foster Care Susan J. Wells, Margaret Skrypek & Kimberly Ford A project conducted by the Gamble-Skogmo Chair in Child Welfare and Youth Policy University of Minnesota School of Social Work Susan J. Wells, PI; Research Assistants: Margaret Griesgraber, Kimberly Ford, Tamara Kincaid, Lucy Alderton, Jose Diaz, Kristin Bauerkemper, Laura Koranda, Amber Link Funded by the USDHHS Children’s Bureau, Grant # 90-CA-1719/02

2. Need for the Study: Emphasis on Outcomes in Child Welfare  Helps us think more systematically about intervention and measuring progress of children and families and the systems that serve them  Begins to lay the basis for identifying and documenting evidence-based practice – however….  Can cause confusion in comparisons among local and state child welfare agencies January 20072Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

3. The Value of Case Typologies  Help workers apply appropriate intervention strategies  Allow agencies to measure success by identifying the probable outcomes of various case types  Permit workers to understand changing family and community trends and anticipate service needs  Facilitate tracking and comparing data across programs January 20073Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

4. Historically, Major Classifications in Developing Case Typologies Related to Child Welfare…. 1. According to the characteristics of the parent(s) 2.According to environmental factors 3. Based on child characteristics January 20074Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

5. Research Question  Is it possible to identify different types of cases in foster care that are reliably associated with different outcomes?  If yes, what are these types and how are outcomes affected? January 20075Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

6. Overview of Methods  State administrative survey  AFCARS analysis  Worker/Supervisor focus groups January 20076Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

7. Child Welfare Worker Perspectives A qualitative study of focus group data gathered in five counties in Minnesota January 20077Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

8. Demographics of the Focus Groups  Five Minnesota counties  Focus groups of 4 to 12 participants Mean number of participants = 8.6 Mean participation rate = 10.5%  Majority of participants were Caucasian women  Child welfare experience of participants ranged from 2 months to 25 years Mean years of experience = 7.6 yrs January 20078Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

9. Data Collection Focus Group participants were asked to identify: types of cases they encounter other than abuse and neglect cases characteristics of these cases services offered to clients in these cases outcomes of the cases Participants were asked to be specific and to respond in their own words. January 20079Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

10. Data Analysis  Coding process Each researcher individually coded the data from the first focus group Researchers compared categories to check for interrater reliability Each researcher coded data for the two focus groups she attended Researchers used data from individual counties to create a comprehensive typology Researchers conducted second-level coding January 200710Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

11. Study Findings  Final Typology of 18 case types within four broad categories: Parent’s Capacity or Behavior Child Reasons Problems in Parenting Previous Unsuccessful Child Welfare Intervention January 200711Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

12. Case Types by Category  Parent’s capacity or behavior Parent’s inability to care for child because of parent’s mental health Parent’s inability to care for child because of parent’s medical reason/disability Parent’s inability to care for child because of parent’s substance abuse Child is exposed to domestic violence Parent absent from the home January 200712Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

13. Case Types by Category (cont.)  Child Reasons Parent’s inability to provide care because of child’s medical reasons Parent’s inability to care for child because of child’s mental health Child behavior (including child substance abuse) January 200713Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

14. Case Types by Category (cont.)  Problems in Parenting Physical abuse: parent or caretaker Sexual abuse: parent or caretaker Emotional abuse Parent abandons child Neglect (unsafe in home, basic needs unmet, etc.) Physical or sexual abuse (parent’s failure to protect from perpetrator) Parent–child conflict January 200714Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

15. Case Types by Category (cont.)  Previous unsuccessful child welfare intervention Pregnant mother with prior involuntary termination of parental rights Failed adoptive placements Relative lack of follow-through in transfer of custody January 200715Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

16. Factors Affecting the Level or Type of Service  Age of child  Vulnerability of the child  Court involvement January 200716Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

17. How Outcomes Differ by Case Type  Higher rates of re-entry: Cases involving parents with chemical dependency Cases that are particularly complex  Participant responses were inconsistent regarding cases with lowest rates of re-entry January 200717Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

18. Advantages and Limitations of Focus Group Study  Case typology used child welfare workers’ perspectives  Rich level of data with important detail regarding case types  Qualitative methodology with no objective test of validity  Sample population from MN only - not generalizable January 200718Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

19. AFCARS Analysis  Analyzed AFCARS data from 10 states using two- step cluster analysis to determine if certain types of cases cluster together  Using cluster analysis and literature on different case types, identified groups of case characteristics to develop 19 case types  Combined the case types in logistic regressions for each of the 10 states to predict 2 federal outcome measures – placement stability and re-entry into foster care January 200719Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

20. Advantages and Limitations of Using the 2001 AFCARS Data  Information on numerous child and case characteristics  Cross-sectional snapshot of children in the foster care system rather than change over time  Inconsistencies in foster care reporting among states  Variation in the demographic composition of the children and in types of cases captured.  Quality and consistency of descriptive data collected January 200720Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

21. Cluster Analysis  For state sampling, identified homogenous groupings of states based on 3 common variables related to: Demographics Performance Size of foster care system  58 AFCARS variables were used to perform a cluster analysis on data from the selected states  Discriminant analysis was used to validate case cluster membership January 200721Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

22. Resulted in over 100 clusters or sub-clusters; Identified variables characterizing clusters…  Significant in formation of clusters  Representing a large portion of cases in a specific cluster or…  Equally distributed among clusters and constituting at least 33% of a cluster  Developed maps of relationships of variables in different clusters January 200722Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

23. Final Case Types Were Established by  Using the variable/cluster mapping to identify case groupings and then  Developing a hierarchy of membership so case types were mutually exclusive  Using vars from clusters, beginning with the case characteristics recog. in prior literature as associated with varying case dynamics January 200723Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

24. Percentages of Case Type by State for Children Who Entered Foster Care ILMNPATX Removal reason child disability, White, and all ages 0.0%3.2%2.1%6.1% Removal reason child disability, African American, American Indian or Other Race, and all ages 0.0%0.8%1.6%2.3% Clinical disability, White, and all ages3.2%1.7%1.3%8.8% Clinical disability, African American, American Indian or Other Race, and all ages 5.4%1.0%1.2%4.8% Other medical condition, all race/ethnic groups, and all ages 0.0% January 200724Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

25. Percentages of Case Type by State for Children Who Entered Foster Care (cont.) ILMNPATX Removal reason behavior problems, 11 yrs and older, and all race/ethnic groups 2.2%49.3%39.2%6.0% Removal reason behavior problems, 10 yrs and younger, and all race/ethnic groups 0.4%2.4%2.8%2.4% Emotionally disturbed, all ages, and White or African American 11.2%2.6%3.4%2.0% Emotionally disturbed, all ages, and American Indian or other race 0.8%0.5%0.3%0.0% Removal reason sexual abuse, all ages, and all race/ethnic groups 0.9%2.3%2.7%8.6% Removal reason neglect, 1-10 yrs old, and African American or White 26.0%8.0%9.7%27.4% Removal reason neglect, 1-10 yrs old, and American Indian or other race 2.7%2.0%0.5% January 200725Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

26. Percentages of Case Type by State for Children Who Entered Foster Care (cont.) ILMNPATX Under 1 and all race/ethnic groups18.7%5.0%8.0%9.9% 1-10 yrs old, single female, and African American or White 2.7%5.9%5.3%3.9% 1-10 yrs old, single female, and American Indian or other race/ethnicity 0.3%1.4%0.1% 1-10 years old8.8%4.7%8.9%6.0% 11 yrs old and older, single female, and African American 2.6%1.7% 2.2% 11 yrs old and older, physical abuse, and White, American Indian or other race 2.1%1.3%1.5%1.7% 11 yrs old and older, and all race/ethnic groups 11.8%6.2%9.5%7.6% January 200726Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

27. Odds Ratio Ranking for FC Re-entry (Outcome 4.2) by Case Type (logistic regression) ILMNPAUT RankExp(B)RankExp(B)Rank Exp(B) RankExp(B) Overall [1] : [1] White Child Disability rmved [2] [2] 318.9467.22642.642 OthrRace Child DisabilityConst [3] [3] 221.41124.261 not sig. AllRace Child Behavior 11+132.23133.06117.9026.7841 AllRace Child Behavior 10-not sig.911.5895.73036.659 White/AA Emot. Disturbed422.27515.92310.51Const3 AI/OthrRace Emot. Disturbed230.07417.8286.135Const2 White Clinical Disability77.962118.516143.691Const AA/AI Clinical Disability106.222138.196153.382Const Other Medical ConditionConst January 200727Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

28. [1] [1] The overall ranking reflects the average ranking when all states (N=9) are taken into account and occurs only for case types that show relative consistency, e.g. individual state ranking is generally within 3 digits across states. [2] [2] Manually removed because the case type contained a low number of frequencies (indicated by an inflated standard error) [3] [3] SPSS automatically removed from model because variable contained 0 frequencies [1] [1] The overall ranking reflects the average ranking when all states (N=9) are taken into account and occurs only for case types that show relative consistency, e.g. individual state ranking is generally within 3 digits across states. [2] [2] Manually removed because the case type contained a low number of frequencies (indicated by an inflated standard error) [3] [3] SPSS automatically removed from model because variable contained 0 frequencies Sexual Abuse133.93174.76162.42 not sig. AA/White Neglect 1-10115.40166.44133.8954.64 AI/Othr Race Neglect 10-96.741010.3 not sig. All Races <1Contrast Category AA/Wh Single Female HH 1-10 69.05156.5776.53 not sig. AI/Othr Single Female HH 1-10 not sig. 714.157.37rmvd All Races 1-10124.03146.90114.83 not sig. AA Single Female HH 11+324.2615.9216.46rmvd AI/Wh/Othr Physical Abuse 86.89128.48105.1117.55 All Race 11+513.4812.749.8962.94 Odds Ratio Ranking for FC Re-entry (Outcome 4.2) by Case Type (logistic regression) ILMNPAUT RankExp(B)RankExp(B)RankExp(B)RankExp(B) Overa ll [1] : [1] January 200728Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

29. Table Notes [1] [1] The overall ranking reflects the average ranking when all states (N=9) are taken into account and occurs only for case types that show relative consistency, e.g. individual state ranking is generally within 3 digits across states. [2] [2] Manually removed because the case type contained a low number of frequencies (indicated by an inflated standard error) [3] [3] SPSS automatically removed from model because variable contained 0 frequencies January 200729Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

30. Some Notable Findings  Clusters broke out by age and race of child  Clusters highly related to child problems and reasons for entry into care  Most likely to re-enter: behavior problem, all races, ages 11 and older  Some similarities and some great differences among states in case types and assoc. outcomes January 200730Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

31. Multi-method Integrated Findings  Emotional problems, clinically diagnosed disabilities and behavior problems were primary issues in quantitatively identified case typologies and outcomes  Yet, the way these cases are served and reported varies greatly among states  And fed’l stds apply equally across all states January 200731Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work

32. Multi-method Integrated Findings (2)  Common multi-method findings Child’s medical, mental health, behavior Sexual abuse Neglect  Additional qualitative findings Positive toxicology in newborns (low #s) Failed child welfare intervention (important add.) Child MH and parent/child conflict January 200732Contact: Susan J. Wells swells@umn.edu University of Minnesota School of Social Work