1. Thursday, October 1st Audio 1-866-231-8384 Code – 7704860028 Please Stand By

2. Key points Still uncertainty in the Track of Hurricane Joaquin – Heavy rainfall expected regardless of track Still a great deal of uncertainty in the rainfall forecast – There will be updates regularly Especially vulnerable areas – Western North Carolina and Virginia Other Areas to watch – the rest of Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina…and eventually parts of Georgia

3. Multi-Sensor Rainfall Estimates 7-day 5 Inches + Rainfall Areas of 5 inch + Rainfall

4. Streamflow

5. Current Track – Hurricane Joaquin

6. Thursday 2 pm

7. Friday 2 pm

8. 5 Inches + Rainfall Areas of 5 inch + Rainfall Day 1 Rainfall Fcst ending at 8 am Fri

9. Saturday 8 am

10. Day 2 rainfall ending at 8 am Sat

11. Day 1-2 Rainfall

12. Sunday 8 am

13. Day 3 rainfall ending at 8 am Sun

14. Virginia

15. South Carolina

16. Multi-Model Ensemble Forecast System MMEFS

17. Bottom Line Still uncertainty in the Track of Hurricane Joaquin – Heavy rainfall expected regardless of track Still a great deal of uncertainty in the rainfall forecast – There will be updates regularly Especially vulnerable areas – Western North Carolina and Virginia Other Areas to watch – the rest of Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina…and eventually parts of Georgia

18. Briefing for heavy rain event in Southeast Daily Operational Support Message by 2:30 today weather.gov/serfc Todd.hamill@noaa.gov