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2016 Draft School Facilities Needs Analysis Presentation by: Lyn Gruber & Douglas Floyd Koppel & Gruber Public Finance
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Alternative School Fees ◦ Level 2 – Intended to represent 50% of Facilities Costs ◦ Level 3 – Intended to represent 100% of Facilities Costs District Must Meet at least Two out of Four Eligibility Requirements ◦ District meets Two of the Four Must prepare and adopt School Facilities Needs Analysis (SFNA) SFNA Final and Available 30 Days prior to Public Hearing ◦ Public Hearing Scheduled for June 14 th Effective immediately; valid for 1 year after adoption 2
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3 Draft SFNA Supports the Following Alternative Fee Amounts: A LTERNATIVE F EE P RELIMINARY A MOUNT Level II Fee$10.66 per square foot Level III Fee$21.32 per square foot
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SFNA shall be conducted to: “determine the need for new school facilities for unhoused pupils that are attributable to projected enrollment growth from the development of new residential units over the next five years.” Projected Student Enrollment Historical Student Yield Factors * Projected Residential Units Permissible New Construction Costs + Site Acquisition/Development Costs Attributable Projected Student Enrollment=Permissible Costs Permissible Costs/Square Footage from Projected Residential Units = Per Square Foot Fee 4
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5 Historical Student Yield Rates (5-year) Determined by DDP S CHOOL L EVEL S INGLE F AMILY D ETACHED (SFD) U NITS S INGLE F AMILY A TTACHED (SFA) U NITS M ULTI - F AMILY U NITS Elementary School (K-5)0.45200.22200.1200 Middle School (6-8)0.17400.10000.0680 High School (9-12)0.11000.06200.0750 T OTAL 0.73600.38400.2630
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6 ◦ Collaboration with DDP ◦ Anticipated Development After October 2015 Enrollment ◦ Includes Unmitigated Projected Units Only Major Unmitigated Projects: Jordan Ranch, Moller Ranch, Tassajara Highlands, Terrace Ridge, Heritage Park, Bay West, Eden Veterans, Dublin Station R ESIDENTIAL C ATEGORY T OTAL P ROJECTED U NITS M ITIGATED P ROJECTED U NITS U NMITIGATED P ROJECTED U NITS SFD1,9301,320610 SFA1,394916478 MF6310 T OTAL 3,9552,2361,719
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7 ◦ Student Yield Factors * Projected Unmitigated Residential Units S CHOOL L EVEL P ROJECTED S TUDENT E NROLLMENT Elementary School (K-5) 458 Middle School (6-8) 197 High School (9-12) 144 T OTAL 799
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8 ◦ Seats at High School level deemed not available. Expected to be occupied due to: Enrollment Growth from Existing Housing Projected Student Enrollment from Projected Mitigated Units S CHOOL L EVEL E XISTING F ACILITIES C APACITY S TUDENT E NROLLMENT (O CTOBER 2015) 1 E XCESS /(D EFICIT ) C APACITY Elementary School (K-6)5,1946,141(947) Middle School (7-8)1,4501,495(45) High School (9-12)2,4992,330169 T OTAL 9,1439,966(823) 1. The School District currently operates K-5 and 6-8 schools, the figures above have been adjusted by school level to be consistent with SAB 50-02 capacity requirements.
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9 ◦ Projected Unhoused Students * State per-pupil Grants ◦ State per Pupil Grants Adjusted by SAB – Feb 2016 ◦ Includes Base Grant, Automatic Fire Detection/Alarm Grant, Fire Sprinkler System Grant and General Site Development Grant S CHOOL L EVEL P ROJECTED U NHOUSED S TUDENTS T OTAL P ER P UPIL G RANT T OTAL N EW C ONSTRUCTION G RANT Elementary School (K-5) 458$11,717$5,366,386 Middle School (6-8) 197$12,409$2,444,573 High School (9-12) 144$15,432$2,222,208 T OTAL 799NA$10,033,167
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10 ◦ Allows up to 50% of Site Acquisition and Site Development Costs to be Added Site Development Costs ◦ Service Site, Off-site, Utility Costs ◦ JM Amador Site Development Costs-$450,000/acre (2014$) ◦ Indexed to 2016$ by % Change in State Grant Amounts ◦ $482,000/acre
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11 Site Acquisition Costs ◦ Ground Lease Option with City (Jordan Ranch Site) ◦ Last Land Appraisal Prepared in 2014-$3m/acre ◦ How to Update to Current Costs? ◦ Updated Land Appraisal ◦ Review of Recent Land Sale Transactions ◦ Discussion with Land Brokers ◦ Index 2014 Values to Current Dollars ◦ Change in Median Homes Sales Price (19-22%) ◦ Change in Land Cost Index (19.6%) ◦ Utilized Land Cost Index--Estimated Land Cost @ $3.59m/acre, plus 4% (surveys, appraisal, CDE approval) = $3.73m/acre
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12 S CHOOL L EVEL S TUDENT C APACITY S ITE A CREAGE K-8 Site 95013.40 High School (9-12) 2,50047.10 ◦ Site Acreages per 1998 CDE Guidelines S CHOOL L EVEL P ROJECTED U NHOUSED S TUDENTS S CHOOL F ACILITY C APACITY N UMBER OF S CHOOL F ACILITIES R EQUIRED K-8 Site 6559500.69 High School (9-12) 1442,5000.06 Future Site Capacities and Size Requirement (Not Site Specific) Number Of Facilities Required (Not Site Specific) S CHOOL L EVEL T OTAL S ITE C OST 50% OF T OTAL S ITE C OSTS N UMBER OF S CHOOL F ACILITIES R EQUIRED T OTAL S ITE A CQUISITION AND S ITE D EVELOPMENT C OSTS K-8 Site $56,469,570$28,234,7850.69$19,482,002 High School (9-12) $198,486,323$99,243,1620.06$5,954,590 TOTAL$25,436,592 Site Acquisition and Site Development Costs from Projected Unhoused Students
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13 Level II Fee Permissible Cost D ESCRIPTION A MOUNT Total New Construction Cost$10,033,167 Total Site Acquisition and Development Cost$25,436,592 Less Local Funds Credit$0 P ERMISSIBLE L EVEL II F EE C OST $35,469,759 D ESCRIPTION A MOUNT Maximum Level II Fee Cost$35,469,759 Maximum Level II Fee Cost$35,469,759 P ERMISSIBLE L EVEL III F EE C OST $70,939,518 Level III Fee Permissible Cost
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14 Average Square Footage Per Unit Determination: ◦ Parcel Attribute Data (City GIS) -Units built previous 5-years ◦ Review of City Building Permit Records ◦ Review of Plan Sizes for Planned/Active Projects as Available ◦ Average Square Footage Estimates Submitted to and Reviewed by City R ESIDENTIAL C ATEGORY U N M ITIGATED P ROJECTED U NITS A VERAGE S QUARE F OOTAGE P ER U NIT T OTAL P ROJECTED S QUARE F EET SFD 6102,8901,762,900 SFA 4781,980946,440 MF 631980618,380 T OTAL 1,719NA3,327,720
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15 D ESCRIPTION A MOUNT Level II Permissible Cost$35,469,759 Total Square Footage of Unmitigated Projected Units3,327,720 L EVEL II F EE PER S QUARE F OOT $10.66 Preliminary Level II Fee Per Square Foot D ESCRIPTION A MOUNT Level III Permissible Cost$70,939,518 Total Square Footage of Unmitigated Projected Units3,327,720 L EVEL III F EE P ER S QUARE F OOT $21.32 Preliminary Level III Fee Per Square Foot
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16 Estimates “True Cost” Impact per Square Foot Based on Facilities Master Plan Estimates $32.87/square foot of new housing Summarizes Level III Reimbursement Provision Addresses General Guidelines for Redevelopment Evaluate Additional Impact of Development Provides Detailed Evaluation of Local Fund Availability GO Obligation Funds, Fee Revenues, Potential State funding Deducts Inter-District Impact and Impact from Existing Development Review of Prior Year SFNAs (2012 through 2014)
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