1. Regional Economic Impact Assessment of the North Central Missouri Regional Water Commission (NCMRWC) Water Supply Reservoir IMPLAN Analysis by Lauren Cartwright (NRCS) and Mubarak Hamed (MoDNR)

2. Purpose of Study To estimate the regional economic impact of a new water supply reservoir in North Central Missouri

3. General Description of Study Area The Green Hills area: 10 counties (Adair, Chariton, Grundy, Linn, Livingston, Macon, Mercer, Putnam, Schuyler, & Sullivan) The Green Hills area: 10 counties (Adair, Chariton, Grundy, Linn, Livingston, Macon, Mercer, Putnam, Schuyler, & Sullivan) Total population: 108,290 Total population: 108,290 Area: 5,650 squared miles Area: 5,650 squared miles Number of Households: 44,020 Number of Households: 44,020 Income per household: $51,640 Income per household: $51,640

4. Benefits Modeled ImpactLife of Impact Dam ConstructionShort Term Water Supply Construction (raw water intake and transmission lines)Short Term Dam Operation and MaintenanceLong Term Recreation Facilities ConstructionShort Term Recreation Facilities Operation and MaintenanceLong Term Recreation ActivitiesLong Term Industry ExpansionLong Term

5. Benefits, Value and IMPLAN Sector ImpactValueIMPLAN Sector Dam Construction$34,767,00039- Highway, street, bridge, tunnel construction Water Supply Construction$4,651,20040- Water, sewer, pipeline construction Dam Operation and Maintenance$1,684,00044- Maintenance and repair of highway, street, bridge, tunnel Recreation Facilities Construction$2,269,00041- Other new construction Recreation Facilities Operation and Maintenance$621,50045- Other maintenance and repair Recreation Activities$38,861,800478- Other amusement, gambling, recreation industry Industry Expansion550 jobs13- Animal production

6. Costs Modeled ImpactLife of Impact Lost Agriculture (includes forestry)Long Term Lost Property Tax RevenueLong Term Property Acquisition, Easement, and InfrastructureShort Term Local Construction CostShort Term Operation and MaintenanceLong Term

7. Costs, Value and IMPLAN Sector ImpactValueIMPLAN Sector Lost Agriculture Production Corn$340,5002- Grain farming Soybeans$1,127,0001- Oilseed farming Hay$1,286,10010- All other crop farming Pasture$601,40011- Cattle ranching and farming Forestry$1,703,00014- Logging Lost Property Tax Revenue Schools$126,200461- Elementary and secondary schools Library$3,800463- Other educational services Hospital$16,200467- Hospitals Health Department$9,400470- Social assistance Ambulatory Service$18,800466- Other ambulatory health care services Watershed District/county/state/townships$60,600499- Other state and local government enterprises Property Acquisition, Easement and Infrastructure$6,138,800Direct cost Local Construction Cost$11,060,500Direct cost Operation and Maintenance, Reservoir$1,684,00Direct cost Operation and Maintenance, Recreation Facilities$621,200Direct cost

8. Results

9. {Value Added: $2,254,448 ($449,500 annualized); employment generated: 84} Water Supply Construction Recreational Facilities O&M Dam Construction {Value Added: $18,972,233 ($3,782,800 annualized); employment generated: 681} {Lost Value: $150,768 ($8,100 annualized); employment lost – 7} {Cost: $11,060,500 ($887,500 annualized)Local Construction Cost {Lost Value: $3,150,442 ($170,000 annualized); employment lost – 129}Lost Agriculture (incl. forestry) Lost Property Taxes Property Acquisition, Easement, and Infrastructure Recreation Facilities Construction Yr 0Yr 6 Benefits Costs Recreational activities Industry Expansion Yr 106Yr 20 Reservoir O&M{Value Added: $801,418 ($43,300 annualized); employment generated: 30} Operation and Maintenance Costs of Reservoir Operation and Maintenance Costs of Recreation Facilities {Cost: $1,684,000 ($91,000 annualized) {Value Added: $436,622 ($23,600 annualized); employment generated: 16} {Value Added: $32,555,294 ($1,759,200 annualized); employment generated: 1157} {Value Added: $15,336,134 ($828,700 annualized); employment generated: 766} {Value Added: $1,672,541 ($333,500 annualized); employment generated: 66} {Cost: $6,138,800 ($492,600 annualized) {Cost: $621,200 ($33,600 annualized)

10. $4,565,800 Yr 0Yr 6 Benefits Costs Yr 106Yr 20 $2,654,800 $1,380,100 $124,600 $178,100

11. Year 0-6Year 7-20Year 21-106 Average Annual Costs$1,558,200$1,682,800$302,700 Average Annual Benefits$4,565,800$2,654,800 Average Annual Net Benefits$3,007,600$972,000$2,352,100