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OILSEED & WHEAT OUTLOOK: 2015/16 Scott Sindelar Minister-Counselor United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agriculture Service

Published byMeagan Holland Modified over 8 years ago

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Presentation on theme: "OILSEED & WHEAT OUTLOOK: 2015/16 Scott Sindelar Minister-Counselor United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agriculture Service"— Presentation transcript:

1 OILSEED & WHEAT OUTLOOK: 2015/16 Scott Sindelar Minister-Counselor United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agriculture Service Email: scott.sindelar@fas.usda.gov Presented for GLOBAL GRAIN, FOOD & FEED 2015 (G2F2)

2 Macro-Economic Indicators Sluggish Global Economic Growth

3 Macro-Economic Indicators Sluggish Global Economic Growth Strengthening Dollar

4 Macro-Economic Indicators Sluggish Global Economic Growth Strengthening Dollar Lower Petroleum Price

5 Macro-Economic Indicators Sluggish Global Economic Growth Strengthening Dollar Lower Petroleum Price Rising Stock Levels

6 Macro-Economic Indicators Sluggish Global Economic Growth Strengthening Dollar Lower Petroleum Price Rising Stock Levels Falling Agriculture Commodity Prices

7 Macro-Economic Indicators Sluggish Global Economic Growth Strengthening Dollar Lower Petroleum Price Rising Stock Levels Falling Agriculture Commodity Prices Rising U.S. Feed Demand

8 Soybeans Drive Oilseed Production Gains

9 Rising Rapeseed Offsets Declines in Cottonseed Production

10 Soybean Exports Rise with Larger Supplies

11 Soybean Exporter Crush Expands with Larger Supply

12 Soybean Stocks Grow in Exporter Countries Global Soybean Exporter Ending Stock Million Tons

13 Growing Supplies Push Prices Lower

14 Soybean Meal to Lead Trade Growth

15 Global Wheat Production Exceeds Consumption MMT

16 Exporter Stocks Projected to Tighten, Except for the United States MMT Others are: Argentina, Australia, Canada, EU, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Ukraine.

17 Global Trade Drops MMT

18 Rising Global Wheat Trade Fails to Benefit U.S. Market Share U.S. Market ShareMMT

19 Wheat Prices Under Pressure by Large Supplies $/MT FOB

20 EU Surpasses United States as Top Wheat Exporter MMT

21 Wild Cards Export policies Argentina Russia Ukraine Southern Hemisphere Production Argentina Australia

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