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Published byArthur Lawrence Modified over 8 years ago
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CONTRACT SURETY BONDS: UNDERSTANDING TODAY’S MARKET 2014
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Surety Losses & Profitability
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Surety in the Early 1990s Strong economy Excess capacity in surety market Low premiums Relaxed underwriting Commercial surety expansion
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Surety in the Early 2000s Sagging economy Significant commercial losses Heavy contract surety losses Increased failure rates
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Surety in the 2000s Source: BizMiner Building, heavy/highway, and specialty trade contractors In BusinessSurvivorsFailure Rate 20022004 853,372610,35728.5% 20042006 850,029649,60223.6% 20062008 1,155,245919,84820.4% 20092011 897,602702,61821.7% 20112013 986,057735,15925.4%
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Contract Surety Premiums & Losses Source: The Surety & Fidelity Association of America “Twelve-Year Experience Summaries (2002-2013) Surety Countrywide (Preliminary)”
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Top 15 Writers of All U.S. Surety
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Construction Activity All ConstructionPublicPrivate Total Construction+8.2%+2.1%+10.9% Nonresidential+8.6%+2.5%+14.1% Lodging+16.0%-+16.2% Manufacturing+23.9%-+24.7% Public Safety+9.6%+8.8%- Power+25.7%+4.4%+29.3% Educational-1.2%+0.6%-8.0% Transportation+2.2%+2.7%+0.8% Amusement/Rec+12.0%+21.2%+2.2% Office+20.0%+8.3%+23.0% Highway/Street+2.7%+3.0%- Health care-6.0%-13.5%-3.1% Commercial6.9%-27.3%+6.9% www.census.gov/const/www/c30index.html U.S. Census Gains July 2013 – July 2014
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Outlook for 2014 & Beyond Optimism about surety capacity & demand Increase in contractor failures and losses as economy recovers Continued disciplined underwriting, exposure management & project analysis Surety available for best contractors Marginal contractors have difficulty obtaining bonding Public investment in infrastructure unlikely; potential uptick in private investment
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Underwriting The 3 “C”s: Capital Capacity Character 4 and 5: Continuity Contracts
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Underwriting Capital Financial statements Indemnity Working capital Work-in-progress
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Underwriting Capacity Resumes Contingency plan Business plan Equipment
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Underwriting Character Reputation Relationships References
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Bond Premiums Type of Construction Geographic Area Contractor Size Still a Bargain Pennies on the dollar Premium
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Capacity Small ( < $50 M) SBA Program Medium ($100 M) Competitive Surety Market Jumbo ( > $500 M) Multiple sureties Joint ventures Partial bonds
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Capacity Medium ($100 M) Competitive Surety Market Jumbo ( > $500 M) Multiple sureties Joint ventures Partial bonds Small ( < $50 M) SBA Program
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Claims Severity & Frequency of Claims
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Advice for Today’s Contractors Know rights & responsibilities Stay within capabilities Manage growth & overhead Learn why contractors fail
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Advice for Today’s Contractors Communicate Prepare for economic recovery
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Advice for Today’s Contractors Contract terms Bond forms Construction CPA Adjust overhead Bank line of credit Conserve capital Bond subcontractors Qualify the surety
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Advice for Today’s Contractors Underwriter Producer Contractor
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Advice for Today’s Contractors Underwriter Producer Contractor
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For More Information Surety Information Office (SIO) www.sio.org | sio@sio.org SIO is a joint initiative of The Surety & Fidelity Association of America (SFAA) and National Association of Surety Bond Producers (NASBP).
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