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OThree Chemistry Refinement of the 16-20 Sept ‘00 Modeling Episode: Part I--Status of Current Simulation Central California Ozone Study: Modeling Support.

Published byAmi Eleanore McCoy Modified over 8 years ago

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Presentation on theme: "OThree Chemistry Refinement of the 16-20 Sept ‘00 Modeling Episode: Part I--Status of Current Simulation Central California Ozone Study: Modeling Support."— Presentation transcript:

1 OThree Chemistry Refinement of the 16-20 Sept ‘00 Modeling Episode: Part I--Status of Current Simulation Central California Ozone Study: Modeling Support for 16-20 Sept ’00 Episode Kickoff Meeting Sacramento, CA T. W. Tesche Dennis McNally 24 October 2003

2 OThree Chemistry Part I Presentation Overview  Daily Maximum 1-hr Ozone Fields  EPA Statistical Performance Summary  Time Series of 1-hr Ozone Spatial Means, Bias, Error  Scatter Plots and Q-Q Distributions  Ozone Time Series at Key SJV Monitors

3 OThree Chemistry Daily Maximum 1-hr Ozone: 16 Sept ‘03

4 OThree Chemistry Daily Maximum 1-hr Ozone: 17 Sept ‘03

5 OThree Chemistry Daily Maximum 1-hr Ozone: 18 Sept ‘03

6 OThree Chemistry Daily Maximum 1-hr Ozone: 19 Sept ‘03

7 OThree Chemistry Daily Maximum 1-hr Ozone: 20 Sept ‘03

8 OThree Chemistry Daily Maximum 8-hr Ozone: 16 Sept ‘03

9 OThree Chemistry Daily Maximum 8-hr Ozone: 17 Sept ‘03

10 OThree Chemistry Daily Maximum 8-hr Ozone: 18 Sept ‘03

11 OThree Chemistry Daily Maximum 8-hr Ozone: 19 Sept ‘03

12 OThree Chemistry Daily Maximum 8-hr Ozone: 20 Sept ‘03

13 OThree Chemistry Daily Maximum 1-hr Ozone: 17 Sept ‘00

14 OThree Chemistry Daily Maximum 1-hr Ozone: 18 Sept ‘00

15 OThree Chemistry Daily Maximum 1-hr Ozone: 19 Sept ‘00

16 OThree Chemistry Spatial Mean 1-hr Ozone Time Series

17 OThree Chemistry Diurnal 1-hr Ozone Bias Time Series

18 OThree Chemistry Diurnal 1-hr Ozone Gross Error Time Series

19 OThree Chemistry Ozone Time Series at the Kern-Johnson Monitor (Med 122)

20 OThree Chemistry Ozone Time Series at the Fresno-9240 Monitor (Med 126)

21 OThree Chemistry Ozone Time Series at the Kern-20401 Monitor (Med 113)

22 OThree Chemistry Scatter and Q-Q Plots on 17 Sept ‘00 Quantile-Quantile PlotDaily Max Scatter Plot

23 OThree Chemistry Scatter and Q-Q Plots on 18 Sept ‘00 Quantile-Quantile PlotDaily Max Scatter Plot

24 OThree Chemistry Scatter and Q-Q Plots on 19 Sept ‘00 Quantile-Quantile PlotDaily Max Scatter Plot

25 OThree Chemistry Daily Performance Statistics for the 17-19 Sep ’00 Episode

26 OThree Chemistry Bias in 1-hr Ozone: 17-19 Sept ‘00 EPA Performance Goal for Bias: < + 15%

27 OThree Chemistry Gross Error in 1-hr Ozone: 17-19 Sept ‘00 EPA Performance Goal for Gross Error: < 35%

28 OThree Chemistry Accuracy of Peak 1-hr Prediction 17-19 Sept ‘00 EPA Performance Goal for Peak Unpaired Accuracy: < + 20%

29 OThree Chemistry Initial Questions and Potential Diagnostic Analyses  Duration of spin-up (is 18 hr spin-up sufficient?)  Model sensitivity to ICs/BCs (use of GEOCHEM global model boundary conditions?)  Effects of temperature bias on biogenic/MV emissions and chemistry reactions  Adequacy of vertical diffusivities  Adequacy of diurnal PBL height estimates  Systematic biases in biogenic/MV emissions

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