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NEW BUSINESS MODEL FOR DESIGN AND ENGINEERING SOFTWARE Simon Floyd Director, Technology Strategy, Enterprise Solutions Microsoft
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THE NEXT 5 MINUTES 5 x Observations 1 x Prediction 1 x Proposal Slide 2
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5 X OBSERVATIONS Slide 3
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TRADITIONAL BUSINESS MODELS ARE UNDER THREAT OR NOW INVALID Slide 4 S&P 500 from 1957 to 1997: 74 members of the Class of ’57 were alive in ’97 12 outperformed the market Forbes100 from 1917 to 1987: 39 members of the Class of ’17 were alive in ’87 2 outperformed the market Reducing average time in the S&P 500 1958 = 57 years 1983 = 30 years 2008 = 18 years 2011 = ? SOURCE: DICK FOSTER & SARAH KAPLAN, CREATIVE DESTRUCTION: WHY COMPANIES THAT ARE BUILT TO LAST UNDERPERFORM THE MARKET 1
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SOFTWARE COST IS INVERSE TO CAPABILITY 5 SYNCHRONOUS DESIGN → ← 2D DRAFTING ← 2.5D/3D WIREFRAME CAPABILITIES 1962 ← 3D CONSTRUCTIVE SOLIDS ← 3D SURFACES ← 3D PARAMETRIC (HISTORY) DESIGN 19801981198219891997 ← 3D HYBRID MODELING 2000 MIXED HISTORY → 20101970 ← BÉZIER CURVE Cost/seat ? Fastest growing applications are <$15 or free 2011+ 2
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COMPUTE CAPACITY EXCEEDS CURRENT SOFTWARE CAPABILITIES Slide 6 CAPABILITY/TIME mHz + Cores x n Synchronous tasks faster Cloud compute Asynchronous tasksScalable tasks What practically will be the next big value facilitator? VALUE ? 3
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INFORMATION AS A SERVICE IS DRIVING NEW REVENUE STREAMS Public DomainPremium 4
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BIG DATA OFFERS UNTAPPED OPPORTUNITIES FOR NEW INSIGHTS Slide 8 5
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1 X PREDICTION Slide 9
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THE FUTURE OF ENGINEERING SOFTWARE Fastest growing software is $<15 or free Cloud compute power is massive, accessible and cheap Internet is everywhere, on all devices Big data > information: its value added knowledge Slide 10 Ability to deliver value added information, insights and knowledge, on-demand, via services and apps to any device at a low cost.
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1 X PROPOSAL Slide 11
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Data Client Service PhonePC TabletTV Apps INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY MARKETPLACE FOR BUYING AND SELLING KNOWLEDGE Slide 12 SOCIAL PROCESS INSIGHTS BUSINESS Pay/use Sell Pay/use CAx Application Compute x n Storage x n Services Memory x n
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THANK YOU! Slide 13 NEW BUSINESS MODEL FOR DESIGN AND ENGINEERING SOFTWARE, IN 5 MINUTES
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