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Published byJacob Bruce Modified over 8 years ago
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Balance of Payments
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What is it? A record of all financial dealings between economic agents of one country and the rest of the world.
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This can be split into two components.
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The Current Account The Capital and Financial Accounts
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Flows of money into a country have a Positive (+) sign. Flows of money out of a countray have a negative (-) sign.
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The Current Account Trade in goods Visible or tangible goods such as shoes, copper, rice, cars and spaceships. Export minus imports of goods = balance of trade
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The Current Account Trade in services Invisible or intangiable services – banking, insurance, call centres and tourism.
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American tourist staying in a British hotel in London? Japanese tourist flying an American airline to Prague? A British tourist staying in a Slovakian hotel in Houston, Texas?
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Current Account Transfers Current transfers include things such as profits, dividends and interest earned abroad. So, a British woman earns interest on her Swiss bank account – that is a current transfer. Dividends paid to a Swiss businessman on shares held in the New York stock exchnage. That’s a current transfer. With current transfer, no good or service changes hands.
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When we consider invisible goods, visible goods and current transfers we get the Current Account Balance of Payments.
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The Capital and Financial Accounts Foreign direct investment (FDI) refers to long-term capital investment, such as the purchase or construction of machinery, buildings, or whole manufacturing plants. If foreigners are investing in a country, that represents an inbound flow and counts as a surplus item on the capital account.
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The Capital and Financial Accounts Portfolio investment refers to the purchase of shares and bonds. Other investment includes capital flows into bank accounts or provided as loans.
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The Capital and Financial Accounts Reserve account. The reserve account is operated by a nation's central bank to buy and sell foreign currencies.
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Current Account Deficits and Surpluses The balance of payments must always balance. However there can be surpluses and deficits in certain parts of the account.
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This is the same as a household. How can a household spend more than it makes?
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Current Account Deficits and Surpluses An economy can spend more than it earns if it borrows money from abroad. It can have a current account deficit, where exports are less than imports by running a surplus on it`s capital account.
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Causes of Changes in Current Account Balance Change in Exchange Rate- A rise in the exchange rate may decrease exports and increase imports.
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Causes of Changes in Current Account Balance Many goods and services are specific to a certain country. Exporters can gain an advantage by improving or distiguishing their products from others.
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Causes of Changes in Current Account Balance The importance of income and current transfers varies from country to country. For some countries a huge amount of their income comes from their citizens earning incomes abroad and sending them home.
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Current Deficits and Surpluses Current account deficits are generally seen as bad. Surpluses are generally seen as good.
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Current Account Deficits and Surpluses The size of the account deficit or surplus is important in determining it`s signifigance.
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Large Sustained Current Account Deficits These are bad because they can become unsustainable. This has to be payed for. The level of borrowings increases or the level of savings and investments held abroad decreases.
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Large Current Account Deficits There may come a point when lenders think that borrowers will default on their loans and stop lending them money.
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Large Sustained Current Account Deficits The level of the deficit needs to be compared against the rate of GDP growth. If GDP Growth is larger than the deficit, there may not be a problem.
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Large Current Account Surpluses Governments could keep their exchange rates artificially low. China This increases exports but makes imports more expensive.
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Large Current Account Surpluses Strong exports help create jobs and boost economic growth. This could build up a countries net wealth.
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Large Current Account Surpluses Disadvantages Reduce what is available for consumption domestically.
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Large Current Account Surpluses Disadvantages Can cause friction between countries. Countries can only reduce current account deficits if other countries reduce current account surpluses.
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Governement The current account deficit is not paid for by the government. Government borrowing is not the same as a current account deficit. Generally a deficit is caused by transactions involving individuals and firms.
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