1. The Republican Story

2. The Battle for Party Philosophy 1980s/1990s Context Reagan Realignment Reagan Success Democratic defeat 1984: 525-13 EV Change in belief: – Government is the problem

3. George H. W. Bush (41)

4. Third Reagan Term? Reagan Ideological Clear beliefs Outsider Bush Pragmatic Beliefs questioned Insider

5. Bush: A Pro’s Pro US House of Representatives Senate Candidate 1970 US Ambassador to the UN Chief of US Liaison Mission to China Republic Party Chairman Director of Central Intelligence

6. “The Vision Thing” What does Bush Believe? Reagan’s Third Term? conservative Small “c” Smaller government Some government role Cut taxes Economic focus Might be pro-choice Conservative Movement Conservative Government is the problem Huge tax cuts Social conservative – Anti-Abortion – Gun rights – Evolution/Creationism – Anti-Gay rights – Prayer in school

7. Party Loyalty: 1980

8. The 1988 Campaign Michael Dukakis Willie Horton (His “running mate”)

9. Bush and Belief 1988 “Read My Lips: No new Taxes”“Read My Lips: No new Taxes” 1990: Tax Increase 1992: The Tax Increase was a Mistake

10. Gulf War 1990-1991

11. Bush 41 Approval

12. Republican Party Conservatives win Movement triumphs Ronald Reagan’s Party