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Market Review Stocks and Commodities at a Crossroads Daryl Montgomery May 19, 2016 Copyright 2016, All Rights Reserved.

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Presentation on theme: "Market Review Stocks and Commodities at a Crossroads Daryl Montgomery May 19, 2016 Copyright 2016, All Rights Reserved."— Presentation transcript:

1 Market Review Stocks and Commodities at a Crossroads Daryl Montgomery May 19, 2016 Copyright 2016, All Rights Reserved

2 The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any security and are for educational purposes only The New York Investing meetup is not affiliated with the New York Life Insurance Co.

3 Didn’t Attend New York Investing Meetup Meetings

4 Regularly Attends New York Investing meetup Always keeps some spending money around

5 Stocks, Commodities, Currencies, Bonds

6 Articles Published Since March Meeting 10 articles published on Seeking Alpha. Sign up (it’s free) and follow me so you get the URLs emailed to you when articles appear. 04/19/16: “Market Reaction to DOHA meeting is Bullish for Oil” http://ow.ly/4mUKaS 04/21/16: “Natural Gas Shoots Up As Energy Sector Becomes Increasingly Bullish” http://ow.ly/vy4R30055x0Natural Gas Shoots Up As Energy Sector Becomes Increasingly Bullish 04/26/16: “Profiting From Copper And Copper Stocks” http://ow.ly/jfG130054Gb 04/28/16: “Currencies Outperforming The U.S. Dollar” http://ow.ly/Mrag300548WCurrencies Outperforming The U.S. Dollar 05/05/16: “Why Natural Gas Will Turn Bullish” http://ow.ly/QjZE3000L3M 05/06/16: “Which Technology ETFs Are Best For Investors?” http://ow.ly/QIkQ3005357 Which Technology ETFs Are Best For Investors? 05/08/16: “Political Shake-Up In Saudi Arabia Has Big Implications For Oil Market” http://ow.ly/Pu5C3004XQL 05/10/16: “Steel Stocks Buckle After Bubble-Like Rally” http://ow.ly/MSSS30051MG

7 Market Summary Brexit vote big news to watch for in June. Fed could become more aggressive Precious metals: overextended, especially miners Energy: Oil OK; gas, alt, uranium challenged Dow, S&P 500 holding up; Nasdaq, RUT weak. Strongest sectors: Utilities, Energy, Materials. Strongest Currencies: Real, Yen, Canadian $ Negative bond yields in Europe and Japan. Watch: Oil, Sugar, Natural Gas, Coffee, Gold, Silver

8 U.S Stock Indexes Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

9 Three Sectors Outperforming S&P500 Black S&P500, Blue Energy, Gold Utilities, Red Materials

10 Three Sectors Underperforming S&P500: Black S&P500, Gold Healthcare, Blue Financials,Red Technology

11 Dow Industrials: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

12 S&P500: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

13 Nasdaq: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

14 Russell 2000: One Year Daily 10,40,65-Week lyMoving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

15 End of U.S. Stocks

16 Foreign Stocks: Major Indexes Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

17 UK FTSE: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

18 German DAX: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

19 Japan Nikkei: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-WeeklyMoving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

20 End of Foreign Stocks Majors

21 Emerging Markets Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

22 Brazil BOVESPA: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

23 China Shanghai Composite: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

24 India SENSEX: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

25 Russia RSX (RTS): One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Week lyMoving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

26 End of Foreign Stocks BRICs

27 Currencies Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

28 BZF, FXC, FXY Outperforming DXY YTD Black US $, Gold Canadian $, Red Brazilian Real, Blue Japanese Yen

29 US Dollar DXY: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

30 Euro FXE: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

31 Swiss Franc FXF: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

32 Japanese Yen: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

33 Canadian Dollar FXC: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

34 Australian Dollar FXA: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

35 Brazilian Real BZF: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

36 End Currencies

37 Energy – Oil and Natural Gas Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup Feb 23, 2016

38 Energy Commodities Compared: YTD Daily Black line OIL, Alternative red, Uranium blue, Natural Gas gold

39 Oil WTI: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

40 Natural Gas: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

41 PBW Alt Energy: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

42 Uranium Companies URA: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

43 Precious Metals Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup Feb 23, 2016

44 Precious Metals Compared: YTD Daily Black line gold, Yellow line silver, Red line Platinum, Blue line Palladium

45 Gold ETF GLD: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

46 Gold Miners ETF GDX One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

47 Silver ETF SLV: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

48 Platinum PPLT: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

49 Palladium PALL One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

50 End of Precious Metals

51 10-Year Bond US, UK, Germany, Japan YTD Black: US Treasury; Red Japanese JGB, Gold: UK Gilt; Blue: German Bund

52 10, 7, 5-Year Treasuries Interest Rates YTD Black line: 10-Year; Gold line 7-Year, Blue Line 5-Year

53 10-Year Treasury Yield: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

54 10-Year German Bund Yield: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

55 10-Year Japanese JGB Yield: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

56 30-Year Treasury Yield: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

57 High Yield (Junk) Bonds: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

58 Miscellaneous

59 Copper JJC: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

60 Coffee JO: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

61 Sugar SGG: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

62 The End


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