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Exponential Technologies – Singularity & ExOs
Yuri van Geest Founder Singularity University the Netherlands Author Exponential Organizations
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Yuri van Geest Founder
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Caring (why) will be the next competitive advantage for people & organizations
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109+ How will you positively impact
1 billion people in the next decade?
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The best vision on the future is peripheral vision
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Accelerating Technologies Al Robotics Biotech Nanotech Medicine Neuroscience Energy Computing
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EXPONENTIAL GROWTH & THE LAW OF ACCELERATING RETURNS 8
Credit: Ray Kurzweil and KurzweilAI.net
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Exponential Technologies
Declining Costs Increasing Capabilities
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“Software is Eating the World”
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Estimated Share of Capex by Industry
Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
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Effects of Singularity / New Disruptive Era:
Digitization (1) Dematerialization (2) Demonetization (3) Decentralization / Democratization (4) Explosion of Innovation & Startups Do-It-Yourself Abundance / Solving Grand Challenges Sharing Economy
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Audi RS 7 - Autonomous Car
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Even more disruptive is the technology behind Bitcoin:
Lamassu (Portugal), plans to initially make 15 of its $5.000 Bitcoin Machines, which can turn of 200 types of regular currency into Bitcoins Latest news: German Finance Ministry recognizes bitcoin as currency
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Future Disruptors
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NANO-MEMS (chips) & PAYMENTS GATX
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Qingdao Unique Products - House 3D Printer
Based on Graphene glass fiber reinforced plastic: light, strong, conductive, corrosion-resistan
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MIT - 4D Printing 4D printed materials morph in response to weather or energy (temperature, humidity, etc.). Possible applications: (Temporary) Buildings Furniture Pipes and Valves
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Google & NASA - Quantum Computing
The D-Wave 2X quantum computer is 100 million times faster than a conventional computer with a proof-of-concept optimization problem. Leaps in Big Data & AI.
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$500M DeepMind - Deep Learning acquired by Google for
acquired by Google for $500M
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Viv Labs - Self-learning AI Assistant
New Artificial Intelligence Startup by the people behind Siri. Can analyze different nouns in sentences independently to compile an accurate and useful answer. > Beyond Google Now!
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Zero-employee Robot Factories
Toyota - Japanese automotive manufacturer Softbank - Japanese telecom & Internet corporation Foxconn - Taiwanese electronics manufacturer Factories with robots creating new robots (STM Machines) Starting Q3/Q4 2016
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Graphene - Nano Materials
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Titanium Dioxide (TiO2) Nanocoating
Benefits: Anti-corrosive Wear-resistant Self-cleaning UV-resistant Hydrophobic Anti-bacterial Deodorization (no scents)
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(Exponential) Organizations
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“The average half life of a business competency has dropped from 30 years in 1984 to 5 years today”
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“89% of the Fortune 500 companies from 1955 are not on the list today
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“The average lifespan of an S&P 500 company has decreased from:
67 years (1920’s) to 12 years (today)”
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Market Cap to a Billion
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What are ExOs?
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Definition An Exponential Organization (ExO) is one whose impact (or output) is disproportionally large — at least 10x larger — compared to its peers because of the use of new organizational techniques that leverage exponential technologies.
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Attributes
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Attributes
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How to create ExOs?
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Strategies for Corporates
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Yuri van Geest Co-Author Exponential Organizations
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