Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byEmma Waters Modified over 8 years ago
1
Industry Update for: FEI – St. Louis Chapter February 2012
2
Macro Economic Indicators
9
Total Inventories Source: U.S. Census Bureau, KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc.
10
ISM - PMI Index
11
Cass Freight Index Source: Cass Freight Systems Index to 1990 base
12
Cass Freight Shipments Source: Cass Freight Systems: February 2012
13
Cass Freight Expenditures Source: Cass Freight Systems: February 2012
14
Dry TL Freight Demand Source: Morgan Stanley Freight Index – February 26, 2012
15
TL Spot Market Demand Source: ITS – February 20, 2012
16
TL Dry Van Rates
17
Flatbed TL Rates
18
Refrigerated TL Rates
19
Spot Market TL Pricing
20
Capacity Constraints
21
Large Fleet Reductions Source: BB&T Capital Markets, June 2011 Company-owned Tractors Have Shrunk More than 12% Compared to a Roughly 2% Shrinkage in Owner-Operators
22
US Class 8 Orders and Production
23
Drivers for Tractors Likely Severe Driver Shortage –CSA2010 Will impact the number of available drivers in the industry ATA estimates CSA will result in a 5-7% reduction –HOS Possible reduction of 1 hour in daily driving hours will reduce carrier capacity 10 hrs vs 11 hrs is a 9% reduction in drive time –EOBR requirement Most impact to smaller fleets & O/O
24
Driver Pay Trends
25
Diesel Prices
26
Total Trucks Parked from Failure Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Avondale Partners, LLC (vs. Diesel Fuel Prices)
27
Less than Truckload
28
Ocean
29
Intermodal Volume
30
Rail Car
31
Air Freight
32
Short Term Landscape Increasing freight demand Capacity tightening Supply/demand equation favors carriers (and rate increases) Intermodal volumes continue to rise Diesel fuel prices – increasing dramatically Shippers looking for partners with flexibility and more comprehensive solutions
33
Top Challenges (Next 2-5 Years) Tightening driver market Government regulations –CSA 2010 –Hours of Service (HOS) –EOBR mandates Aging equipment leads to replacement at higher cost basis –Price increases passed on to shippers Highway infrastructure – congestion and deterioration –Leads to increased intermodal volumes Access to capital
34
SCM Actions The Bermuda Triangle facing logistics and supply chain managers consists of: A lack of planning A rigid network that is incapable of flexing when uncertainty occurs A myopic internal focus
35
SCM Actions The top five most mature actions are: (1) Core carrier utilization (2) Dedicated transportation (3) Carrier tracking (4) Load planning (5) Shipment consolidation LACK OF PLANNING
36
SCM Actions Tactical & Operational (1) The use of multiple transportation modes to meet delivery schedules (2) The use of freight brokers (3)Training your people to think on their feet INFLEXIBLE NETWORK Strategic (1) Reduce supply and order-fulfillment lead time (2)Improving integration of information systems with external customers and suppliers (3)Increasing collaboration with key suppliers (4)Challenging your own organization to lean toward change
37
SCM Actions Recommendations are: (1) Sales and operations planning (S&OP) (2) Company-wide inventory reduction initiatives (3) Implement increased collaboration with key customers and suppliers INTERNAL FOCUS
Similar presentations
© 2025 SlidePlayer.com. Inc.
All rights reserved.