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Economic Indicators Business Cycle –“Real” GDP versus “Nominal” –GDP Deflator –C+I+G+NX –6 month contraction = Recession Unemployment Rate –4 Types –Calculation Inflation –CPI/GDP Deflator –Cost of Living Adjustment –“Real” Income
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Causes cancer Why entering Chinese waters? REI Black Friday closing Republican poll leader University removed state flag
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GDP Total value of all final goods and services produced within a country within a given year. C+ I+ G+ NX
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Gross Domestic Product C- Consumer Spending I- Business Investment and Inventory G- Government Spending NX- Net Exports (Exports minus Imports)
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GDP C + I + G + NX Don’t Count –Used –Transfers –Non-market –Intermediate goods*
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Business Cycle Recession- real GDP goes down for at least 6 months. REALGDPREALGDP
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Unemployment Unemployment Rate= Unemployed Persons/Total Labor Force X 100 Labor Force= all civilians 16+ who are working or looking for a job Unemployed Persons= 16+ civilians who are looking for a job but do not have one
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All Stats are for People 16 or Older Population = 1000 Pop. with jobs = 600 Pop. Without jobs = 400 Pop. Actively seeking employment in past month = 190 Pop. from previous category who currently have a job = 40
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Unemployment (National)
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Types of Unemployment Frictional- temporary while searching Structural-lack of skills/lack of need for skills/replacement by technology/replacement by merger or streamlining Cyclical- related to health of overall economy Seasonal- seasonal Not
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Not Unemployed If… Under 16 Have a Job Are not actively seeking a job Are not currently available to work
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Poor _________ Extra Credit Write a story about a person who experiences all 4 types of unemployment in a given year and then drops out of the labor force. 1 page double spaced 6 points
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Unemployment Formula Unemployment Rate= Unemployed Persons/Total Labor Force X 100 Labor Force= all civilians 16+ who are working or looking for a job Unemployed Persons= 16+ civilians who are looking for a job but do not have one
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Frictional Structural Cyclical Seasonal Not
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Hit the debt ceiling, government slashes spending, GDP tanks Frictional Structural Cyclical Seasonal Not
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You can’t stand this class anymore, drop out, and start looking for work Frictional Structural Cyclical Seasonal Not
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A former switchboard operator is having trouble finding a skilled position Frictional Structural Cyclical Seasonal Not
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New Jersey surf instructor in January Frictional Structural Cyclical Seasonal Not
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Mr. Parish this summer. Frictional Structural Cyclical Seasonal Not
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Calculate Population = 14,000 Population 16-64 = 10,000 Employed Persons = 6,000 Unemployed Persons = 215 --------------------------------------------------------- Labor Force = ____________ Unemployment Rate = ______________ Labor Force Participation Rate = _______
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Unemployment (National)
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Labor Force Participation Rate
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% of working age people who are –Working –Looking for a Job Working Age –16-64
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Calculate Population = 14,000 Population 16-64 = 10,000 Employed Persons = 6,000 Unemployed Persons = 215 --------------------------------------------------------- Labor Force = ____________ Unemployment Rate = ______________ Labor Force Participation Rate = _______
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Labor Force Participation Rate % of working age people who are –Working –Looking for a Job % working age population in the labor force Working Age –16-64
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Calculate Population = 10,000 Population 16-64 = 8,000 Employed Persons = 5,000 Unemployed Persons = 350 --------------------------------------------------------- Labor Force = 5,350 Unemployment Rate = 6.54% Labor Force Participation Rate = 66.88%
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Agenda Debate and House News –Goodbye Mr. Weeper! GDP Review and Unemployment by State Measures of Inflation –CPI versus GDP Deflator 10 minutes to finish classwork (otherwise HW)
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Economic Indicators Business Cycle –“Real” GDP versus “Nominal” –GDP Deflator –C+I+G+NX –6 month contraction = Recession Unemployment Rate –4 Types –Calculation –Labor Force Participation Inflation –CPI/GDP Deflator –Cost of Living Adjustment –“Real” Income Stock Indices
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2015 US GDP: C+I+G+NX Sale of a Delorean
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2015 US GDP: C+I+G+NX Purchase of $10,000 of Disney stock
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2015 US GDP: C+I+G+NX 10,000 unsold Ford f-150 pickups
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2015 US GDP: C+I+G+NX Tires purchased by Ford Motor Company
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2015 US GDP: C+I+G+NX Machines purchased by Ford Motor Company
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2015 US GDP: C+I+G+NX East Penn Schools purchases an iPad for every student
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2015 US GDP: C+I+G+NX I just purchased a Man in the Yellow Hat costume
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2015 US GDP: C+I+G+NX A bottle of delicious Canadian maple syrup Eh?
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2015 US GDP: C+I+G+NX Largest Component by far?
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2015 US GDP: C+I+G+NX Component that would shrink if a Republican is elected and keeps his/her promise
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Inflation Prices go Value of the dollar goes
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Inflation Prices go UP Value of the dollar goes DOWN
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Inflation TWO CAUSES?
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Demand-Pull Inflation
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Cost-Push Inflation
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Stagflation
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Measures of Inflation GDP Deflator Consumer Price Index (CPI)
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Inflation Terms Nominal- unadjusted dollar amounts Real- adjusted for inflation
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Using the GDP Deflator Nominal $$$$/GDP deflator x 100= Real $$$ Real $$$ = Adjusted for Inflation Base Year Deflator = 100
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Consumer Price Index Measures change in price level of a “fixed basket of goods” Used for Social Security “cost of living” adjustments (COLA)
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Consumer Price Index Herbert Hoover= $75,000 President Obama = $400,000
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Consumer Price Index Babe Ruth’s Salary –1931= $80,000 Average Player Today= $2,272,620
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Consumer Price Index
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GDP Deflator
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GDP Deflator versus CPI GDP Deflator –variable basket –Best for real GDP CPI –fixed basket –Best for COLA (ex. Social security)
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Stock Indexes (Indices) measure the performance of a segment of the stock market Dow Jones Industrial Average –30 Large Companies S&P 500 500 companies of various industries NASDAQ –3,000 companies –Technology/growth companies (ex- Google)
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Stock Indexes (Indices) measure the performance of a segment of the stock market Dow Jones Industrial Average –30 Large Companies S&P 500 500 companies of various industries NASDAQ –3,000 companies –Technology/growth companies (ex- Google)
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Stock Indexes (Indices) measure the performance of a segment of the stock market Dow Jones Industrial Average –30 Large Companies S&P 500 500 companies of various industries NASDAQ –3,000 companies –Technology/growth companies (ex- Google)
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NASDAQ
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Stock Terms Ticker- company abbreviation Share- a single “piece” of a company “pie” Portfolio- a collection of investments Index- measures performance of a segment of the stock market
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Economic Indicators Business Cycle –*GDP = 18.1 Trillion –GDP Growth = 2% (3.22% average since 1948) Unemployment Rate –*5.1% Inflation –CPI Stock Indices
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Externalities Consequence of economic activity affecting an uninvolved party Positive or Negative Production or Consumption
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