1. Religious Trends and Methodist Challenges in Waikato –Waiariki By Peter Lineham For Synod Meeting, May 2015

2. Shaping a New Story Rewriting Transplanted Christianity Grappling with profound decline and changes Watching regional movements Sensing global transitions St Paul’s Hamilton at its closure

3. Christianity in Decline 20062013%Decline p.a. Anglican55492545977110.84%2.45% Catholic50777149142111.58%0.46% Presbyterian3853503163297.46%2.56% Methodist116622973202.29%2.36% Baptist56175534961.26%0.68% Christian NFD1862342161775.10%+2.30% No Religion1297104163534838.55%+3.73% Hindu63540890822.10%+5.74% Buddhist52158582121.37%+1.66%

4. The Non-Religious 1956-2006

5. Not just Decline Establishment quality to Unbelief Outsiders assume consistent picture of decline Mixture of growth and decline Decline mostly in mainstream Protestant Growth limited Regeneration from mixed sources

6. No Religion in Region 2013

7. Hamilton non- religious 2013 The darker the colour, the higher the sum of “No religion”, “object to state” and “no response” summed up.

8. No Religion in Rotorua and Tauranga

9. The Decline of Methodism

10. Declining Impact of Methodism

11. Numerical Trends 1848-2013

12. Diagnosis of Pakeha Trends Evangelical and Liberal were 19 th century bedfellows and 20 th century antagonists Decline in denominational loyalty hurt the smallest groups most Union congregations meant more to Methodists than others

13. Methodist Age Spread 2006, 2013

14. Age Spreads of Denominations 2013

15. Age Spreads of Other Groups

16. Proportion of Nominal Methodists who are Members 1916-2013

17. Methodist Statistics 1956-2013

18. Methodist Dynamics 2000-2006

19. Methodist Attendance & Adherence

20. Methodist Dynamics 2012

21. Methodism in the Regions Regionnumbe r % Auckland467703.30% Taranaki34563.15% Waikato104672.59% Northland38612.55% Marlborough10142.34% Manawatu- Wanganui48092.16% Canterbury109682.03% Nelson8641.86% Regionnumber% Bay of Plenty46381.73% Wellington79501.69% East Coast7231.66% Tasman7681.63% Hawkes Bay23341.54% Southland13411.44% Westland4351.35% Otago24811.23%

22. Methodist Strongholds in 2013 TA Methodists % Ak:Mangere-Otahuhu7,31410.31% Ak:Otara-Papatoetoe4,5396.00% Ak:Maungakiekie-Tama3,8015.43% Waitomo4054.55% Ak:Manurewa3,7354.54% Otorohanga3754.10% South Taranaki District1,0053.78% Ak:Puketapapa1,9923.76% Kaipara6873.62% Ak:Papakura1,4583.20% Ak:HendersonMassey3,4173.17% TAMeth% Ak:Whau2,2953.16% Stratford District2823.14% Waikato1,8632.94% New Plymouth2,1692.92% Ak:Franklin1,8452.82% Ak:Hibiscus2,5232.81% Horowhenua8342.77% Matamata Piako8492.69% Far North1,4852.66% Hamilton City3,7652.66% Waipa1,2032.58%

23. Wesleyans in Hamilton Maori mission in Raglan from 1835 140 years ago J S Rishworth began to preach in this military settlement Wesleyans soon became respected business leaders Church built in Collingwood Street 1867

24. Hamilton Primitive Methodists Primitive Methodists arrived in New Zealand in 1844 Auckland 1851, Christchurch 1872 Hamilton was first new church for ten years Yet they had money to build London Street church Union came in 1913 as a welcome relief

25. Waikato Waiariki Maori mission Post New Zealand wars settlements Country parishes Union congregations Hamilton Tauranga Distinct and separate areas

26. Waikato/BOP Adherents 1976-2013

27. Waikato Waiarua Strongholds 1981 and 2013 namenumber% Taharoa 111 27.21% Ngaruawahia 750 16.57% Otorohanga 429 16.01% Taupiri 75 15.15% Ngutunui 207 14.05% Whatawhata 150 13.30% Huntly West 417 13.20% Huntington 15 12.50% Kawhia 45 12.50% Burbush 15 11.90% Rototuna 6 11.76% Tiroa 18 11.54% Namenumber% Taharoa4519.48% Kawhia3610.71% Meremere398.33% Otorohanga1807.16% Taupiri245.76% Huntly West1535.40% Insoll1355.26% Ngaruawahia2675.21% Te Kuiti2195.19% Enderley1894.52% Yatton Park1084.49% Porritt784.49%

28. Numerical and Percentage Change

29. Maori Methodism on the West Coast Comity agreement in 1831 gave Methodism the west coast to Whanganui Great mission work in Tainui and Ngati Awa coastal communities Strong in Waikato Otorohanga, Waitomo Decline from 17511 to 11829, 2001-13 Minita-a-iwi Sunnah Thompson (Raglan), John Kopa (Hamilton), Mara Tupaea (Tuakau), and Barney Winikerei (Te Kuiti). Retired minita-a-iwi Henare Grey

30. Tribal Affiliations Weak among Te Arawa and other tribal groupings Impressive strength in Tainui Te Arawa20012013 New Zealand44978.94%29045.2% Waikato110718.2%65110.2% Hamilton69012.5%5107% Waipa13511.3%816.9% Otorohanga12922.8%7516.1% Te Arawa Rotorua3936 Te Atiawa South Taranaki6951 N Plymouth162126

31. Maori Methodist Trends Decline very pronounced Very strong in coastal areas and West Waikato Pokeno, Raglan, Huntly, Ngaruawahia In Hamilton, strong in Te Rapa and Bryant, Crawshaw, Enderley, Insoll Further south at Te Awamutu, Waipa, Te Kuiti 20012013 Waikato48126.6%30573.7% Tuakau19219.1%1058.1% Huntly W22811.8%1176.6% Huntly E10210.4%725.8% Ngaruawahia36013.2%2077.4% Insoll908.6%515.2% Enderley14711.8%755.8% Kawhia4518.3%2413.1% Otorohanga18619.6%12613.1% Taharoa4524.2%4221.2% Marakopa5414.1%429.5% Te Kuiti25813.1%1537.5%

32. The Significance of Taharoa A small Maori community on the coast Sustains vastly higher levels of Methodism than elsewhere Affected by rural depopulation (from 408 to 231) Methodists were slower to leave

33. Methodists born overseas Methodism has a very high percentage born overseas By 2013 it was 38% This region less so: – 24% in Waikato – 31% in BOP

34. Birthplaces in 2013

35. Pasifika Peoples In 2013 18525 PI born Methodists This was 12,2% of all PI born and 18% of all Methodists In Waikato 7.1% of Methodists born in PI (738 people out of 1239 Pacific ethnicity) In BOP 8% of Methodists born in PI (369 people of 609 ethnicity)

36. Ethnicity in 2013

37. Samoan Methodists In New Zealand 8.4% of Samoans are Methodist Samoan numbers rise sharply in Waikato from 3138 to 4887 2001-13, and Methodists with them Found in poor Hamilton suburbs, Insoll, Fairview, Crawshaw, also Te Awamutu and Te Kuiti

38. Tongan Methodists One third of Tongans are Methodist of one kind or another Waikato numbers rise from 1482 to 2370 and Methodists from 408 to 618 BOP Methodists from 183 to 414 but lower proportion Focused in Insoll, Enderley and Bader

39. Fijian Methodists Fijian numbers double to 1089, Methodists now 198 Small numbers, Peachgrove largest BOP has 81, Taranaki has 57

40. Other groups Cluster of Asian Methodists at Horsham and Huntingdon in Hamilton Morrinsville churchFencourt PM Church in Cambridge, c 1900