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2006 Partners Workshop Silver Spring, MD June 6, 2006 Timothy Schott
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Page 2 Outline Outline New Operational ProductsNew Operational Products Future WorkFuture Work Experimental ProductsExperimental Products
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Page 3 Probabilistic Winds – Operational GraphicalGraphical TextText Experimental in the NDFDExperimental in the NDFD
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Page 4 Probabilistic Storm Surge – Experimental www.weather.gov/mdl/psurge/www.weather.gov/mdl/psurge/www.weather.gov/mdl/psurge/ Two choices:Two choices: Overall chance storm surges will be greater than 5 feet above normal tide levels during the next 2 days Pre Katrina Post Katrina Storm surge heights, in feet above normal tide level, which have a 10 percent chance of being exceeded during the next 3 days Mainland Mississippi
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Page 5 Tropical Cyclone VTEC – Experimental ALPHA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1000 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006.HURRICANE ALPHA FLC017-029-037-053-057-065-075-101-103-123-129-142100-/E.NEW.KNHC.HU.W.1001.060314T1500Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 INDIAN-PASS-FL 29.68N 85.27W TARPON-SPRINGS-FL 28.15N 82.79W $$GMZ750-755-770-775-830-850-853-870-873-142100-/E.NEW.KNHC.HU.W.1001.060314T1500Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 INDIAN-PASS-FL 29.68N 85.27W TARPON-SPRINGS-FL 28.15N 82.79W www.nhc.noaa.gov/feedback-tcv.shtmlwww.nhc.noaa.gov/feedback-tcv.shtmlwww.nhc.noaa.gov/feedback-tcv.shtml New format for 2006New format for 2006 Proposed operational for 2007Proposed operational for 2007
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Page 6 Tropical Cyclone Graphical Hazards – Experimental www.weather.gov/os/tropical/hazards.htmwww.weather.gov/os/tropical/hazards.htmwww.weather.gov/os/tropical/hazards.htm –Participating WFOs providing Impacts or Threat Graphics –2006 is first of a two year experimental effort
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Page 7 Extreme Wind Warning http://www.weather.gov/os/hurricane/eww.htmhttp://www.weather.gov/os/hurricane/eww.htmhttp://www.weather.gov/os/hurricane/eww.htm PurposePurpose New for 2006New for 2006 Extreme Wind Warning Product for 2007Extreme Wind Warning Product for 2007 Beyond 2007Beyond 2007
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Page 8 WFO Tropical Cyclone Products Improvement Team Desire for clear, concise and meaningful WFO tropical cyclone productsDesire for clear, concise and meaningful WFO tropical cyclone products Feedback neededFeedback needed Contact: scott.kiser@noaa.govContact: scott.kiser@noaa.gov
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