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Theocratic Presidential Democracy Supreme Leader, Assembly of Experts, Guardian Council, President, Parliament, Expediency Council
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President Elected for 4 Years by universal suffrage Appoints Ministers 21 and Vice Presidents 10 Drafts laws to be approved by Parliament Does not control the military Candidates Approved by Guardian Council 6000 applications for 2013 election
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Parliament 290 members elected to 4 year terms. draft legislation, ratify treaties, approve national budget. candidates and all legislation from the assembly must be approved by the Guardian Council.
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Assembly of Experts 86 ‘virtuous and learned’ clerics Elected to 8 year terms Candidates must pass a written examination administered by the Guardian Council Meet twice annually Appoint and remove the Supreme Leader
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Expediency Council mediates disputes between Parliament and the Guardian Council heads of the three government branches, clerical members of the Guardian Council and other members appointed by the supreme leader for three-year terms
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Guardian Council 12 jurists, 6 clerics appointed by Supreme Leader, 6 elected by the Parliament interprets the constitution, rejects bills incompatible with the constitution or Sharia approves candidates for national election
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Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini and Ali Khamenei Appointed and Supervised by the Assembly of Experts Head of State with powers over defence and religious affairs Veto legislation Declare War and Peace with 2/3 approval of Parliament
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Iranian Islamic Revolution 1979
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Conservative, Liberal, Religious, Secular Increasing westernization and secularization Cultural pollution Overambitious economic reforms Economic decline following 1973 oil boom Oppressive extravagant regime SAVAK Underestimation of the Khomeinist movement
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Advertised as implementing Western reforms strengthen upper classes that support Monarchy, Gain support of the peasantry Weaken middle class influence 1963 national referendum: 5,598,711 for 4,115 against Land Reform: 90% of sharecroppers become land owners Privatisation of Government industry Free Education, Extended Health Services, Welfare, Improve Literacy Rates, Women’s Suffrage, Housing Equality, Nationalisation for Forest Land,, Price Stabalisation
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Industrial growth Secondary Education 370,000 to 741,000 College Education 24,885 to 145,210 Literacy 26% to 42% Marriage age raised to 15, Women can vote, hold public office, serve as judges and lawyers The intelligentsia and the urban working class grew 4X in population Disaffected by the outlawing of political parties, associations, unions and independent newspapers Land Reform: large numbers of independent farmers and landless laborers disaffected by corruption. Most unable to buy enough land to sustain farming
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1935 Pahlavi’s father outlawed Islamic dress and replaced sharia with Western law Ulema loss influence over education and family law Clerical institutions dependent on rents which land reform severely reduced Rise of Khoemeini Arrested 1963 sparking protests, 1964 exiled for 15 years
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Jalal Al-e Ahmed, Gharbzadegi (Westoxification) velayat e faqih government should be run in accordance with traditional sharia, for this to happen a leading jurist must provide political "guardianship“ "more necessary even than prayer and fasting“ "export of revolution does not mean interfering in other nation's affairs“ but "answering their questions about knowing God“ "Establishing the Islamic state world-wide belong to the great goals of the revolution."
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Feb 1, Khomeini in Tehran 'I shall kick their teeth in. I appoint the government in support of this nation‘ "Decade of Fajr." Supreme Military Council "neutral” Feb 11, Victory Day
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protect the Revolution and assist the ruling clerics in the enforcement of the new government's Islamic codes and morality Preventing foreign intervention, military coupe, border security 125K guards 90K Basiji militia Quds Force, special forces unconventional warfare roles providing assistance and training to various organizations around the world
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1983, Revolution consolidated 1979 Hostage crisis End of relations with US Middle East Cold War: Iran, Syria, Hezbollah vs Egypt, Jordan, Gulf States
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Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei Iran Iraq War 1980 – 88 Gulf War I Gulf War II Green Movement Contemporary Issues Nuclear Destabilized Iraq ISIS (Islamic State)
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Presidents Ali Akbar Rafsanjani 1997 Mohammad Khatami “Dialogue of Civilizations Mahmoud Ahmadinejad 2005 – 2013 2009 Election Protests (Green Movement) Hassan Rouhani August 2013
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Anniversary of 1999 Protests Peaceful action turned violent after announcement of election results “Where is my vote” February 2010, attempts to stage protests in support of Arab revolutions met with government crackdown Civil Rights vs Regime Change Attempts to exploit the movement, US, Saudi, Expats
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P5 + 1 China, Russia, US, UK, France, Germany Points of contention Stockpiling Sanctions, Enrichment Resistance from US Congress
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Iran's enrichment capacity, enrichment level and stockpile will be limited for specified durations. There will be no enrichment facilities other than Natanz. Iran is allowed to conduct research and development on centrifuges with an agreed scope and schedule. Fordo, the underground enrichment center, will be converted to a "nuclear, physics and technology centre" Sanctions Relief Sanctions imposed by the UN, US and EU in an attempt to force Iran to halt uranium enrichment have crippled its economy, costing the country more than $160bn (£110bn) in oil revenue since 2012 alone. Iran stands to gain access to more than $100bn in assets frozen overseas, and will be able to resume selling oil on international markets and using the global financial system for trade
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Will warmer diplomatic ties with the West develop? Will inclusion in the global economy and lifting sanctions bolster reformists? What effects will this have on the US partnership with Israel and the Gulf States What will be Iran’s role in challenging Islamic State? Will Iran expand its regional influence? Who might be the next Supreme Leader?
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