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Risk, Cost of Capital, Capital budget 2003,10,30
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Present value Cash flow C_0,C_1, …, C_T NPV= 1/(1+r) is the discount factor What’s the real discount factor
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Cost of capital NPV, cash flow, 1/(1+r) are related Given NPV and cash flow, we can find r=? This r is the require return Knowing r and cash flow, we can find NPV. Having r and NPV, we can verify cash flow.
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Cost of capital The require return is the cost of capital to invest in the company (project) R=R_F + Beta*(R_M-R_F) R_F: risk-free rate R_M-R_F: market-risk premium Company beta: Beta
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Beta Estimation of Beta Real-World Betas: stability of Beta, Using and industry Beta Equity beta, asset beta Beta_asset= Debt/asset *Beta_debt + equity/asset * Beta_equity
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Beta of a company Cyclicality of revenues Operating leverage Financial leverage
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The Firm versus The Project Corporate discount rate, Hurdle rate, cutoff rate, benchmark, and cost of capital are synonymous.
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Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) WACC=equity/asset * R_asset + debt/asset *R_debt *(1-Taxes) R_debt =interest
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Liquidity Market-impact factor
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