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POPulation! November 2015
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When did the world ’ s population reach… 100 million? 200 million? 1 billion? 3 billion? 6 billion? 500 B.C.E. 600 C.E. 1800 C.E. 1960 C.E. 1999 C.E.
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World Population Growth
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1960 vs. 1999 Each blue haired lady pictured below represents 3 billion people 1960 1999
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World Population: Then and Now
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Why has the world population grown so much in the last 200 years?
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Percentages of people in cities--world 1800: 3% urban 1850: 6% 1900: 14% 1950: 30% 2000: 47% 2007: 50% 2014: 54% True or False: A large % of people living in urban areas is usually a measure of a country ’ s level of development. http://apps.who.int/gho/data/node. main.URBPOP?lang=en
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8 8 Which has more people in urban areas- -developed or developing world?
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9 Just for Fun: World ’ s Most Populous Cities? Depends on who you ask!!! (from 2011 internet searches) List #1 (all lists are in 1-10 order): Shanghai, Delhi, Karachi, Istanbul, Mumbai, Beijing, Moscow, Sao Paulo, Tianjin, Guangzhou List #2: Tokyo, Jakarta, New York, Seoul, Manila, Mumbai, Sao Paulo, Mexico City, Delhi, Osaka List #3: Tokyo, Seoul, Mexico City, New York City, Mumbai, Jakarta, Sao Paulo, Delhi, Osaka, Shanghai List #4: Seoul, Sao Paulo, Mumbai, Jakarta, Karachi, Moscow, Istanbul, Mexico City, Shanghai, Tokyo
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Demographic Transition
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Population Change in Mexico
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Quick Recap What are the main factors that have helped people live longer and die less?
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Measles Mortality Rate, USA, 1900-1987
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Survivors
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World Population: 1750-2005
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POPULATION PROBLEMS? With population growing so fast in the last 200 years, what did many people think would run out? Who helped come up with the idea that man has a “ struggle for existence? ” DARWIN? SPENCER? MALTHUS!
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THOMAS MALTHUS FOOD V. POPULATION!!!!
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Stats That Are Often Related to Birth Rates (measured per 1000 people) Industrialization & Economic Development Education/Status of Women Availability of Quality Medical Care IMR (Infant Mortality Rate), CMR (Childhood MR) Life Expectancy @ Birth Urban vs. Rural Dwellers
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Total Fertility Rate The average # of children a woman will have in her lifetime. What is the ‘replacement rate?’ 2.1 !!!
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Total Fertility Rate vs. Infant Mortality Rate, Sweden
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Birth Rates: # of babies born per year per 1000 people From 2009
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Death Rates: # of people who die per year per 1000 people From 2009
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Life Expectancy at Birth: World (2012)
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Total Fertility Rate (2013)
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Total Fertility Rates
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Total Fertility Rate (2013)
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Child Mortality: Deaths Under the Age of 5 In 2012: 6,600,000 children under the age of 5 died (source: WHO.int) Leading causes of death (about 45% linked to malnutrition) Pneumonia Preterm birth complications Birth asphyxia Diarrhea Malaria Any patterns/trends?
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Population Pyramids Which one is developing? Which one is developed? Which is growing?
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USA Population Pyramid & the “ Baby Boom ” Generation
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Population Pyramids of the World http://coursework.mnsfld.edu/yacovissi/ Eco%20325/Population%20Pyramids/P opulation%20Pyramids.htm
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What advantages/disadvantages does a larger world population have? Here’s one of each to get you thinking… – Limited amount of resources – Exponential technological growth
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Quick Question Why does a fertility rate less than the replacement rate affect Japan more than Europe & (especially) the US?
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What about countries w/older populations? A Few Pros – (usually) Wealthy country, limited or no more population growth (helps w/ limited resources) A Major Con – A poorly skewed DEPENDENCY RATIO (Why problematic?) People aged 0-14 & 65 and older/# of people aged 15-64 Before skewing poorly, countries usually receive a “DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND” for about 20-30 years after fertility rates fall but before a large # of people retire. In other words, the DD has the best dependency ratio! – Examples: » 4 Asian Tigers (1960s-1990s) » India (2010ish-2040ish)
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Dependency Ratio (economically speaking—close to 2.5 is good…close to 1 is not so good!)
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Demographic Dividend Pyramid
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Question Will the world’s population start declining? A great article to review many of the key concepts: “About That Overpopulation Problem”“About That Overpopulation Problem
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6 Demographic Charts for Review (4 are on next slide!)
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Recap: What do you think? Quickly answer the Q (last name, first name) What was the most important lesson you have learned through studying population?
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Extra (Just for fun) Slides Start Now! #1 - The World at Night
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What is significant about this image?
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Cartogram
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Cartogram, 2030?
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USA Cartogram
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USA 2000 Presidential Election
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Election 2000: Bush vs. Gore (Counties) Blue: Bush Red: Gore
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