1. What is it and why is it important?

2.  What is it?  What was it based on?

3. The High Fluctuating Stage This stage is typified by a high CBR and CDR. WHY? Population growth is very slow. WHY?

4. The Early Expanding Stage Stage 2 sees the death rate drop. CAUSES: Birth rate remains high. CAUSES: Population growth rates are skyrocketing. WHY? Considerable rural to urban migration takes place.

5. The Late Expanding Stage During stage 3 the total population is still rising rapidly, but the gap between birth and death rates narrows, why? Population growth in many stage 3 countries is due to what? Urbanisation slows.

6. The Low Fluctuating Stage Stage 4 the total population is high, but it is balanced, why? Birth rate fluctuates due to: Death rate rises slightly because: What happens to life expectancy?

7. The Natural Decrease Stage In Stage 5 the total population is high but going into decline, WHY? Which countries are entering Stage 5? For there to declining population there has to be an absence of what?

8. DTMUses Simplifies the real world Predict future trends PlanningAdaptabilityLimitations Failed to predict population decline Assumes that in time all countries will pass through the same four stages. Unlikely that many LEDCs will ever become industrialised Doesn’t account for many factors Inability to afford medical facilities Religious influence Political influence Impact of epidemics Migration

9. Despite its foundation on European data, the DTM has proved a good fit for data for developing countries. However, there are also a number of important differences: FACTORDIFFERENCE Birth rate in stages 1 and 2 Death rate Size of population base Stage 3 fertility levels Relationship between population change and economic development Transitions of mortality and fertility

10. Why should the transitions be faster?

11. As countries progress through the DTM, fertility rates fall – however, the population can continue to increase. This phenomenon is known as DEMOGRAPHIC MOMENTUM.

12. Stage 1Stage 2Stage 3Stage 4 Expansive. Stationary.Contractive. Concave sides.Straight sides.Convex sides. High birth rate.Still high birth rate.Declining birth rate.Low birth rate. High death rate.Falling death rate.Low death rate. Short life expectancy. Slightly longer life expectancy. Long life expectancy. Longer life expectancy. Rapid fall in each upward age group due to high DR. Fall in DR so more people living into middle age. An increasing proportion of the population is in the 65+ age group. Higher dependency ratio. KenyaIndiaArgentinaSweden Economic development increases >>>> DemographicDemographic Transition and Population Structure

13. How has the population structure of Singapore changed between 1999 and 2009?

14. 1. I am older than the Chinese, Egyptian, Greek and Roman civilisations dating back to the Babylonians in 4,000 BC. 2. My first appearance in England was in 1086 when I was turned into a very famous book. 3. Thomas Malthus was the driving force behind me becoming official in 1801. 4. I was most recently performed in the UK in 2011. …….what am I????

15. Each person in your group represents a country – the sweets are the population of your country! Each sweet represents the following groups of people: Green - Ethnic minorities Red - People aged over 65 White - Adult males Yellow - Adult females Purple - Female children Orange - Male children Divide the sweets up – leaving at least 12 in the middle of the table. Note the population structure of your country on the worksheet. Now you are ready to play the game! Take turns to read a card and follow the instructions.