2. Income and Energy CIA & UN China USA China India

3. Income and Life China USA China India CIA & UN

4. Energy and Population CIA & UN

5. Energy and Population CIA & UN India China USA Iran Greece Venezuela Japan Russia

6. Population Growth < 1.0 % 1.0-1.5 % 1.5-2.1 % 2.1-3.0 % > 3.0 % No information www.un.org

7. Energy Sources http://www.eia.doe.gov 44% petroleum 26% natural gas 25% coal 2.4% nuclear power 2.5% hydroelectric power 0.2% renewable (non-hydro) 80-90% fossil fuels

8. Fossil Fuel - CO 2 - Global Warming Mann & Jones 2003; IPCC 2001 2050

9. Global Warming – Projections IPCC 2007 (relative to 1980-1999) 2020-2029 2090-2099 Global Solutions Regional Solutions

10. Summary on Energy - Outlook 2030 Energyeconomic development Year 2030:population 23% higher (8 billion - ~1% /yr) energy needs 60% higher most of the growth: developing countries carbon-dioxide emissions: will rise Resources:adequate to meet demand geographic mismatch between source and consumption energy infrastructure: major needs poorest people: remain deprived of modern energy services C-dependency global warming Sustainable energy system: technological breakthroughs (production and usage) reducing energy consumption International Energy Agency - 2004

11. Fossil fuels: 95% in 2003 … 85% of the increase by 2030 finite, but far from exhausting them 2/3 of the increase will take place in developing countries Conventional oil: demand: grow 1.6% per year peak after 2030 (if necessary investments are made) Gas:demand double by 2030 plentiful proven reserves Coal:share will drop… but will continue key role Nuclear:worldwide capacity increase slightly – its share will decline Renewable: some increase – share remain limited International Energy Agency - 2004 Summary on Energy - Outlook 2030