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The Transportation Logistics Company Indiana Logistics Summit Infrastructure Needs and Opportunities September 26, 2007
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The Transportation Logistics Company TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
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The Transportation Logistics Company Trucking’s Progress Since 1985 ATA’s Monthly Truck Tonnage Index (1993 = 100) Trend Line 6% Average Annual Growth Rate Source: American Trucking Associations
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The Transportation Logistics Company Land Capacity: Congestion 2020 Estimated Peak Period Capacity Sources: US Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration
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The Transportation Logistics Company Only 4% of the Market Has More Than 20 Trucks, but We Believe That 4% Controls ≈70% of the Capacity Represents 613,242 fleets, including owner-operators with operating authority. Sources: Motor Carrier Annual Report, TT Press and American Trucking Trends 2005 by ATA.
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The Transportation Logistics Company Demographics Remain Unfavorable for Significant Driver Additions Source: U.S. Census Bureau
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The Transportation Logistics Company Ugly Demographics Will Persist Past 2010 Males, ages 20-44: 52.3 mil. in 2000; 52.7 mil. in 2010; 0.1% CAGR Females, ages 20-44: 51.8 mil. in 2000; 51.7 mil. in 2010 At 3% GDP growth, driver availability would be 34% worse by 2010 Males, ages 20-34: 0.4% CAGR, going from 29.9 mil. in 2000 to an estimated 31.1 mil. by 2010--the “only hope”--demographic is still growing at less than half the rate of GDP growth Average age of a Teamster driver is 57 years--Yikes! 209,000 of 1.3 million long-haul drivers retiring in next 8 years
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The Transportation Logistics Company Congestion issues are increasing Source: J.B. Hunt Transport, Inc.’s over-the-road shipments during October of each year
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The Transportation Logistics Company HOS - When do drivers drive? Drivers drive during the normal work day hours By 5:00 pm, 90% of a driving hours are expired 90% of the daily driving capacity is consumed by 17:00 each day
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The Transportation Logistics Company Policy Ideas to Improve Highway Congestion Day of Week Time of Day Lane Restriction By Vehicle Type Increase Weight Limits Increase Trailer Lengths Expand Highways
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The Transportation Logistics Company Change the Weight Laws 80,000 lbs. gross to 96,000 lbs. gross Gain +20% Safety Issues – Stopping distance 79% of our JBHT freight would not apply Increased road maintenance Capital investment by the trucking industry?
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The Transportation Logistics Company Change Length Laws 53’ – 57’ Trailers +7.5% cubic Double Trailers “Twins” Safety: Training of Drivers, Turning, Lane Changes, Backing Road Infrastructure Urban Areas – Docking problems What roads would allow them? Capital Investment by trucking industry
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The Transportation Logistics Company Increase Highway Infrastructure 2 Lanes 4 Lanes 4 Lanes 6 Lanes (Most interstate highways) 6 Lanes 8 Lanes 8 Lanes 10 Lanes Cost: $ $ $ Billions Time to Rebuild Setting Priorities
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The Transportation Logistics Company Re-Engineer Of U.S. Shippers Supply Chains Mode conversion: Truck → Intermodal Truck → Dedicated Less plant transfers – more customer direct shipping Improved packaging Better cube fill in trailer All water shipping to east coast ports Increase use of ocean containers staying intact Shippers are manufacturing products closer to their customers Customers are taking miles/loads out of the supply chain
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The Transportation Logistics Company Freight Mix? What will the freight mix look like in 5, 10, 15 years?
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The Transportation Logistics Company Who is Moving the Freight Today
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The Transportation Logistics Company How Freight Mix will look in 10-15 Years
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The Transportation Logistics Company Elements of Rail Capacity Vehicles (locomotives and cars) Line-of-road (alignment, signal systems, number of tracks) Terminals (location and capacity) Operating Plan People Execution
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The Transportation Logistics Company Possible Solution Have 5-15 year plan on building 15-20 new Intermodal terminals Have Government Assistance Site location Environmental issues Financial - Industrial bonds, tax incentives, etc.) Benefits Highway congestion – reduces pressure on highway expansion Economical – Best return on a dollar spent Helps Greenhouse issues Saves Fuel 3:1 Help the trucking industry recruit drivers – more local jobs
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The Transportation Logistics Company Summary: What’s the Best Solution? Combination of Rail and Highway Rail Infrastructure Highway Infrastructure Terminal Expansion Especially Urban Areas
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The Transportation Logistics Company Always Buckle Up and Please Drive Safely! Thank You
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