1. Impact Evaluation considerations for Non- Traditional ODA Immaculate Dadiso Motsi

2. Non-Traditional ODA Official Development Assistance Traditional Sources Non –Traditional Sources

3. Case : China ’ s mining investment in the DRC

4. China in Africa

5. The Deal Barter - Infrastructure for Minerals Quid Pro Quo DRC - $6bn worth of roads, railways, hospitals, universities CHINA - 10million tonnes of copper and 400,000 tonnes of cobalt

6. Key Assumption

7. Improved Infrastructure GOAL ACTIVITIES OUTCOME OUTPUTS INPUTS Improving Rate & Quality of Economic Growth Building new infrastructure Chinese Money & Labor New roads, universities etc; Less Minerals

8. Thesis

9. 1.Non-Traditional ODA needs to be subjected to rigorous M &E 2.Traditional M & E techniques are not effectively applicable to non- traditional ODA (evaluation gap) 3. Traditional M & E can and should be adapted to be effectively applicable to non-traditional ODA

10. (1) Non-Traditional ODA needs to be Monitored & Evaluated

11. Insufficiency of current Congolese Feasibility Study (not the same as ex ante Evaluation) Social Impact implicit in the goal of improved rate and quality of economic growth Future ‘barter deals’ specifically & Non-Traditional ODA generally

12. (2) Traditional M&E is not effectively suitable to Non- Traditional ODA

13. Complexities Time value of money Fluctuating commodity prices Political uncertainty Volume of extractible minerals available Scale (national level) No precedent or Counter-Factual No transparency on certain aspects of the deal Long-Term impact horizon

15. Improved Rate & Quality of Economic Growth GOAL ACTIVITIES OUTCOME OUTPUTS INPUTS Improving Rate & Quality of Economic Growth Building new infrastructure; Extracting more minerals Chinese Money & Labor; Congolese Minerals New roads, universities etc; Less Minerals BENEFITS COST

16. Implicit assumption = intervention will lead to development objectives Non-Traditional ODA = fundamentally a business transaction Assumptive mismatch = Traditional M & E under- emphasizes costs in the pursuit of establishing benefits

17. (3) Traditional M&E can and should be adapted to Non-Traditional ODA

18. Adaptation Incorporation of Cost – Benefit Analysis Methodology Active pursuit of negative externalities Make open-ended policy recommendations (best practice given degree of complexity)

19. -The End-