1. United Nations Development Programme | Management Consulting Team Horizon Scan Bolivia Version 0.1, 27 May 2016

2. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 1 COUNTRY CONTEXT 10.56 million 2014 population Lower Middle Income Country LMIC Source: World Bank, as of 26 May 2016. Note on export data – “All other” includes hides & skins, textile/clothing, animal, wood, footwear, misc., plastic/rubber, mach./electronic.

3. Content: Horizon Scan | PROGRAMME AND COUNTRY OFFICE OVERVIEW Bolivia 2 FINANCIAL OVERVIEW MANAGEMENT RESULTS

4. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 3 Country programme focusing on a strong society, education and health care, sustainable economy, and protection against natural disasters. 2013 – 2017 CPD SUMMARY Outcome 1 | Democratic governance Facilitate full implementation of constitution, autonomous territorial entities, coordination between different levels of government, and dialogue/ Outcome 2 | Poverty reduction and promotion of equity and inclusion Support public policy and provide technical assistance to facilitate redistributive social policies, sustainable public spending, and social services. Outcome 3 | Economic development Provide technical support and coordination to facilitate diversification of the economy, creation of decent employment opportunities, and social justice. Outcome 4 | Environment Support policy formulation, build national capacities, and support knowledge building and sharing to address climate change, biodiversity and vulnerability to natural disasters. Source: 2013-2017 CPD.

5. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 4 PROJECT GEOGRAPHICAL SPREAD Source: open.undp.org, accessed 26-May-2016.

6. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 5 3 largest projects accounted for 44% of budget and delivery, with an average delivery rate of 100%. 2014 PROJECTS Delivery % 0% 100% Source: New Executive Snapshot. Retrieved 19-May-2016. Note: Bubble size denotes budget. Color denotes delivery rate. Programa Pequenas Donaciones 5ta. Fase Operacional GEF Budget: $1.2m Delivery rate: 100% Fortalecimiento de las Org. Politicas de Bolivia II Budget: $987k Delivery rate: 100% Fondo Mundial Budget: $1.6m Delivery rate: 100%

7. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 6 3 largest projects accounted for 42% of budget and 43% delivery, with an average delivery rate of 100%. 2015 PROJECTS Delivery % 0% 100% Source: New Executive Snapshot. Retrieved 19-May-2016. Note: Bubble size denotes budget. Color denotes delivery rate. Fortalecimiento de las Org. Budget: $819k Delivery rate: 100% Programa Pequenas Donaciones 5ta. GEF Budget: $1.1m Delivery rate: 100% Fondo Mundial Budget: $1.0m Delivery rate: 100%

8. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 7 3 largest projects account for 70% of budget and 58% delivery thus far. Overall average delivery rate of 40%. 2016 PROJECTS Delivery % 0% 100% Source: New Executive Snapshot. Retrieved 19-May-2016. Note: Bubble size denotes budget. Color denotes delivery rate. Fondo Mundial Budget: $4.6m Delivery rate: 11% Proteccion de la biodiversidad Budget: $2.96m Delivery rate: 7% Gestion de Pasivos Ambientales en Arenas Protegidas Budget: $1.4m Delivery rate: 18%

9. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 8 Portfolio relies on medium-sized projects, while comparatively large number of small projects may indicate some management burden. 2014 PROJECT FIGURES Source: New Executive Snapshot. Retrieved 19-May-2016. Share by # project Share by budget $

10. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 9 Overall portfolio reduction, mostly in the category of small and medium projects. Continued dominance of medium-sized projects. 2015 PROJECT FIGURES Source: New Executive Snapshot. Retrieved 19-May-2016. Share by # project Share by budget $

11. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 10 Expansion of portfolio carried by large projects > $1m, while number of small projects also increases. 2016 PROJECT FIGURES Source: New Executive Snapshot. Retrieved 19-May-2016. Share by # project Share by budget $

12. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 11 Significant reduction of # of projects since 2012, though programme volume shows turn-around in 2016 carries by 2 large projects. 2012 – 2016 PROJECT PORTFOLIO Source: New Executive Snapshot. Retrieved 19-May-2016.

13. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 12 Vertical Trust Funds remain the most important resource type across years ( 2012-2015 average: 46% ), with 3 rd party cost sharing coming second ( 19% ) and regular resources ( 15% ) third. PROGRAMME RESOURCE TYPES Source: New Executive Snapshot. Retrieved 19-May-2016.

14. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 13 Vertical trust funds increase engagement significantly in 2016, while other formerly major donors phase out (SIDA, MPTF) PROGRAMME DONOR BASE Source: New Executive Snapshot. Retrieved 19-May-2016.

15. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 14 Management ratio comparatively high, and continuously increasing since 2012. COUNTRY OFFICE FUND TYPES Source: New Executive Snapshot. Retrieved 19-May-2016. Management ratio calculated as Management expenditure vs. overall expenditure. 14.6% 12.55% 9.58% 8.28% Management Ratio

16. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 15 COUNTRY OFFICE PLANNED STAFF Source: Corporate Planning System, retrieved 19-May-2016. Note: planned, not actual, including vacant positions.

17. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 16 COUNTRY OFFICE PLANNED STAFF Source: Corporate Planning System, retrieved 19-May-2016. Note: planned, not actual, including vacant positions.

18. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 17 COUNTRY OFFICE CURRENT STAFF Source: Old Executive Snapshot, retrieved 19-May-2016. Note: excludes any Service Contracts administered on behalf of other agencies. Service Contracts Breakdow n

19. Content: Horizon Scan | PROGRAMME AND COUNTRY OFFICE OVERVIEW Bolivia 18 FINANCIAL OVERVIEW MANAGEMENT RESULTS

20. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 19 Continuous downward trend of revenue, while staffing costs increased constantly since 2013. XB REVENUE AND USE OF RESOURCES Source: ATLAS XB Status report. Retrieved 19-May-2016.

21. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 20 XB BALANCE Source: ATLAS XB Status report. Retrieved 19-May-2016.

22. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 21 AGENCY SERVICE REIMBURSEMENT Source: ATLAS XB Status report. Retrieved 19-May-2016.

23. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 22 XB STATUS REPORT Source: ATLAS XB Status report. Retrieved 19-May-2016.

24. Content: Horizon Scan | PROGRAMME AND COUNTRY OFFICE OVERVIEW Bolivia 23 FINANCIAL OVERVIEW MANAGEMENT RESULTS

25. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 24 PARTNER FEEDBACK Y-ON-Y: 2009- 2015 Source: 2009 - 2015 Partnership Feedback. Graphs shows Share of Positive. Note that aspects A.a through D. refer to different comparable questions across years. Number of respondents per year: 2009 = 25; 2012 = 32; 2015 = 23. Graph shows Share of Positive (Strongly agree, agree).

26. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 25 PARTNER FEEDBACK Y-ON-Y: 2015 Source: 2009 - 2015 Partnership Feedback. Graphs shows Share of Positive. Note that aspects A.a through D. refer to different comparable questions across years. Number of respondents per year: 2009 = 25; 2012 = 32; 2015 = 23. Graph shows Share of Positive (Strongly agree, agree).

27. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 26 PARTNER FEEDBACK Y-ON-Y: 2012 Source: 2009 - 2015 Partnership Feedback. Graphs shows Share of Positive. Note that aspects A.a through D. refer to different comparable questions across years. Number of respondents per year: 2009 = 25; 2012 = 32; 2015 = 23. Graph shows Share of Positive (Strongly agree, agree).

28. Horizon Scan | Bolivia 27 PARTNER FEEDBACK Y-ON-Y: 2009 Source: 2009 - 2015 Partnership Feedback. Graphs shows Share of Positive. Note that aspects A.a through D. refer to different comparable questions across years. Number of respondents per year: 2009 = 25; 2012 = 32; 2015 = 23. Graph shows Share of Positive (Strongly agree, agree).

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