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Chapter 23 Gains from International Trade Chapter 23 Gains from International Trade
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Pre-trade production and consumption possibilities Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) a Less developed Country, population 500
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) a b Less developed country Pre-trade production and consumption possibilities
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) a b c d e f Less developed country Pre-trade production and consumption possibilities
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) Pre-trade production and consumption possibilities This is just like an ordinary budget constraint : Remember if M=P x X+P Y Y And the slope =P x /P y
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) Pre-trade production and consumption possibilities Except now it is the budget constraint of a country. GNP=2W+1C And the slope=P C /P W =2/1
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) Pre-trade production and consumption possibilities And just like a consumer we can represent a countries tastes by a social indifference curve.
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) Pre-trade production and consumption possibilities
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) Cloth (metres m) Less developed country Developed Country Population 300 Pre-trade production and consumption possibilities
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) Developed country Pre-trade production and consumption possibilities Similarly the budget constraint of this country is : GNP=4W+8C And the slope=P C /P W =4/8=1/2
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) Developed country Pre-trade production and consumption possibilities And again tastes in this country are represented by a social indifference curve
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) a b c d e f Cloth (metres m) g h i j k l m Less developed country Developed country Slope 2/1 Slope 1/2 Pre-trade production and consumption possibilities
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) a b c d e f Cloth (metres m) g h i j k l m Less developed country Developed country Slope 2/1 Slope 1/2 Pre-trade production and consumption possibilities Developed countries relative pre-trade price =P c /P w =1/2 Less-Developed countries relative pre- trade price =P c /P w = 2
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) a b c d e f Cloth (metres m) g h i j k l m Less developed country Developed country Slope 2/1 Slope 1/2 So C is relatively cheap in the Developed countries (it has a comparative advantage in cloth) And relatively expensive in the Less-Developed countries where wheat is relatively cheaper (and it has a comparative advantage in wheat)
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) a b c d e f Cloth (metres m) g h i j k l m Less developed country Developed country Slope 2/1 Slope 1/2 If we now allow free trade between the two countries, the free trade price must lie between the two sets of AUTARKY prices
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Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) a b c d e f Cloth (metres m) g h i j k l m Less developed country Developed country Slope 2/1 Slope 1/2 If we now allow free trade between the two countries, the free trade price must lie between the two sets of AUTARKY prices
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Effect of trade on consumption possibilities Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) Cloth (metres m) Less developed country Developed country
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Effect of trade on consumption possibilities Wheat (kilos m) Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) Cloth (metres m) Less developed country Developed country Slope 1/1 Possibilities have clearly risen So can’t be worse off!!
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Effect of trade on consumption possibilities Cloth (metres m) Wheat (kilos m) Cloth (metres m) Less developed country Developed country Imports 600 Exports600 Imports Exports 600 x y
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THE ADVANTAGES OF TRADE The law of comparative advantage – –specialisation as the basis for trade – –absolute advantage – –comparative advantage – –the gains from trade based on comparative advantage In the foregoing model the country is specialised. A more general case follows from the Production Possibility Frontier: The law of comparative advantage – –specialisation as the basis for trade – –absolute advantage – –comparative advantage – –the gains from trade based on comparative advantage In the foregoing model the country is specialised. A more general case follows from the Production Possibility Frontier:
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Equilibrium before trade O Good m Good x Previously could switch workers from cloth to wheat at the same rate e.g. in Developed Country at rate of 8 cloth to 4 wheat
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Equilibrium before trade O Good m Good x But more likely the productivity of workers would decline as more and more were switched From Cloth (Export good x) to wheat (import good M)
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Equilibrium before trade O Good m Good x Production possibility curve So rate declines as output of cloth falls and wheat rises So shape of country’s production possibilities is not a straight line but a curve
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Equilibrium before trade O Good m Good x Production possibility curve Slope = MC x / MC m = MRT
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O Good m Good x Social indifference curves I3I3 I2I2 I1I1 Equilibrium before trade
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O Good m Good x I3I3 I2I2 I1I1 Autarky Price ratio Slope = P x / P m Equilibrium before trade
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At P 1 C 1 MC x P x MU x = MC m P m MU m O Good m Good x I3I3 I2I2 I1I1 P1C1P1C1 Equilibrium before trade
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Equilibrium with trade O Good m Good x I3I3 I2I2 World price ratio P2P2 MC x P x T = MC m P m T P1C1P1C1
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O Good m Good x I3I3 I2I2 World price ratio MU x P x T = MU m P m T C2C2 P1C1P1C1 P2P2 Equilibrium with trade
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O Good m Good x I3I3 I2I2 World price ratio Imports P1C1P1C1 P2P2 C2C2 MCMC MPMP D Equilibrium with trade
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O Good m Good x I3I3 I2I2 World price ratio Imports Exports P1C1P1C1 P2P2 C2C2 MCMC MPMP XCXC XPXP D Equilibrium with trade
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O Good m Good x I3I3 I2I2 World price ratio C2C2 P1C1P1C1 P2P2 Reason for trade IF Prices Differ Then Trade Is Profitable for All
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Why might prices differ? Different technology or physical capabilitiesDifferent technology or physical capabilities –(Land/Minerals) Differences in Factor EndowmentsDifferences in Factor Endowments –Labour/Capital Different tastesDifferent tastes –(same Technology & Factors) Differences in Taxes or competitionDifferences in Taxes or competition –(Monopoly pushes prices up) LAST (NONPRICE) Reason Increasing Returns to Scale
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THE LOSSES FROM TRADE RESTRICTION Problems with protection – –welfare loss from protection Problems with protection – –welfare loss from protection
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Consumer and Producer Surplus Chapter 4 p94 &95 Chapter 11 p292 & 299 Consumer and Producer Surplus Chapter 4 p94 &95 Chapter 11 p292 & 299
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Quantity (tonnes: 000s) Price (pence per kg) Demand A B C D E Demand Curve with market Price of £8
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Quantity (tonnes: 000s) Price (pence per kg) Demand A B C D E However, some consumers were prepared to pay £20 for the good
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Quantity (tonnes: 000s) Price (pence per kg) Demand A B C D E However, some consumers were prepared to pay £20 for the good
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Quantity (tonnes: 000s) Price (pence per kg) Demand A B C D E So all these people have essentially saved £12
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Quantity (tonnes: 000s) Price (pence per kg) Demand A B C D E Similarly, some people were prepared to pay £16
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Quantity (tonnes: 000s) Price (pence per kg) Demand A B C D E Similarly, some people were prepared to pay £16
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Quantity (tonnes: 000s) Price (pence per kg) Demand A B C D E Similarly, some people were prepared to pay £16 So they have all saved £8
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Quantity (tonnes: 000s) Price (pence per kg) Demand A B C D E Similarly, some people were prepared to pay £12
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Quantity (tonnes: 000s) Price (pence per kg) Demand A B C D E Similarly, some people were prepared to pay £12
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Quantity (tonnes: 000s) Price (pence per kg) Demand B In general, everyone along the demand curve who was willing to pay more than £8 is gaining
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Quantity (tonnes: 000s) Price (pence per kg) Demand B In general, everyone along the demand curve who was willing to pay more than £8 is gaining
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X* Demand B This area represents the gain of the Consumer OR Consumer Surplus P max Px*Px*
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X* Demand B This area represents the gain of the Consumer OR Consumer Surplus CS = ½ X(P max -P x *) P max Px*Px* X*
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The cost of protection O P Q S dom (=MC) D dom PwPw Similarly, firms also gain from selling at market price compared with the price they were prepared to supply at
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The cost of protection O P Q S dom (=MC) D dom
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O P Q S dom (=MC) S world PWPW D dom The cost of protection
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O P Q S dom (=MC) S world Q1Q1 Q2Q2 PWPW D dom The cost of protection
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O P Q S dom (=MC) S world a cb Q1Q1 Q2Q2 PWPW D dom The cost of protection
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O P Q S dom (=MC) S world a cb Q1Q1 Q2Q2 PWPW D dom The cost of protection Consumer Surplus Producer Surplus
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O P Q S dom (=MC) S world + tariff S world a cb Q1Q1 Q2Q2 Tariff P W + t PWPW D dom The cost of protection
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O P Q S dom (=MC) S world + tariff S world a cb Q1Q1 Q2Q2 Q3Q3 Q4Q4 Tariff P W + t PWPW D dom The cost of protection
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O P Q S dom (=MC) S world + tariff S world a d e cb Q1Q1 Q2Q2 Q3Q3 Q4Q4 Tariff P W + t PWPW D dom The cost of protection Consumer Surplus
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O P Q S dom (=MC) S world + tariff S world a d e cb f 1 2 3 4 Q1Q1 Q2Q2 Q3Q3 Q4Q4 Tariff P W + t PWPW D dom The cost of protection Loss of CS=1+2+3+4 Gain of PS =1
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O P Q S dom (=MC) S world + tariff S world a d e cb f 1 2 4 Q1Q1 Q2Q2 Q3Q3 Q4Q4 Tariff P W + t PWPW D dom The cost of protection Tariff Revenue =3 3
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O P Q S dom (=MC) S world + tariff S world a d e cb f 1 2 4 Q1Q1 Q2Q2 Q3Q3 Q4Q4 Tariff P W + t PWPW D dom The cost of protection Welfare Loss = 2+ 4 3
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O P Q S world + tariff S world a d e cb f 1 2 4 Q1Q1 Q2Q2 Q3Q3 Q4Q4 Tariff P W + t PWPW D dom The cost of protection Loss of CS=1+2+3+4 Gain in PS=1 Tariff Revenue=3 Welfare Loss = 2+ 4 3
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