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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 1 Cost – performance curves A tool to evaluate alternative remedial options before and during projects
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 2 Background Drs Ben Keet Free University of Amsterdam : Physics & Hydrogeology Work experience 5 years Ass. Lect. Physics & Groundwater Models 5 years Shell International : UK, Algeria, Gabon, London 19 years Geo & Hydro: New Zealand, Australia, US, Europe, NZ Proj. manager 2500 site assessments, 1500 remediations Design & manage : 400 in situ & biological remediations
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 3 CP curves: Conditions of use Good understanding of uncertainties involved Thorough knowledge of effects of remedial techniques to be evaluated Cost estimates need to be complete Accurate and relevant monitoring data
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 4 What we know is not much What we know we don’t know is limited But what don’t we know we don’t know ? Uncertainties keep in mind:
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 5 Groups of Uncertainties 1.Initial conditions 2.Effect of chosen remedial technique(s) 3.Quality of implementation 4.Technical uncertainties 5.Contractual uncertainties
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 6 Initial conditions Heterogeneity : Soil Contaminants Time Contaminant movement Retardation (actual) Leaching (TCLP) (Re-) mobilisation
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 7 Effect of chosen remedial technique(s) - Breakdown speed (half-life time) - The natural or enhanced breakdown potential - Leaching / migration potential (current, during and after remedial action) - Lowest possible attainable concentration by mixing or bioremediation
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 8 Quality of implementation Focus on results Use soil heterogeneity Monitoring aimed at System check Process control Effect monitoring So not only Verification
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 9
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 10 Technical uncertainties Just a few: Presence of sulphides – acid soils Change of redox – mobilisation (As) NA of VOCl’s formation of VC (gas)
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 11 Contractual uncertainties Definition of goals vs. definitions of the deliverables Final sampling methodology Allowable residual risk / contaminants Ownership intellectual property
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 12 Cost – performance curves Case - midpoint evaluation -oil spill ½ under glass house -Emergency response : -Dig trench -Pump fluid to oil/water separator -After 21 months evaluate alternatives
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 13 4 scenarios: 0 = no added activity I, II, III = addition of several in situ techniques
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 14 Set out cost vs. kg contaminant removed Conclusion: Simplest system will eventually remove same oil mass at lowest costs
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 15 Now evaluate S/kg in time
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 16 Conclusions this Case With the added knowledge of hint sight: In this case 1.Full excavation immediately after spill gives highest cost efficiency 2.Note added cost to shut down operations 3.Plus cost for demolition / rebuilding glass house
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 17 Conclusion CP curves 1.Allows technique independent comparison 2.Easy to explain to lay person However: 1.Requires thorough insight in techniques 2.Requires firm costing of alternatives 3.Requires identification of residual uncertainties
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www.benkeet.com ©2006 Ben Keet 18 Questions - Discussion
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