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2011 Census results for Edinburgh some insights into demographic, social and economic change CEC Planning Information, Services for Communities, January 2014
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Scope Census data release – progress to date and Council analysis Edinburgh – distinctive characteristics Key changes since 2001 – size, characteristics and distribution of population Focus on demographic trends – age profile Divergence between Census and Mid Year Population Estimates C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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Census data release programme ‘Univariate’ data : straight counts e.g. age groups, household types, ethnic groups, industry, occupation, car ownership ‘Cross-tabulated’ data e.g. economic activity by ethnic group health by tenure Origin / destination data commuting flows; house moves C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S published for all geographies spring 2014 late 2014
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Summary of Council analysis (1) Currently published : Population, households and age structure (overview) Population distribution and density (Edin. / Scotland / UK) City Comparisons (Edinburgh compared with other UK cities) City Trends (Historical context – change since prev. censuses) Local Area Profiles : (1) wards (2) NPAs (3) community councils Thematic Reports : (1) health (2) ethnicity (3) transport & travel C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S http://www.edinburgh.gov.uk/info/696/census_information/1318/census_2011/2
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Summary of Council analysis (2) Future intentions : Census atlas (distribution / concentration of different ‘client’ groups / needs / market sectors) Additional thematic reports, e.g. students; housing; household formation / types; economic activity Travel-to-work analysis (volume of commuting / mode of travel) C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S http://www.edinburgh.gov.uk/info/696/census_information/1318/census_2011/2
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What is distinctive about Edinburgh ? Young working age adults C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Age profiles : comparative population pyramids, 2011 EdinburghScotlandGlasgow East LothianMidlothianWest Lothian
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What is distinctive about Edinburgh ? Young working age adults Small households C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities
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What is distinctive about Edinburgh ? Young working age adults Small households Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries) C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities
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What is distinctive about Edinburgh ? Young working age adults Small households Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries) Well educated / qualified C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities
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What is distinctive about Edinburgh ? Young working age adults Small households Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries) Well educated / qualified Relatively healthy C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities
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What is distinctive about Edinburgh ? Young working age adults Small households Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries) Well educated / qualified Relatively healthy High proportion of households in flats / tenements C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities
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What is distinctive about Edinburgh ? Young working age adults Small households Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries) Well educated / qualified Relatively healthy High proportion of households in flats / tenements Compact city with high population density Uptake of sustainable travel – public transport, walking, cycling C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities
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What is distinctive about Edinburgh ? Young working age adults Small households Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries) Well educated / qualified Relatively healthy High proportion of households in flats / tenements Compact city with high population density Uptake of sustainable travel – public transport, walking, cycling High employment rate – esp. full-time work C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities
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What is distinctive about Edinburgh ? Young working age adults Small households Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries) Well educated / qualified Relatively healthy High proportion of households in flats / tenements Compact city with high population density Uptake of sustainable travel – public transport, walking, cycling High employment rate – esp. full-time work High dependence on services; little manufacturing C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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What is distinctive about Edinburgh ? Young working age adults Small households Cosmopolitan – large European population (not just A8 countries) Well educated / qualified Relatively healthy High proportion of households in flats / tenements Compact city with high population density Uptake of sustainable travel – public transport, walking, cycling High employment rate – esp. full-time work High dependence on services; little manufacturing Large professional population C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of UK cities
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Key changes since 2001 Total population and households Population distribution Other characteristics Changing age profile C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by population change 2001-2011
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by % population change 2001-2011
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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Edinburgh’s changing age profile Overall comparison with Scotland Comparison of selected age groups with other Scottish local authorities C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by % population change 2001-2011 age 0 to 4
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by % population change 2001-2011 age 25 to 29
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by % population change 2001-2011 age 30 to 34
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by % population change 2001-2011 age 65 to 79
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Scottish LAs ranked by % population change 2001-2011 age 80 plus
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Divergence between the Census and Mid Year Population Estimates (MYPEs) C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Comparison of Census with Mid Year Population Estimates, 2011, by age group
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C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S
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2011 Census results for Edinburgh implications of results for Council’s financial planning
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Implications of results for Council’s financial planning C C E E N N S S U U 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 S S Key expenditure drivers Existing demographic-related provision within LTFP Role of early intervention and prevention Review of existing assumptions – planned work Implications for 2015/16 onwards – Council Tax, NDR and Government Grant
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