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Fundamental Analysis Workshop Series Session Seven – Bottom Up Analysis
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DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS This research material has been prepared by NUS Invest. NUS Invest specifically prohibits the redistribution of this material in whole or in part without the written permission of NUS Invest. The research officer(s) primarily responsible for the content of this research material, in whole or in part, certifies that their views are accurately expressed and they will not receive direct or indirect compensation in exchange for expressing specific recommendations or views in this research material. Metrics Q & A Introduction
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DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS Nothing in this research material constitutes a representation that any investment strategy or recommendation contained herein is suitable or appropriate to a recipient’s individual circumstances or otherwise constitutes a personal recommendation. It is published solely for information purposes, it does not constitute an advertisement and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. No representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. The research material should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgement. Any opinions expressed in this research material are subject to change without notice. Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Agenda Introduction to Bottom Up Analysis Profits Net Tangible Assets Per Share Earnings per Share PE Ratio Return on Equity Leverage Ratios Case Study Metrics Q & A Introduction
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INTRODUCTION Metrics Q & A Introduction
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PROFILE NUS Invest Research Analyst Year 2 BBA Pure Fundamental Analysis Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Introduction to Bottom Up Basically Ratio Analysis Metrics Q & A Introduction LiquiditySolvency ProfitabilityEfficiency
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Introduction to Bottom Up 4 types of ratios To an investor, arguably the more important ratios are Profitability, Efficiency and Solvency Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Profits Net Income EBIT EBITDA Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Where to find? Basic Decrypting Applying the Information Q & A Introduction Net Income Accounting Revenue – Accounting Cost Intuitive and easy to understand However, NI takes into account non cash items Not usually examined on its own but is subsequently used to generate other indicators.
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EBIT Earnings Before Interest and Taxes Adds Interest and Tax Expense to NI Gives a clearer picture of company’s ability to generate profits By taking away distortions from financing cost and tax structure Metrics Q & A Introduction
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EBITDA Earnings Before Interest Tax Depreciation Amortization A PROXY of Operating cash Flow Important in determining firm’s ability to generate cash Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Market to Book Ratio Tells us the market value of a share compared to historical book value If value is less than 1, means the value of the underlying asset is actually more than the price you can buy it at Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Earnings per Share The only financial indicator companies are mandated to provide in their annual report One of the most important indicators of profitability Shows the ability of each share in generating accounting profits Trend is important in analyzing EPS Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Price Earning Ratio Price of Share divided by EPS Values the share based on earnings The lower the PE compared to similar companies the better the value However, more research the reason behind low valuations Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Debt to Equity Most common leverage ratio Shows us the capital structure of the firm Can indicate financing expenditure, solvency of the firm More than 2 is generally high but depends on industry If firm goes bankrupt, what happens? Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Other Leverage Ratios Current Ratio Current Assets / Current Liabilities Not as important compared to debt to equity since current ratio only measures short term liquidity status Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Profit margin Net Profits/Net Sales Shows efficiency of revenue in generating profits Important in evaluating efficiency within the industry Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Return on Equity Net Income / Total Equity Shows how much of income is attributable to equity holders Also shows how efficient company is generating profits with given capital Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Return on Equity King of all ratios Du Pont identity Combines Profit Margin, Equity Multiplier, Total Asset Turnover Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Other Profitability Ratios Return on Assets Shows how efficient assets are in generating profits We are more concerned with ROE Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Case Study: GE Metrics Q & A Introduction Passing Criteria3-Year Change Grade Revenue growth > 30%(4.6%)Fail Improving profit margin35.7%Pass Improving EPS27.7%Pass
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Metrics Q & A Introduction Passing Criteria 3-Year* Change Grade Improving return on equity22%Pass Declining debt to equity(13.4%)Pass Dividend growth > 25%90%Pass
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Other Related News Metrics Q & A Introduction Pole position in renewable energy market Buying up French Wind Farms to bolster market shares New traditional energy deals being signed too Good business prospects for the company
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Case Study Conclusion Never look at only one indicator Look at trends instead of snapshots in time Best to complement bottom up analysis with other related company news such as corporate governance Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Avenues of Information Bloomberg Terminal Bloomberg Website Yahoo Finance Equity Research Reports Metrics Q & A Introduction
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Q & A Metrics Q & A Introduction
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THANK YOU! Metrics Q & A Introduction
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