1. Mexican Agriculture: 12 Years into NAFTA George Dyer September 14 de 2006 Seoul

2. NAFTA 1994 1986GATT 1988-89Institutional reform 1992Agrarian reform

5. Fruits/vegs. 1.3 18.1 16.0 18.4 Robinson 1993 Food corn-1.3-13.1-19.3-18.9

6. México

8. Robinson 1993

10. Loses Corn sector Rain-fed Subsistence Commercial Wage workers Expected outcome of agricultural liberalization Benefits Fruit and vegetable sector Consumers Recommended Gradual trade liberalization Transition policies

11. NAFTA1994 1986GATT 1988-89Institutional reform 1992Agrarian reform 1993Procampo (Cash transfers) 2008Complete liberalization 1991Aserca (Marketing supports) 1996Alianza (Investment subsidies)

12. Agricultural Budget in Mexico

13. Agricultural and Food Exports in Mexico

14. Agricultural and Food Imports in Mexico

15. Agricultural and Food Trade Balance in Mexico YEAR

16. Corn imports in Mexico broken quota imports

17. Cereal and Pulse Real Prices in Mexico BARLEYSORGHUM BEANS SOY CORN

19. Corn production in Mexico RAIN FEDIRRIGATED

20. Mexican corn production and price-supported by region Production (thousands of tons) Price supports (thousands of tons)

21. Corn production in Mexico RAIN FEDIRRIGATED

24. Incomes sources in rural Mexico Household activities Non-ag wages Private transfers Public transfers

26. Real per capita Income (Pesos 2002)

27. Valdes 2004

28. Corn imports in Mexico Poultry quota imports

29. Percent supportedPercent sold Mexican corn production sold and price-supported by region

30. Distribution of Benefits among Producer Types (Alianza Program)

31. Relative Probability of Receiving Benefits among Producer Types (Alianza Program)

33. 0.0 10.0 20.0 1990199119921993 19941995 199619971998199920002001200220032004 AveBovinoPorcino Livestock Real Prices in Mexico PorkOther Poultry