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Institutional-Anomie, Political Corruption, and Homicide Rates Jerry K. DadayWestern Kentucky University Lisa M. Broidy University of New Mexico Dale Willits.

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Presentation on theme: "Institutional-Anomie, Political Corruption, and Homicide Rates Jerry K. DadayWestern Kentucky University Lisa M. Broidy University of New Mexico Dale Willits."— Presentation transcript:

1 Institutional-Anomie, Political Corruption, and Homicide Rates Jerry K. DadayWestern Kentucky University Lisa M. Broidy University of New Mexico Dale Willits University of New Mexico

2 Institutional Anomie Theory (IAT) Framework for examining the influence of cultural and structural forces on violent crime rates between social aggregates (Messner and Rosenfeld, 2006)  Culture of the American Dream Individualism, achievement, universalism, fetishism of money  Structural imbalance between the economy and non- economic institutions Education, Polity, Family, Health Care Devaluation, Penetration, Accommodation  Weakened social support, social controls & pro-social socialization

3 Prior Research Core Hypothesis: Strong non-economic institutions can reduce or mediate the anomic effects of the economy  Inequality often serves as proxy measure for economy  Non-economic institutions have a direct, negative effect on violent crime rates % of GDP spent on education % of GDP spent on health care % of population that votes

4 Prior Research Several cross-national and sub-national test support IAT in whole or in part  Messner and Rosenfeld (1997)  Savolainen (2000)  Pratt and Godsey (2003)  Kim and Pridemore (2005)

5 Limitations of Prior Research The polity remains an understudied area  Studies primarily use % voter turnout to assess the strength/apathy of the polity  The effects of other non-economic institutions have been studied extensively The effects of political corruption on institutional- imbalance has been understudied  Significant implications for IAT  Corruption: economic principals influencing political decision making

6 Current Study Messner and Rosenfeld (2001) stress the need for empirical tests of IAT that incorporate corruption measures  “We have speculated that high levels of corruption result under conditions of political dominance and that the dominance of the so-called primordial institutions such as the family and religion leads to excessive social control and human rights abuses. No one to our knowledge has yet tested these implications of IAT.”

7 Current Study We have attempted to address this need by  Examining the effects of corruption, as a measure of the polity, on cross-national homicide rates Directly (net of controls) Net of non-economic institutions (educ and health care) Interacting with non-economic institutions

8 Our study Sample Size = 97 countries  Includes all countries for which data exist all on variables for at least 1 year between 1998-2004 Average between 1998-2004 OLS Regression Models Imputation: EM Algorithm Dependent Variable: Logged Homicide Rate  United Nations Crime Statistics

9 Independent Variables Polity: Political Corruption Index  Transparency International’s Corruptions Perceptions Index (CPI) From Heritage Foundation  Defines corruption as the abuse of public office for private gain  Composite index draws on different polls and surveys from independent institutions Example: Global Competitiveness Report and World Bank Business Environment and Enterprise Survey

10 Independent Variables Non-Economic Institution Index  Education Teacher ratio and gross secondary enrollments in school World Bank Development Indicators (WBDI)  Health Care % of GDP spent on Health Care, infant mortality, and life expectancy WBDI It was necessary to index these two items because of their high correlation  Loaded on a single component score, Eigenvalue = 3.54

11 Control Variables % Female  WBDI Inequality  Ratio of Top 20% of Income Earners to Bottom 20% of Income Earners  WBDI

12 VariableModel 1Model 2Model 3 Corruption Index0.016**0.010*0.006 Non-economic Institutions--0.251*-0.871** Interaction (Corruption X Non- Economic Institutions) --0.011** Female (%)0.149**0.168** Inequality0.065**0.066**0.057** Constant-7.729**-8.360**-7.910** R2R2 0.40470.43310.4734 * = significant at the 0.05 level, ** = significant at the 0.01 level OLS Regression Coefficients (n=97), DV= log (homicide)

13 Results Control variables: Inequality and % Female have positive relationship with homicide rates Corruption has a positive relationship with homicide Non-economic institutions have a negative relationship with homicide  Mediating effects

14 Results and Conclusions Interaction between Corruption and the Strength Non- economic Institutions  Positive relationship  Non-economic institutions mediate the effects of corruption up to a certain point Before the corruption index reaches 79 (out of 100), non- economic institutions continue to have an overall negative effect on homicide When the corruption index exceeds 79, the non-economic institutions no longer insulate a country from the effects of corruption Conclusion  Pervasive effects of Corruption  Support for IAT: mediating influence of non-economic institutions


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