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Published byAron Fitzgerald Modified over 8 years ago
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Analysts: Kun (Katy) Chen Wenqian (Cathy) Liang Xiaodong (Kyle) Bu Madina Yunossova 2016/4/21 ZAGG Inc.
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Agenda Company Overview Business Model Industry Overview Financial Analysis Projection & Valuation Technical Analysis Recommendation
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Company Overview
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Company Overview Established in 2005, went public in 2009 Microcap company, $221.52M market cap, 234 employees Headquartered in Midvale, Utah, with an international office located in Ireland Designs, produces, and distributes screen protection, keyboards, audio accessories and mobile power solutions Started with InvisibleShield screen protection products, aims at broadening focus to other categories, offering a full line of mobile accessories Source: 10K, company website
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Business Model
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Brand Portfolio Source: 10K Focuses on device protection, from protective film and glass to cases Offers limited lifetime guarantee Films developed originally to protect military helicopters Universal line of full size Bluetooth keyboards compatible with virtually any operating system Power: charges smartphones, tablets, gaming systems and cameras Audio: speakers, earphones Fun, clever, and youthful mobile accessory products Products in audio, cases and power
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Leadership position in mobile device accessories market Source: Investor presentation
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ZAGG’s Evolution Source: Investor presentation
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Sales breakdown by segments Source: 10-K
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Recent News March 28, 2016: ZAGG introduces InvisibleShield Screen Protection and Mobile Keyboard Line for iPhone SE and 9.7-inch iPad Pro February 2, 2016: ZAGG and mophie announced merger agreement September 24, 2015: ZAGG launched in India, targeting India’s $1B mobile accessory market as first step into Asia June 11, 2015: Appointed Bradley J. Holiday as CFO. Mr. Holiday is an accomplished global financial executive with a proven track record of success in the CFO role with leading consumer product companies Source: ZAGG press release
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ZAGG & Mophie Merger Merger forms market share leader in four top accessory categories: battery cases, external batteries, screen protection and tablet keyboards Enhance long-term enterprise value through revenue growth, strengthened product development and expanded distribution Transaction structure: ZAGG paid $100M at closing, plus the amount by which 5X Adjusted EBITDA exceeds $100M over a 12-month earn-out period. Purchase price funded with cash and debt; earn-out financed through cash, debt and common stock Mophie is the #1 selling battery case manufacturer in the world Source: ZAGG press release
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SWOT Analysis Strength: Military standard material, emphasis on quality OnDemand solutions help avoid excess inventory Weakness: Acquisition of mophie increased level of indebtedness significantly Don’t internally develop technology for a number of key products Opportunity: International expansion Partnerships with smartphones and tablets makers Increasing demand for thinner, more delicate products Threat: Don’t own patent for raw materials which is held by exclusive supplier Highly competitive market with numerous competitors
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Industry Overview
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Revenue drivers Source: Statistica, Yankee Group
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Revenue drivers Source: GSMA Intelligence
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Porter’s Five Forces Industry Threat of new entrants High Low capital and technology requirement Low differentiation Threat of Substitutes High Low switching cost Improving technology in phone screen Supplier Bargaining Power Moderate Limited number of suppliers Long agreement and good relationship with suppliers Buyer Bargaining Power Moderate Limited brand loyalty Other alternatives Rivalry High Many strong competitors Weak patent protection
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis: Ratios
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DuPont and Greenblatt Analysis
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Projection & Valuation
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DCF Assumptions Management guidance after the merger Source: ZAGG press release
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DCF Assumptions
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DCF IS Projections
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DCF Discount Rate
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DCF Valuation
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Comparable Analysis Develops and markets hardware and software products that enable or enhance digital navigation, music and video entertainment, gaming, social networking. Its products include portable wireless Bluetooth speakers, keyboards and covers for tablets and smartphones, as well as other accessories for mobile devices Designs, markets, and distributes audio and gaming products. It offers audio and gaming headphones, earbuds, speakers, sports performance products, women's offerings, and other audio accessories Designs, manufactures, and markets lightweight communications headsets, telephone headset systems, other communication endpoints, and accessories for the business and consumer markets Designs, markets, and distributes carry and protective solutions primarily for hand held electronic devices. The company offers hand held electronic devices that include soft-sided carrying cases, bags, clips, hand straps, protective plates, and other accessories Source: Capital IQ
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Comparable Analysis Company NameTickerEV/EBITEV/RevenueForward P/EP/B Market Cap (Millions) Forward Industries Inc.FORD31.61x0.32x19.61x1.61x12.6 Logitech International SALogi17.29x0.97x16.70x3.61x2582.5 Skullcandy Inc.SKUL8.60x0.29x13.80x0.63x100.8 Plantronics, Inc.PLT10.63x1.62x13.82x4.07x1273.6 ZAGG Inc.ZAGG8.27x0.77x10.54x1.69x221.5 Ratio Revenue (ZAGG - $ millions) Implied MultiplesImplied Share Price ($) Weights Average P/B269.32.48x11.2910% P/E15.26x8.2730% EV/Revenue0.80x8.5430% EV/EBIT13.96x10.6430% Share Price ($)9.36
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Technical Analysis
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Technical Analysis Source: Yahoo Finance
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Technical Analysis Source: Yahoo Finance
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Recommendation
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Recommendation Keep on the Watch List DCF Analysis $8.31 Current price $8.05 Comparable Analysis $9.36
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Takeaways Constantly visit Watch List on course webpage Research comprehensively about company before analyzing financials Acquisition: more opportunities, more uncertainties in projections, higher risk
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