1. Who A Multidisciplinary Approach to Threat Analysis Deciphering Terrorism A multidisciplinary approach to threat analysis Dina Subkhankulova, Kira Kowalska, David P. Esparza & Nilufer Tuptuk

2. Greedland – Fairbourne conflict

4. Kira Kowalska MEng Engineering Mathematics (University of Bristol) Kira Kowalska MEng Engineering Mathematics (University of Bristol) Previous Research: BAE Systems – machine learning, maritime anomaly detection Bristol Centre for Complexity Sciences – agent based modelling University of Bristol – spatial pattern analysis, geo- demographics Research Interest: Pattern analysis in networks and spatio-temporal data Agent-based modelling, modelling city complexity Geo-demographics, geographic profiling

5. Nilufer Tuptuk MSc Advanced Computing (Imperial College) BSc (Hons) Computer Science (QMUL) Nilufer Tuptuk MSc Advanced Computing (Imperial College) BSc (Hons) Computer Science (QMUL) Previous Research: CPD in Cybersecurity & Resilience, UCL Secure Routing in Mobile Ad Hoc Networks, Imperial College Trust, security and contract management in Virtual Organisations, Imperial College Research Interest: Threats against Industrial Control Systems Intelligent Anomaly Detection Systems

6. Previous Research: Imperial College – Analysing Quantum systems to determine conditions of emergence of classical behaviour Duvas Technologies– UV differential absorption spectroscopy. Project – designing sensor network to monitor air quality around Brighton primary schools Research Interest: Energy distribution network modelling (ABM, supply-demand) Potential impact of extending SuperGrid to Russia and Africa Potential application to other networks Dina Subkhankulova MSci Physics with Theoretical Physics (Imperial College) Dina Subkhankulova MSci Physics with Theoretical Physics (Imperial College)

7. David Perez Esparza MRes in Public Policy (EGAP-HKSG) MA in Gov - Conflict Resolution (University of Essex) David Perez Esparza MRes in Public Policy (EGAP-HKSG) MA in Gov - Conflict Resolution (University of Essex) Previous Research: Drug policy reform Organised crime and terrorism Police and judicial reform Research Interest: Pattern analysis and crime mapping Anti firearms trafficking policy Anti money laundering policy Situational crime prevention

8. Scanning Sensor network design for air quality monitoring (Dina) Sensor network behaviour analysis (Nilufer) Anomaly detection in air quality data (Kira)

9. Scanning Border control: Supply-demand modelling of imported & exported goods (Dina) Statistical analysis & control of imported chemicals (David) Digital forensics: Investigation of the video attack (Nilufer)

10. Findings from the Analysis Attackers behind the video (Nilufer) Damaged sensors along the mountains (Nilufer) Anomalous increase in ammonium nitrate levels in sensor data along the mountains (Kira) Spike in legal and illegal supply of ammonium nitrate (David & Dina)

11. Attack will most likely take place in the mountains Explosion will be massive (capable of separating the island) Terrorist group identified: SGL Leader: Chemistry Professor at Fairbourne University Conclusion

12. Short term: – Increase policing of the mountains – Explosive confiscation – Arrest terrorists involved Long term: – Dissolve the terrorist network – Improve anti-terrorism intelligence – Implement anti-trafficking policies Response

13. Who A Multidisciplinary Approach to Threat Analysis Deciphering Terrorism A multidisciplinary approach to threat analysis Dina Subkhankulova, Kira Kowalska, David P. Esparza & Nilufer Tuptuk