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Nuclear Energy in 2013: Status and Outlook Paul Genoa Senior Director, Policy Development Nuclear Energy Institute Florida Senate Committee on Communications, Energy and Public Utilities 18 March 2013 1
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Key Points Fuel/technology diversity is core strength of U.S. electricity supply system Nuclear energy is a key part of our electricity portfolio Florida’s legislation to allow recovery of certain development costs led the way for other states 2
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Sources of U.S. Electricity 2011 24.8% Natural Gas Low construction cost Volatile fuel cost Combined cycle capacity factor: 45.6% Steam plant capacity factor: 13.4% Emissions: NOx, CO 2 0.7% Oil Volatile fuel cost Capacity factor: 8.1% Emissions: SO 2, NOx, CO 2 5.3% Renewables (and Other) Very high construction cost No fuel cost Wind capacity factor: 31.8%, Solar cap. fact.: 24.0%, Geothermal cap. fact.: 69.5%, Biomass cap. fact.: 64.6% Emissions from Biomass: SO 2, NOx, CO 2 42.2% Coal High construction cost Capacity factor: 61.1% Emissions: SO 2, NOx, CO 2, particulates, mercury, toxic metals 19.2% Nuclear High construction cost Stable fuel cost Capacity factor: 89.0% Emissions: None 7.8% Hydro Large-scale opportunities gone No fuel cost Capacity factor: 48.3% Emissions: None Source: Ventyx Velocity Suite / Energy Information Administration 3
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U.S. Electricity Sources Which Do Not Emit Greenhouse Gases During Operation 2011 Source: Energy Information Administration 4
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Consistently High Safety Performance Nuclear plant safety performance is consistently high and remained so during 2012 Major events are rare; most measures of safety focus on lesser, precursor events that are resolved well and quickly Most recent report from the NRC’s Industry Trend Program: No significant adverse trends in industry safety performance 5
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Preparing for the Future 73 Under NRC Review Intend to Renew Unannounced License Renewals Sources: Electric Utility Cost Group, Nuclear Regulatory Commission 1 17 13 Approved Capital Spending by U.S. Nuclear Plants (billions of dollars) 6
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U.S. Electricity Production Costs 1995-2011, In 2011 cents per kilowatt-hour Production Costs = Operations and Maintenance Costs + Fuel Costs. Production costs do not include indirect costs and are based on FERC Form 1 filings submitted by regulated utilities. Production costs are modeled for utilities that are not regulated. Source: Ventyx Velocity Suite 7
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U.S. Nuclear Industry Yearly Power Uprates 1977-2012 Source: Nuclear Regulatory Commission 8
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U.S. Nuclear Plant Output Growth Billion kWh Equivalent to 27 new 1,000-megawatt power plants Source: Energy Information Administration 9
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Northeast Natural Gas, Electricity Prices (Gas in $/MMBtu, Electricity in $/MWh) * Price for 4-day weekend (Sat.-Tues.) Source: Energy Information Administration Day-Ahead Spot Gas Price1.22.2013*1.23.20131.24.20131.25.2013 New England$12.34$21.25$29.94$34.25 New York City$16.03$20.75$33.96$36.00 Day-Ahead On Peak Electricity Price 1.22.20131.23.20131.24.20131.25.2013 New England$143.37$200.74$226.84$260.51 New York City$146.80$173.10$224.96$253.36 10
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Approx. 247 GW ( 23% of installed capacity) 30-40 years old Approx. 157 GW ( 14% of installed capacity) 40-50 years old Plant Age Age of U.S. Generating Capacity (Nameplate Megawatts) Source: Ventyx Velocity Suite 11
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U.S. Generating Capacity Additions: The Last 15 Years New Generating Capacity: 1996 - 2011 Coal20,500 Gas324,500 Nuclear1,300 Oil7,200 Renewables52,300 Hydro1,100 Source: Energy Information Administration 12
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Vogtle Project in Georgia Crews at the largest construction project in Georgia’s history prepare Vogtle 3 for 6-foot-thick concrete basemat 13
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Summer Project in South Carolina Containment vessel: lower head and rings Rebar placement at Summer 2 excavation pit 14
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State Legislation/Regulations Supporting New Nuclear Plants and Uprates Nuclear plant under construction New nuclear plant planned Cost recovery Incentives for new plants/uprates 15
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Nuclear Energy: A Solid Value Proposition Clean Air Compliance Value Grid Stability Forward Price Stability Fuel and Technology Diversity Anchor the Local Community: Jobs, Tax Base 16
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