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345 355 365 1986198719881989199019911992 345 355 365 345 355 365 South Pole (89 98S, 24 80W) Palmer Station (64 92S, 64 00W) Cape Grim (40 68S, 144 68E) 345 355 365 345 355 365 Christmas Island (1 70N, 157 17W) Samoa (14 24S, 170 57W) 345 355 365 Cape Kumukahi (19 52N, 154 82W) 345 355 365 Cape Meares (45 48N, 123 97W) 345 355 365 Cold Bay (55 20N, 162 72W) 345 355 365 345 355 365 345 355 365 Alert (82 45N, 62 52W) Mould Bay (76 25N, 119 35W) Barrow (71 32N, 156 60W) Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration (parts per million) SP PS CG A MB B CB CM CK CI S Figure 29.1 Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 -90-60-300306090 Latitude (degrees North) Contribution To Amplitude (%) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Amplitude (ppm) PercentAmplitude Figure 29.2 Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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Figure 29.3 Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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3 2 1 0 -2 -3 3 2 1 0 -2 -3 Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) NPP Anomaly (Pg C yr -1 ) CO 2 Growth Rate Anomaly (Pg C yr -1 ) 198219841986198819901992199419961998 NPP CO 2 MEI Figure 29.4 Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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Figure 29.5 Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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1.20 1.21 1.22 1.23 1.24 1.25 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.29 5001000150020002500 Ambient NPP (g C m -2 yr -1 ) NPP Elevated / NPP Ambient NPP [550] / NPP [376] = 1.18 + 55 / NPP [376] Figure 29.6 Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 AllC3C3 C4C4 TreeShrubC3C3 Grass Forb Response (elevated / ambient) A sat 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 AllTreeShrubC3C3 Grass C4C4 Forb Response (elevated / ambient) gsgs ANPP 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 AllC3C3 C4C4 TreeC4C4 crop C3C3 grass C4C4 Response (elevated / ambient) Figure 29.7 Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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Figure 29.8 0 20 40 60 80 Live aboveground carbon Wood products Other carbon pools 0 20 40 60 Source Sink 0 1020 30 4050 60 Years Carbon Flux (Mg C ha -1 yr -1 ) Carbon (Mg C ha -1 ) 0 1020 30 4050 60 Years Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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Figure 29.9 Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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1700175018001850190019502000 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.1 Annual Carbon Flux (Pg C yr -1 ) Figure 29.10 Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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Coupled carbon cycle-climate model Without carbon cycle-climate feedback Figure 29.11 0 500 1000 1500 -500 Cumulative Carbon (Pg C) 19001950 2000 2050 2100 Atmosphere Emissions Land Ocean 185019001950 2000 2050 2100 185019001950 2000 2050 2100 275 280 285 290 295 Surface Air Temperature (K) Global Land 200 400 600 800 1000 Atmospheric CO 2 (ppm) 0 Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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Figure 29.12 1850 1900 19502000 2050 2100 1850 1900 19502000 2050 2100 200 400 600 800 1000 Atmospheric CO 2 (ppm) Land Carbon Uptake (Pg C yr -1 ) 0 2 4 6 -2 -4 -6 1850 1900 19502000 2050 2100 1850 1900 19502000 2050 2100 Plant Carbon (Pg C) 400 500 600 700 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 Soil Carbon (Pg C) Coupled carbon cycle-climate model Without carbon cycle-climate feedback Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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Figure 29.13 Correlation Coefficient Regression Slope (kg C m -2 yr -1 per C) Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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Coupled carbon cycle-climate model Without carbon cycle-climate feedback Atmosphere Land Ocean Figure 29.14 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 HadCM3LC UMD FRCGC UVic-2.7 CLIMBER MPI CSM1 IPSL-CM4-LOOP BERN-CC IPSL-CM2C LLNL Fraction 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 HadCM3LC UMD FRCGC UVic-2.7 CLIMBER MPI CSM1 IPSL-CM4-LOOP BERN-CC IPSL-CM2C LLNL Fraction 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 HadCM3LC UMD FRCGC UVic-2.7 CLIMBER MPI CSM1 IPSL-CM4-LOOP BERN-CC IPSL-CM2C LLNL Fraction Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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HadCM3LC IPSL-CM2C MPI LLNL CSM1 FRCGC UVic-2.7 UMD BERN-CC CLIMBER IPSL-CM4-LOOP 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75 Airborne Fraction 0.150.200.250.350.400.30 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 Ocean Fraction 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Land Fraction Figure 29.15 Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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Figure 29.16 Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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60S 60N 30S 30N 0 180W 180E 120W 60W 0 120E60E 60S 60N 30S 30N 0 180W 180E 120W 60W 0 120E60E 0.5 0.25 0.1 -0.1 -0.25 -0.5 T ( C) Figure 29.17 A2 biogeophysical B1 biogeophysical 60S 60N 30S 30N 0 180W 180E 120W 60W 0 120E60E 60S 60N 30S 30N 0 180W 180E 120W 60W 0 120E60E A2 biogeochemicalB1 biogeochemical 60S 60N 30S 30N 0 180W 180E 120W 60W 0 120E60E 60S 60N 30S 30N 0 180W 180E 120W 60W 0 120E60E A2 netB1 net Ecological Climatology © 2008 G. Bonan
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