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Human Population Growth Miller Chapter 11-1
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Factors affecting population size Populations grow or decline through the interplay of three factors Births Deaths Migration – Immigration – Emigration
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Migration Emigration – moving away from a population Begins with “E” like exit Immigration – moving into a population Begins with “I” like into
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Population change Population change = (Births + immigration) – (Deaths + emigration) When these balance – ZPG (Zero population growth)
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Birth and death rates Calculated as the number of births or deaths per 1000 people in a population in a given year.
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Annual percent population change
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Fertility Rates Replacement fertility – number of children needed to replace themselves 2.1 to 2.5 per couple.
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Replacement Fertility Rates
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Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Estimate of average number of children a woman will have between ages 15-49 Current world value of 2.9 would result in a world population of 296 billion in 150 years
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Fertility Rates US US population has increased from 76 million in 1900 to over 276 million. Our fertility rates have dropped since 1950, but we continue to grow very rapidly.
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Factors that affect Birth and Fertility rates Importance of children in the workforce Urbanization Cost of raising and educating children Educational and employment opportunities for women Increases Decreases – access to family planning Decreases
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Infant mortality rate Average age of marriage or first child Availability of legal abortions Increases with increasing mortality Increases with lower age decreases
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Availability of reliable birth control Religious beliefs, traditions, and cultural norms Decreases Increases in countries where large families are encouraged
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