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The State of U.S. Energy Security U.S. Chamber of Commerce’s Annual Global Energy Security Report June 10, 2016 Producer: Ben Booker Edited by: Katharine Conlon Director: Afzal Bari
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New Energy Security Report From U.S. Chamber of Commerce Shows U.S. Increased Energy Security June 10, 2016 | Ben Booker Source: Institute for 21 st Century Energy, “International Index of Energy Security Risk 2016 Edition,”, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, June 2016. ENERGY SECURITY U.S. Energy Security Ranking Compared to 25 Large Energy User Countries 1
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Recent Decline Moves U.S. Away From Historic Average of Ninth Ranking in Energy Security June 10, 2016 | Ben Booker Source: Institute for 21 st Century Energy, “International Index of Energy Security Risk 2016 Edition,” U.S. Chamber of Commerce, June 2016. ENERGY SECURITY U.S. Energy Security Ranking Compared to 25 Large Energy User Countries 2
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U.S. Energy Security Score Is Lower Than Its Historical Average, But Does Not Equal Its Best June 10, 2016 | Ben Booker Source: Institute for 21 st Century Energy, “International Index of Energy Security Risk 2016 Edition,” U.S. Chamber of Commerce, June 2016. ENERGY SECURITY U.S. Energy Security Score Compared to U.S.’s Average Score Average Score Includes Scores From 1980-2014 ■ Best Energy Security Score (1998) ■ 2014 Energy Security Score ■ Average Energy Security Score Why U.S. Is Not the Most Energy Secure Today Although the U.S.’s overall energy security rank is at its all- time best, it is not the most energy secure it has been in the past several decades. The reason is the overall energy environment became less secure during the early 2000s even as it started to stabilize after 2007. Therefore, even though the U.S. is doing relatively better than other countries, the global energy market it is operating in is less secure than it was two decades ago. 3
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U.S. Energy Security Is Reflected In Low Energy Prices Compared to Other Rich Countries June 10, 2016 | Ben Booker Source: Institute for 21 st Century Energy, “International Index of Energy Security Risk 2016 Edition,” U.S. Chamber of Commerce, June 2016; International Energy Agency, “Key Energy Statistics: 2016,” November 2016. ENERGY SECURITY Energy Prices For Major Countries Measured in Dollars Per Megawatt Includes G-7 (Except For Canada) ■ Industry ■ Households 4
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U.S. Natural Gas Production Has Dramatically Increased In Past Ten Years Contributing to Energy Security June 10, 2016 | Ben Booker Source: EIA, “Natural Gas Production,” June 2016. ENERGY SECURITY U.S. Dry Natural Gas Production Measured in Billions of Cubic Feet 5
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U.S. Has the Third Largest Shale Gas Reserves Boosting Its Energy Security June 10, 2016 | Ben Booker Source: Institute for 21 st Century Energy, “International Index of Energy Security Risk 2016 Edition,” U.S. Chamber of Commerce, June 2016. ENERGY SECURITY Estimated Shale Gas Reserves Measured in Trillions of Cubic Feet Numbers Reflect Unproven Recoverable Gas Reserves 6
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U.S. Has the Largest Tight Oil Reserves Reducing Its Need For Energy Imports June 10, 2016 | Ben Booker Source: Institute for 21 st Century Energy, “International Index of Energy Security Risk 2016 Edition,” U.S. Chamber of Commerce, June 2016. ENERGY SECURITY Estimated Tight (Shale) Oil Reserves Measured in Billions of Barrels Numbers Reflect Unproven Recoverable Tight Oil Reserves 7
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Large Reserves Will Result In Shale Gas and Tight Oil Making Up 70% of U.S. Natural Gas Production By 2040 June 10, 2016 | Ben Booker Sources: EIA, “Annual Energy Outlook 2016,” May, 2016. ENERGY SECURITY ■ Shale Gas and Tight Oil Plays ■ Tight Gas ■ Lower 48 Offshore ■ Other Projected U.S. Dry Natural Gas Production Measured in Trillions of Cubic Feet 8
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U.S. Has Best Rankings in Price and Market Volatility and Fuel Imports, Worst in Transportation Sector June 10, 2016 | Ben Booker Source: Institute for 21 st Century Energy, “International Index of Energy Security Risk 2016 Edition,” U.S. Chamber of Commerce, June 2016; International Energy Agency, “Key Energy Statistics: 2016,” November 2016. ENERGY SECURITY U.S.’s Weighted Rank For Energy Security Metrics *Includes general factors that are not ranked, but affect global energy market 9
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U.S. Tends To Have Better Rankings In Higher Weighted Categories, Which is Why It Has a High Rank June 10, 2016 | Ben Booker Source: Institute for 21 st Century Energy, “International Index of Energy Security Risk 2016 Edition,” U.S. Chamber of Commerce, June 2016; International Energy Agency, “Key Energy Statistics: 2016,” November 2016. ENERGY SECURITY Weighted Percentage For Energy Security Metrics *Includes general factors that are not ranked, but affect global energy market 10
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In the Past Five Years, the U.S. Has Had a Lower Energy Risk Score Than OECD Average June 10, 2016 | Ben Booker Source: Institute for 21 st Century Energy, “International Index of Energy Security Risk 2016 Edition,” U.S. Chamber of Commerce, June 2016. ENERGY SECURITY Percent Difference in U.S. Risk Score Compared to OECD Average Negative Score Indicates Lower Risk Score and a Higher Rank 11
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The Most Energy Secure Countries Tend To Be Large Oil and Gas Producers ENERGY SECURITY June 10, 2016 | Ben Booker Source: Institute for 21 st Century Energy, “International Index of Energy Security Risk 2016 Edition,” U.S. Chamber of Commerce, June 2016. Most Energy Secure and Least Energy Secure Countries Out of 25 Surveyed ■ Most Secure ■ Least Secure 12 Most Secure 1.) Norway 2.) Mexico 3.) New Zealand 4.) U.S.A 5.) Denmark Least Secure 21.) China 22.) South Korea 23.) Brazil 24.) Thailand 25.) Ukraine
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Report Claims U.S. Energy Security May Be Reduced Due to Clean Power Plan and Unstable Oil Markets June 10, 2016 | Ben Booker Source: Institute for 21 st Century Energy, “International Index of Energy Security Risk 2016 Edition,” U.S. Chamber of Commerce, June 2016.; Noun Project: Daniel Nochta. ENERGY SECURITY Factors That Could Reduce U.S. Energy Security 13 EPA Clean Power Plan CPP requires carbon emission reductions for states Greater requirements may reduce fossil fuel production and increase electricity prices Greater Oil Market Volatility Greater oil output from Saudi Arabia reducing prices Breakdown of coordinating oil production amongst OPEC Results in turbulent oil market
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