1. european capacity building initiativeecbi What was expected from COP 15. An analysis of what the parties expected from the conference David Lesolle, Botswana. european capacity building initiative initiative européenne de renforcement des capacités ecbi for sustained capacity building in support of international climate change negotiations pour un renforcement durable des capacités en appui aux négociations internationales sur les changements climatiques

2. european capacity building initiativeecbi Two People (Countries) Developed Amend Kyoto – and NAI countries come on board Long term Cooperative Agreement - you do your part I do mine! UNFCCC – continue to talk about CC uncertainty and elevate the concerns Don’t read NCs from NAI and their NAPAs Developing : Higher numbers Agreed amend KP by middle of 1 st Commitment period (Copenhagen – COP15) Implement BAP three pillars TT, CB and Finance Adaptation Fund is used

3. european capacity building initiativeecbi Before Bali The KP was AI and NAI; CDM etc Sustainable Development Review of National Communications SB processes bring more and more agenda – more load to the system Breakdown almost at Bali – Africa Group saves the day

4. european capacity building initiativeecbi At Bali Agreed to BAP Two track for LCA and KP review BAP put deadline at COP15. LCA – pre-conditions on TT, CB and Finance. Differences / first fault-lines in the G77 coalition KP Review: numbers & Baselines not strong part of negotiations

5. european capacity building initiativeecbi From Bali to Copenhagen 8 additional meetings – was this the right approach? – maybe step by step was better Africa did not negotiate. Needed strategy - G77 and adaptation To Copenhagen and Africa's expectations almost – conclusions, common sense, submission (pleading?)

6. european capacity building initiativeecbi Africa’s expectations from COP15

7. european capacity building initiativeecbi Nationally appropriate mitigation actions by developing country Parties in the context of sustainable development, supported and enabled by technology, financing and capacity- building, in a measurable, reportable and verifiable manner”

8. european capacity building initiativeecbi Peak later, Mitigate, and Develop, 8 - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024202720302033 2036 2039 2042 2045 2048 Mt CO 2 -equivalent Upper limit of IPCC lowest scenario Unilateral contribution to atmosphere Current Development Trend THE GAP (use the Climate Fund)

9. european capacity building initiativeecbi PROPOSALS ON THE TABLE –GHG emission reductions and limits – Peak, Plateau and decline thereafter. Conditional on Finance, Capacity Building and Tech Transfer – Do we know what means – are we ready? –Carbon pricing concepts, REDD and MRV – carbon tax, transport, government, low carbon economy What’s PAMs for Africa? 9

10. european capacity building initiativeecbi GHG emission reductions & limits 10 Peak Decline Plateau 550

11. european capacity building initiativeecbi PROPOSALS ON THE TABLE –Preparing for the future – education, public awareness, research, outreach what do we mean by CB? –Prioritise Vulnerability & Adaptation: 1 st order maybe okay – but 3 rd & 4 th ? –Integrate & Institutionalising CC work: legislative, regulatory and fiscal package – Are we ready to accept the Finance and TT under what terms? 11