Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byBertha Snow Modified over 8 years ago
1
Joseph Fitzwater, Senior Analyzing Hurricane Intensity with a New Classification for the 21 st Century
2
Introduction Hurricane Katrina is the costliest natural disaster in US history. Its classification did not justify this extreme storm
3
The Saffir-Simpson Scale The current scale in use for classifying hurricanes Created in 1971 by Herbert Saffir and Robert Simpson Based solely on wind speed
4
Purpose of Capstone Create a modern classification for hurricanes before storms make landfall Base this classification on more than just winds More information on a hurricane used in a classification yields a more accurate product to share to citizens
5
Methodology 1) Determine availability of data 2) Find hurricane parameters where data is available, and the parameter is applicable to strength 3) Create a formula from these parameters to accurately rank hurricanes based on these parameters 4) Test this formula on past hurricanes at landfall for precision
6
1) Determine Availability of Data Data available from the NHC (National Hurricane Center) Only some data is available for older hurricanes
7
2) Find Hurricane Parameters Where Data is Available, and the Parameter is Applicable to Strength Parameters chosen based on availability of data in step 1 Parameters include: 1 minute sustained wind speed (As used by Saffir-Simpson scale, knots) Tropical storm force wind radii (knots) Hurricane storm force wind radii (knots) Pressure (mb) Velocity (knots)
8
Maximum One Minute Sustained Wind Speeds A major indicator in determining strength of storm Found near the eye wall of a hurricane
9
Wind Force Radii The amount of distance from the eye (center) of a hurricane where a specific wind speed is measured. Hurricane force wind radii: Distance from the center where hurricane force wind speed is measured (65 knots). Tropical storm force wind radii: Distance from the center where tropical storm force wind speed is measured (35 knots).
10
Pressure Generally parallels strength with maximum one-minute sustained winds of a hurricane. Measure of the barometric pressure of the center of the storm.
11
Velocity Hurricanes generally produce similar rainfall rates Huge indicator of flooding.
12
3) Create a Formula from these Parameters to Accurately Rank Hurricanes Based on these Parameters W= 1 minute maximum sustained winds T = Tropical storm force wind radii H = Hurricane force wind radii V = Velocity P = Pressure Produces Point Value (x) to be categorized
13
4) Test this formula on past hurricanes at landfall for precision
14
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Rank
15
Category Classification
16
Hurricane Rank from Developed Formula
17
Conclusions The size of a hurricane’s impact has a significant impact on this project’s categorization system. Both the tropical storm and hurricane force wind radii provided a sufficient glimpse in determining areas of significant impact. Wind speed still bears a large weight in determining classification, but the introduction of additional parameters lessens its impact, since the Saffir-Simpson scale is solely based on winds. Velocity has a significant role in this classification, since flooding is a common bi-product of hurricanes.
Similar presentations
© 2024 SlidePlayer.com. Inc.
All rights reserved.