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1 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Danny Windham, CEO Digium, Inc. The 2000’s The Telephony Decade from Hell (or was it?)
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2 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement The telephony industry today holds little resemblance to the one in place at the beginning of the decade !
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3 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement The beginning of the decade …
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4 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement The Year 2000 Life was good! Economy was strong, industry was wealthy Y2K –Drove infrastructure upgrades Nortel’s market cap was > $300B Lucent’s market cap > $250B –Avaya spun out in Fall 2000 Cisco Call Manager introduced –Based upon the 1998 acquisition of Selsius Asterisk was an infant – born in 1999
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5 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement The end of the decade …
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6 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement The Year 2009 Life is scary! Industry in turmoil World economy melts down Significant changes in the vendor community –Avaya, Siemens Enterprise, Mitel have all become private companies –And now Nortel is private Nortel acquired by Avaya for $900M PBX market down 31% over prior year (Infonetics) –IP PBX down only 13% Asterisk turns 10 years old
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7 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement What’s different today?
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8 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Significant Changes Big Iron PBXs are a dying breed –Voice becomes an application running on standard hardware Separate Telephony departments are headed toward extinction –Voice becomes a type of data on the data network Long distance charges no longer dominate the IT budget –Voice rides on public and/or private IP circuits
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9 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement PBX Market Share - 2000 Source: Eastern Management
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10 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement PBX Market Share - 2009 Source: Eastern Management
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11 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement PBX Per User Pricing
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12 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement What happened?
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13 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Industry Trend: Data networks became reliable enough to support voice
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14 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Industry Trend: IP became the preferred transport for all data types
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15 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Industry Trend: Voice over IP displacing traditional TDM telephony
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16 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Industry Trend: Bandwidth costs plummeted
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17 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Industry Trend: Communication systems becoming software products
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18 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Industry Trend: Open source software disrupting proprietary alternatives
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19 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Why did this happen?
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20 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement It’s all about the money! Running a single department costs less than running two –Driving the extinction of the voice department Installing a single infrastructure costs less than installing two –Driving the adoption of VoIP Bandwidth falls victim to supply and demand –Cost To stream a movie - Today: $.05 : In 1998, $270 Dan Rayburn, Wired Magazine Standards-based, high-volume, computers cost less than proprietary big iron –Driving voice solutions to a software model Open Source costs less than proprietary alternatives –Driving the acceptance of open source voice solutions
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21 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement What happened? Users seeking to lower costs drove these industry trends
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22 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement What can we learn that can be applied to this decade?
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23 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Users seeking to lower costs will drive a number of new industry trends !
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24 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Industry Trend Economic weakness driving new cost pressures
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25 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement General Economic Impacts Downturn in the economy has taught companies to do more with less Discretionary spending has been reduced Market conditions favor cost-effective solutions over premium branded ones Economic pressures raising awareness and interest in lower cost alternatives – such as open source
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26 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement IT spending declined 3.9% in 2009 – will we see a recovery in 2010? –Gartner doesn’t see spending returning to 2008 levels until 2012 26% of CIOs see VoIP as a way to save money on recurring service fees 70% of CIOs expect to make near-term VoIP investments –VoIP is the fourth highest rated investment area 21% of VARs named VoIP the technology that will generate the most near-term growth Economic Impacts on VoIP Source: ChannelWeb 2009
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27 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Industry Trend: Unified Communications adoption will rise
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28 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Unified Communications Impact UC = complete communications solution supporting: –Voice –Fax –Presence –Conferencing –Chat –Video Market for UC Products –$2.8B in 2009 –Predicted to be $18B by 2012 41% of VARs predicted Unified Communications to be the area of most innovation/creativity over the next 12-18 months Forrester Group InStat 2009 ChannelWeb 2009
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29 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Industry Trend: Mobility plays a bigger role in corporate communications
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30 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Mobility Impacts Mobile VoIP grows –3G, WiFI, WiMax, and LTE network options –50% of all mobile traffic will be VoIP by 2019 Gartner Group - 2009 2009 – 15% of mobile phones are smart phones 2013 – Predicted to be 38% Informa Telecom and Media - 2009 4B estimated mobile subscribers in 2013 –1.5B smart phones Fixed mobile convergence gains acceptance –6.3M FMC handset connections in 2009 –Predicted to be 27M connections in 2014 ABI Research - 2009
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31 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Industry Trend: Voice services join the cloud computing party – albeit a late arrival
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32 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Cloud Computing Impacts IDC predicts three-fold increase in cloud computing spending over the next 5 years –Capturing 25% of IT spending in the process PBX as an application benefits little from the elasticity of cloud computing PBX as an application can benefit from virtualization –Lowers hardware costs Hosted voice service adoption will come initially from small businesses
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33 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Industry Trend: Open source software continues to disrupt proprietary alternatives
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34 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Open Source Adoption Trends Source: Forrester Research 2/2009
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35 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Industry Trend: Asterisk remains the de facto choice for open source telephony
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36 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement 36 What is Asterisk? 36 Open source software project that is a flexible communications engine from which many communications applications can be constructed
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37 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Asterisk – The Project –10 years in the making –More than 65,000 community members –Deployed in more than 170 countries –Over 2 million downloads in 2009 –Over 800 active & current contributors –Extensive hardware interoperability matrix –Over 150 apps available Voicemail, IM integration (XMPP), speech recognition Speech synthesis, Native Skype connectivity, etc.
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38 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Asterisk Ecosystem An entire industry has formed around open source telephony … –Hundreds of Ecosystem members –Digium Asterisk World 20 Asterisk ecosystem partners represented –New Asterisk Marketplace launched today www.asteriskexchange.com www.asteriskexchange.com Over 100 products there today
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39 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement So, were the ‘naughts’ really the telephony decade from hell?
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40 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement If you were a traditional big-iron PBX vendor or employee, then … YES!
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41 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement But, if you were an end-user of communications products and services – then …
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42 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement You saw your … Equipment costs fall by more than 33% Infrastructure management costs fall by 50% + Bandwidth costs reduced by 1000% and…
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43 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement The power shift… From proprietary suppliers to End Users
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44 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement It was one hell of a decade!
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45 Creative Innovation – Customer Satisfaction – Continual Quality Improvement Danny Windham, CEO Digium, Inc. The 2000’s The Telephony Decade from Hell (or was it?)
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