1. DRAFT NO MORE NEET – MODULE 2 ANALYSIS 05 OCTOBER 2015

2. ©Social Finance 2015 DRAFT There is a significant drop of NEETs and Not Knowns from January 2014 to January 2015. The drop is partly explained through an increased proportion of young people in education due to the increase of the participation age starting September 2014. ABOUT THE HISTORIC COHORT (17 TO 19 YEAR OLDS) 2 NEETs # 17-19 year olds* % NEET % EDUCATION % EMPLOYMENT % TRAINING 604 8579 7% 73% 15% 3% 677 8725 8% 68% 20% 3% 1022 8598 12% 61% 17% 3% 1342 8826 15% 65% 13% 5% 1164 8676 13% 61% 15% 3% Apr 2015 Jan 2015 Jan 2014Jan 2012Jan 2013 NOT KNOWN 2% 7%2%8% * Samples are drawn from people who were aged 17-19 at the end of the respective fiscal years

3. ©Social Finance 2015 DRAFT MONTHS OF NEET DECREASED BY SHORTER SPELLS OF NEET 3 * Samples are drawn from people born in 1994, 1995 or 1996, with at least 30 months of recorded data The earlier cohorts experience longer, but no more frequent spells of NEET.

4. ©Social Finance 2015 DRAFT OTHER PERSONAL CHARACTERISTICS HAVE A STRONGER IMPACT THAN EDUCATION 4 Pregnant /Carer 20 PRU - 75% Pregnant/Carer - 70% 36 YOT - 72% Not PRU - 70% 64 Truant - 75% Not YOT - 69% 57 Poor GCSEs - 74% Not Truant - 65% 26 Good GCSEs - 46% Care Leavers 16 PRU - 56% Care Leaver - 36% 13 YOT - 54% Not PRU - 31% 8 Truant - 38% Not YOT - 24% 38 Not Truant - 21% At least CiN 109 PRU - 35% CiN - 20% 119 YOT - 40% Not PRU - 17% 147 Truant - 22% Not YOT - 12% 212 Benefits - 10% Not Truant - 7% 135 Not Benefits - 4% Medium/high engagements with CSC 100 PRU - 31% 6 or more engagements with CSC- 16% 131 YOT - 25% Not PRU - 14% 76 Benefits - 20% SEN - 16% Not YOT - 13% 44 Not Benefits - 9% 301 Truant - 20% Not Sen - 12% 250 Benefits - 10% Not Truant - 7% 212 Not Benefits - 3% No remarkable characteristics 26 PRU - 35% Fewer than 6 engagements with CSC - 4% 15 SEN - 33% YOT - 8% Not PRU - 4% 233 Not Sen - 6% 45 Benefits - 16% SEN - 11% Not YOT - 4% 87 Not Benefits 9% 141 Truant - 12% Benefits - 6% Not SEN - 4% 1051 Not Truant - 6% 260 Truant - 5% Not Benefits - 3% 28 Estate - 14% Not EngLang - 5% Not Truant - 3% 929 Not Estate - 5% 1422 Poor GCSEs - 3% EngLang - 2% 2228 Good GCSEs - 2% There is an identifiable 15% of the population that account for ~60% of the NEETs CASES KEY CHARACTERISTICS OF YOUNG ADULTS

5. ©Social Finance 2015 DRAFT Young people with more severe needs are more likely to be or have been NEET, but are also NEET longer and more often. SEVERE NEEDS INCREASE NEET DURATION AND SPELLS 5 %NEET at any point in time # People* Average months of data Average % of time NEET Average # times NEET Average longest spell of NEET (months) 148 12.6 89% 54 36.6 26% 2.2 5.6 68% 527 38.1 20% 1.4 5.1 40% 5732 38.2 6% 0.6 1.7 59% 1108 38.5 14% 1.0 3.8 Care Leavers At least CiN No remarkable characteristics Engagements with CSC 92% 38.7 52% 2.3 Carers / Pregnant * Samples are drawn from people born in 1994, 1995 or 1996, with at least 30 months of recorded data

6. ©Social Finance 2015 DRAFT The dominant NEET journey is different for the five identified segments. While carers are more likely to experience sustained periods of NEET, care leavers are much more likely to be churners. YOUNG PEOPLE WITH DIFFERENT NEEDS HAVE DIFFERENT JOURNEYS 6 Sustained period(s) of NEET NEET for at least 12 consecutive months Avoided NEET Never NEET in observed time Multiple short spells of NEET NEET for less than 12 consecutive months, but more than once Short single spell NEET, only once and never for longer than 12 months 65% 8% 15% 11% 50% 24% 16% 32% 27% 25% 4% 60% 10% 26% 11% 41% 20% 28% Care Leavers At least CiN No remarkable characteristics Engagements with CSC 20% 7% Carers / Pregnant * Samples are drawn from people born in 1994, 1995 or 1996, with at least 30 months of recorded data # People* 148 54 46158761030