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1 The Disparity Story by the Numbers Shaun Williams-Wyche, Ph.D. Minnesota Office of Higher Education Shaun.Williams-Wyche@state.mn.us April 28, 2016
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2 The Status Quo Second in the nation in postsecondary attainment 49% of Minnesotans age 25 and older have an associate degree or higher Minnesotans of color have lower attainment rates Significant educational gaps exist by race/ethnicity with regard to: High school graduation College readiness Postsecondary enrollment/mismatch Postsecondary retention/completion
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3 High School Students of Color Graduated in 4 Years at Lower Rates, 2015
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4 College Enrollment Has Increased over Time but Enrollment Gaps Exist
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5 Students of color and non-English speakers enroll in developmental education at higher rates
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6 Students of color are concentrated at two- year institutions, Fall 2014
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7 Students of color graduated from college at lower rates, 2013
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8 Minnesota’s Communities of Color Are Projected to Grow
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9 Within higher education, students of color will become a larger share of undergraduate enrollment in the state.
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10 Legislatively Set Attainment Goal 2025 – 70% attainment rates for ages 25-44 Includes certificate, associate, bachelor level 70% attainment rate for each race/ethnic group Interim benchmarks of 30% and 50% for each race/ethnic group OHE tasked by law to annually report progress (Minnesota Laws 2015 Chapter 69, Article 3, Section 25)
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11 Minnesota’s Attainment Goal Current educational attainment rate for 25-44 50% aged 25-44 have attained associate or higher We already had certificate completion data, but no current certificate attainment data The State Demographer’s Office, MnSCU, DEED and OHE have established a methodology for estimating postsecondary certificate attainment The mortality of the certificate holders The migration of certificate holders into and out of the state The advancement of certificate holders to higher levels of educational attainment The progression of cohorts into and out of the 25 to 44 age group—the age group specified in Minnesota’s educational attainment goal
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12 Minnesota’s Attainment Goal Current attainment by race Rates vary widely by race/ethnicity By associate degree and higher By certificate attainment and higher
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13 Source: US Census Bureau
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14 Population Age 25-44, Minnesota, by Basic Race Groups
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15 Source: US Census Bureau Population aged 25-44 with an associate degree or higher
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16 Population Age 25-44 with an Associate Degree or Higher, Minnesota, by Detailed Race Categories Source: US Census Bureau
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17 Source: MN State Demographic Center Population Age 25-44 with a Certificate as their Highest Postsecondary Award, Minnesota by Basic Race and Ethnicity Categories
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18 Source: MN State Demographic Center Population Age 25-44 with a Certificate or Higher Credential, Minnesota by Basic Race and Ethnicity Categories
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19 Reaching the 70 Percent Attainment Goal (Associate Degree and Higher) Group (age 25-44) People to attain 70% goal Percentage Points to attain 70% goal ALL 276,50020% American Indian 8,20056% Asian (total) 8,60011% Black (total) 34,50040% Multiracial 5,90027% Other Race 70035% White 177,10016% Hispanic (total) 41,50050% Source: Minnesota Demographic Center
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20 Reaching the 70 Percent Attainment Goal (Certificates and Higher) Group (age 25-44) People Ages 25-44 (Figure 10) Number Holding a Certificate or Higher Degree Percent Holding a Certificate or Higher Degree (Figure 19) Percentage Points to attain 70% goal Population needed to attain 70% goal American Indian 14,5003,10021%49%7,100 Asian 76,50048,00063%7%5,400 Black 85,20030,20035% 29,800 Multiracial 21,90010,90050%20%4,400 White 1,124,000690,10061%9%101,200 Hispanic 82,60019,50024%46%38,000 Unknown 2,000N/A ALL 1,406,700809,20058%12%168,800
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21 Setting Targets for Growth “Attainment Goal Stakeholder Group” is identifying strategies for increasing attainment The primary levers for increasing attainment are to improve: Best-fit postsecondary enrollment College readiness Retention/graduation Improvements operationalized at both the campus and system levels
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22 Research-Based Best Practice Examples Social and Campus Integration Summer bridge programs Academic Policies that Promote Completion Proactive advising Appropriately structured developmental education Alternative Pathways to Completion Expand postsecondary credit options during high school Expand apprenticeship and paid internship related to education programs Best-fit affordability
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