1. IRMP and risk assessment Kirsty Bosley Fire and Resilience Research and Statistics Division

2. 2 IRMP Guidance Note 1 “The Government thinks that a modern and effective fire and rescue service should serve all sections of our society fairly and equitably by: a. reducing the number of fires and other emergency incidents occurring; b. reducing loss of life in fires and accidents; c. reducing the number and severity of injuries in fires and other emergency incidents; d. reducing the commercial, economic and social impact of fires and other emergency incidents; e. safeguarding the environment and heritage (both built and natural), and f. providing value for money.”

3. 3 IRMP Guidance Note 1 identify existing and potential risks to the community within the authority area (risk assessment) evaluate the effectiveness of current preventative and response arrangements (response planning) identify opportunities for improvement, determine policies and standards for prevention and intervention and determine resource requirements to meet these policies and standards (modelling the consequences of resource deployment) Risk assessment Response options Risk level OUTCOMES Time of arrival Prevention Protection Response FSEC Toolkit

4. 4 Challenge your Models Are they robust and consistent and do they tell you what would happen if… Crewing changes Fire safety changes – e.g. sprinklers Stations move Shift systems change Is the risk assessment compatible with Targeting CFS Fire safety data Community risk registers Neighbours Can it tell me outcomes Lives saved Property saved

5. 5 IRMP Process Scope Risk analysis Strategies Delivery Monitoring & Review

6. 6 Improving the evidence base for IRMP Research into : Risk assessment tools, techniques and data for IRMP and CCA purposes with the Cabinet Office Development of Major Incident module : tie in with CCA and risk assessment, EA assessments and provide outcomes where possible CFS evaluation Recent research has provided a relationship between smoke alarm ownership and reduction in dwelling fire risk ‘Workload’ modelling Plan to roll out current version, gives good answers but slow Simulation proof of concept model has also been developed to improve speed

7. 7 Future Research to underpin the evidence base Research Councils Ideas Factory for the IRMP Steering Group £1.45m of research funding in spring 2008 “to support the strategic priorities for the Fire and Rescue Service in the next 10 years to enable a proportionate and balanced approach to prevention, protection and response activities."