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The Indian Raw Cashew Nut Scenario -by K Pramod Kamath.

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Presentation on theme: "The Indian Raw Cashew Nut Scenario -by K Pramod Kamath."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Indian Raw Cashew Nut Scenario -by K Pramod Kamath

2 The Scenario Tour The Crop History Factors Affecting Crop The 2016 Crop The Future

3 Raw Cashew Quantity -A highly conservative industry estimate

4

5 StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000

6 StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000

7 StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000

8 StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000 Tamil Nadu70,000

9 StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000 Tamil Nadu70,000 A.P/Telangana80,000

10 StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000 Tamil Nadu70,000 A.P/Telangana80,000 Maharastra150,000

11 StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000 Tamil Nadu70,000 A.P/Telangana80,000 Maharastra150,000 Orissa90,000

12 StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000 Tamil Nadu70,000 A.P/Telangana80,000 Maharastra150,000 Orissa90,000 Gujarat3,000

13 StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000 Tamil Nadu70,000 A.P/Telangana80,000 Maharastra150,000 Orissa90,000 Gujarat3,000 Others15,000

14 Raw Cashew Growth Rate StateQuantity in MT Goa5% Kerala0% Karnataka5% Tamil Nadu5% A.P/Telangana8% Maharastra10% Orissa10% OthersAbove 10%

15 Raw Cashew Price YearRs/KgINR/US D USD/MTYearRs/KgINR/USDUSD/M T 199320.6731.3765920054144.03927 199423.5031.3774920063345.18729 199527.2632.7883220073340.92800 199629.2335.3982620083644.44815 199727.0036.5873820094748.16982 199828.5441.5168820106045.681313 199935.1143.1281420117847.381636 200034.7045.1276920127353.661351 200129.1047.2661620138359.091396 200231.2248.4864420148860.921444 200331.9546.2969020159864.451521 200431.6045.05701201610567.841548 Price Growth 1993 to 2016 @ 6.3% Price Growth 2008 to 2016 @ 9.98%

16 Factors Affecting Crop Rainfall during monsoon season Winter temperatures and dryness Post flowering rain showers Post flowering temperatures Pest Active Farming

17 Rainfall 2015 was a good year. November December saw some rain.

18 Winter Usual winter starts early Nov. 2015 winter set in late Nov

19 Flowering Flowering delayed by 3 to 4 weeks in South West crop Reports of Early flowering in Orissa and Maharastra. Flowering is Good

20 Temperature Temperatures need to be Cool in night and moderate in the afternoon

21 Clouds and Humidity Clouds and humidity conditions responsible for flowers surviging or drying up

22 Pest Tea Mosquitoes strongly affect Cashew Crop. Certain cloudy, humid conditions promote Tea Mosquitoe population leading to crop shortage.

23 Active Farming Pruning Fertilizing Irrigating Tending Pest Control Harvest and practices Overall Cost vs Yield Competing Crop Yield - Rubber Mango Tobacco Sugar Cane

24 2016 Scenario Flowering is delayed in some varieties and areas Rest of the Weather conditions on track Farmer Interest is Up since Competing crops are down RCN arrival is STEADY RCN quality is good due to Delay! Slightly Delayed Normal Crop Predicted

25 India RCN Future Cashew Manufacturers Associations of Karnataka, Goa, Maharastra, AP, Odisha etc promoting cashew crop Distribution of saplings Sapling DEMAND is HIGH Sapling SHORTAGE CASHEW APPLE thrust KSCDC Auction UP 20% AP Forest Autction UP 100%

26 Conclusion Domestic Cashew consumption increasing Processing Capacity in India Demand will push crop growth Farmer interest is Rejuvenated Growth rate will be maintained Vision - 2Million MT by 2030

27 If you think in terms of a year, PLANT A SEED If you think in terms of 10 years, PLANT TREES If in terms of 100 years, TEACH THE PEOPLE.


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