1. TRAINING ENGINEERING MANPOWER for 20 20 20 16/11/2011V I Maduka1

2.  New York Wall Street (G-S), around 2005, forecast  Nigeria could be among the world’s largest 20 economies  By year 2025  Given its economic growth trajectory then  The Nigerian government, at the time, said  Lets do it by 20 20  Or words to that effect  Hence 20:2020 16/11/2011V I Maduka2

3.  Engineering: Practical application of Science  Industry and Commerce  Industry  Low industrial level  High activity in Oil and Gas  Low indigenous participation/ownership  Energy and electric power ?  Commerce and Services  IT  Transportation  Environmental economics 16/11/2011V I Maduka3

4.  How effective in  Manufacturing  Construction  Energy  Mining  Research, teaching  Consultancy  Commerce  Finance  Government  Management 16/11/2011V I Maduka4

5.  Nigerians demand Today  Self reliance  Industry, processing  Mining  Energy  Food production, Health  Employment  Manufacturing (machines, fabrication, goods)  Market and investment  Technical entrepreneurship 16/11/2011V I Maduka5

6.  Man (engineer) is exhorted  Conquer and dominate Nature (S & T)  No date was given  So, 2020  As a Symbolic time, some Focus  Whether 2020, or 2025, or........ 16/11/2011V I Maduka6

7.  Socialist, controlled, planned economies seem to have failed  Soviet type political economies out of date  Profit eyeing China emerging economic giant  Unfettered, free-wheeling profit seeking capitalism seems in trouble  Unethical dealing by products of the top capitalist Schools  Unearned, credit based life styles and standards  Unelected prime ministers taking over 16/11/2011V I Maduka7

8.  Indians were admonished (PM Indira Ghandi)  If you must use it, make it  Result up till the early 90s  Approached self sufficiency in quantity, if uncompetitive  Industrial goods  Consumer goods  Food  Poverty  High ratio between rich and poor 16/11/2011V I Maduka8

9.  Ancient India excelled, from narrations and relics  Temples, Metal works, alloys, in idols, swords, etc  Ornaments, cotton, silk fabrics  Modern S & T in India  First technical institution in 1794 (surveying)  Total of 4 technical institutions by 1859 16/11/2011V I Maduka9

10.  Graduate population (circ 2008)  Only 7%, but over 80 million, larger than most whole nations  57% of professors are reportedly lacking in Masters or PhD degrees  Private education  Market is 5%  Value $40 bn in 2008  Estimated $68 bn (over N10 tr) in 2012 16/11/2011V I Maduka10

11.  In year 2008 alone, India added  45 higher educational institutions  30 institutes of technology (IITs), management, science, etc  15 “central universities’’  A 2007/2008 report of India’s National Knowledge Commission recommended  1,500 new universities 16/11/2011V I Maduka11

12.  In 2007 Engineering degree-granting schools  Numbered 1,668 (up from 50 in 1950)  Admissions 582,000 pa  Polytechnics in 2011  Numbered 1,244  Intake 285, 000 p a  Pro-rate for Nigeria, population 167 M (2011)  155 strictly engineering universities  Admitting 58,000 students pa  Plus 124 polytechnics  Admitting 28,00 students p a 16/11/2011V I Maduka12

13. From: Higher Technical Education in India- Profile of Growth and Future Perspectives Indian Economy growing at 7-8% pa  Workforce aims to meet  Entire world’s shortage of technical and professional graduates  India as world premier environment for  Scientific, technological research, and development  New businesses, enterprises, innovation  At home and abroad, including outsourcing 16/11/2011V I Maduka13

14.  India desires  Cleaner cities  Citizens  More modern  More enlightened, more responsible  Institutions  More effective  More responsive  S.Korea, or some other Knowledge economy  “Post knowledge “, post-PC economy  2050 vision  These would all be subsequently translated into Quantities  What cannot be counted cannot be measured ? 16/11/2011V I Maduka14

15.  Ancient Nigerian S & T:  Earliest iron working site in the world (Opi)  World’s earliest and largest stone tool lead production (Okigwe)  Modern S & T in Nigeria (in the 1940s)  School of Survey, Oyo  Higher College, Yaba 16/11/2011V I Maduka15

16.  Nigeria’s Vision 2010 was essentially quantitative  Happy, healthy, peaceful, informed society, etc  Nigeria’s Vision 20-2020 more quantitative  To be among the 20 largest economies by year 2020, Nigeria will  Climb from 44 th /42 nd position or so  Grow GDP from about $200 bn to about $1bn  Grow annually at 15% or more for most of those years 16/11/2011V I Maduka16

17.  20 th position now  Poland with GDP $470 bn approx  Nigeria currently 44, 41 in position  GDP $193/202 bn  India currently 9 th position  GDP about $1,600 Bn ($1.6 tr)  For complete picture  USA 1 st or 2 nd to EU depending on source  EU $16 tr, USA 14.5 tr 16/11/2011V I Maduka17

18. 16/11/2011V I Maduka18 Nigeria

19.  Nigerian engineering university output will need to grow faster than 15% pa  As driver of the economy, after the Indian model  In reaction to the free market demand of the economy (demand driven)  Polytechnic education to deliver at least one half of university output (Indian model)  Implication for secondary school science  Teachers statistics  Infrastructure 16/11/2011V I Maduka19

20.  Power,.... for example  Low supply has not been able to trigger innovative solution  Beyond the Diesel generator  (Institute of Venture Design)  Even beyond the Telecom revolution  Power could lead to exponential growth  Industries  Demand for Engineers 16/11/2011V I Maduka20

21.  T H A N K Y O U 16/11/2011V I Maduka21