3. Planning for Economic Development

4. Marcus Spiller An Independent Assessment

5. Melbourne 2030 – Principles and Economic Impact Metropolitan Planning and SA’s Economic Performance Metropolitan Planning and SA’s Economic Performance Presentation to PIA Seminar Planning for Economic Development Wednesday, 15 July 2009 Sebel Playford, North Terrace Adelaide Dr Marcus Spiller Director, SGS Economics & Planning Pty Ltd

6. Melbourne 2030 – Principles and Economic Impact Metropolitan Planning and SA’s Economic Performance

7. Melbourne 2030 – Principles and Economic Impact Melbourne 2030 vs. Base Case: % Change in New Dwelling Distribution by Travel Zone (2031) Melbourne 2030 vs. Base Case: % Change in New Employment Distribution by Travel Zone (2031) Metropolitan Planning and SA’s Economic Performance

8. Melbourne 2030 – Principles and Economic Impact Traffic Modelling -AM Flow Differences: Base Case  M2030 Red Shading – Increase in Flow Green Shading – Reduction in Flow Metropolitan Planning and SA’s Economic Performance

9. Melbourne 2030 – Principles and Economic Impact Metropolitan Planning and SA’s Economic Performance Melbourne 2030’s impact on travel patterns

10. Melbourne 2030 – Principles and Economic Impact Metropolitan Planning and SA’s Economic Performance

11. Melbourne 2030 – Principles and Economic Impact Key links between metropolitan form and economic performance  Logistics, freight connections  Journey to work savings  Greenhouse gas and other externality savings  Agglomeration economies / innovation potential  Human capital enhancement  Livability / investment attraction Metropolitan Planning and SA’s Economic Performance

12. Melbourne 2030 – Principles and Economic Impact M2030 and Victoria’s Economic Performance – TRYM Modelling  Due to M2030, Victoria’s GSP would be permanently higher by around 3% when compared to base case.  Total tax revenue collected from Victoria would be higher by approximately 3%.  In dollar terms, Victoria’s GSP to be higher of $19b per annum on average. Tax revenues expected to be higher by $4.8b per annum on average. Metropolitan Planning and SA’s Economic Performance

13. Melbourne 2030 – Principles and Economic Impact Metropolitan Planning and SA’s Economic Performance State Location Quotients for Advanced Business Services – Australia 1986 - 2006

14. Melbourne 2030 – Principles and Economic Impact Metropolitan Planning and SA’s Economic Performance Estimated Inter-regional ‘Export Jobs’ in Advanced Business Services – Australian Metropolitan Areas – 2006

15. Melbourne 2030 – Principles and Economic Impact Reflections on the Draft Plan for Greater Adelaide  Sufficient focus on central Adelaide?  Tension between compact city aspiration and land supply commitments  Implied control over distribution of future employment may be ambitious  Small business development in local areas – the nexus with urban design and land subdivision  ‘Governance’ reforms look more like ‘administrative’ reforms Metropolitan Planning and SA’s Economic Performance

16. Melbourne 2030 – Principles and Economic Impact Metropolitan Planning and SA’s Economic Performance

17. Angela Hazebroek, FPIA CPP Final Comments & Close

18. Upcoming Events July 24 – Precision in Decision August 5 – Planning, Politics & People August 21 – State Conference