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Karen Sprowal, Class Size Matters Feb. 11, 2015 HOW DOE’S PROPOSED CAPITAL PLAN WILL LEAD TO WORSE OVERCROWDING & LARGER CLASSES IN D20
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D20 ES & MS buildings are over-utilized and are FAR above the citywide average *Calculated by dividing building enrollment by the target capacity Source: 2013-2014 DOE Blue Book
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26 ES and MS buildings above 100% in D20 5,088 seats needed to reduce building utilization to 100% Source: 2013-2014 DOE Blue Book
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18 Brooklyn High Schools Above 100% 8,732 HS seats needed to reduce building utilization rate to 100% Source: 2013-2014 DOE Blue Book
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Capital plan has 1/3 of the seats in D20 just to address future enrollment K-8 of projected additional 12,723 students– nothing to alleviate current overcrowding *Does not include 4,900 seat as yet unsited and undetermined location and/or grade level seats **Estimated Total Added Enrollment= Averaged DOE Enrollment Projections + Housing Starts Estimated Growth
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Brooklyn HS Enrollment Projections of 5,569 but NO seats in Capital Plan to address need *Does not include 4,900 seat as yet unsited and undetermined location and/or grade level seats **Estimated Total Added Enrollment= Averaged DOE Enrollment Projections + Housing Starts Estimated Growth
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Citywide capital plan has 1/3 seats just to address projected K-8 enrollment increases of more than 84,000 students *Statistical Forecasting does not include D75 students; K-8 Seats in Capital Plan are categorized as Small PS and PS/IS and includes 4,900 seats for class size reduction if Bond issue passes. Source for Housing Starts: NYSCA Projected New Housing Starts 2012-2021, http://www.nycsca.org/Community/Capital PlanManagementReportsData/Housing/20 12-21HousingWebChart.pdf; Projected public school ratio, https://data.cityofnewyork.us/Education/Pr ojected-Public-School-Ratio/n7ta-pz8k http://www.nycsca.org/Community/Capital PlanManagementReportsData/Housing/20 12-21HousingWebChart.pdf https://data.cityofnewyork.us/Education/Pr ojected-Public-School-Ratio/n7ta-pz8k *Does not include 4,900 seat as yet unsited and undetermined location and/or grade level seats **Estimated Total Added Enrollment= Averaged DOE Enrollment Projections + Housing Starts Estimated Growth
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Citywide capital plan has one tenth of seats needed just to address projected HS enrollment increases of more than 32,000 students *Statistical Forecasting does not include D75 students; HS Seats in Capital Plan are categorized as IS/HS and does not include seats for class size reduction Source for Housing Starts: NYSCA Projected New Housing Starts 2012-2021, http://www.nycsca.org/Community/CapitalPlan ManagementReportsData/Housing/2012- 21HousingWebChart.pdf; Projected public school ratio, https://data.cityofnewyork.us/Education/Projec ted-Public-School-Ratio/n7ta-pz8k http://www.nycsca.org/Community/CapitalPlan ManagementReportsData/Housing/2012- 21HousingWebChart.pdf https://data.cityofnewyork.us/Education/Projec ted-Public-School-Ratio/n7ta-pz8k *Does not include 4,900 seat as yet unsited and undetermined location and/or grade level seats **Estimated Total Added Enrollment= Averaged DOE Enrollment Projections + Housing Starts Estimated Growth
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These estimates Do NOT include the following: Do not include 4900 seats added last Feb still undetermined as to district and/or grade level. Do not include need to address neighborhood overcrowding; Do not include need to eliminate Kindergarten wait lists; Do not include expanded preK or reduced class size; Do not include need to eliminate trailers; Do not include schools regaining lost cluster rooms and/or space for students with disabilities to receive their mandated services.
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TCUs in District 20 Latest TCU report from 2013-2014 showed 1 TCUs with 2 classrooms at PS 112, and 3 TCUs with 6 classrooms at PS 179. These included 4 Kindergarten classes at PS 179 with class sizes of 25 but in units/rooms with capacity of 16 and two Pre-K classrooms. There is one first grade class at PS 112 class with class sizes of 25 in units/rooms with a capacity of 20 and one kindergarten class with a capacity of 16 but a combined enrollment of 50. None of these TCUs have an identified removal plan according to Nov. 2014 cap plan.
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This doesn’t include at least 32,000 seats currently needed to bring down to 100% in districts averaging over 100%- including in D20 *These figures are the difference between capacity & enrollment in the organizational target # in 2013-2014 Blue Book Source: 2013-2014 DOE “Blue Book”
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Reducing class size #1 priority of parents citywide and tied for #1 in D20 Data Source: 2014 NYC School Survey Results
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Citywide class size trends this fall This fall, citywide class sizes increased an average one tenth of a student per class, according to the DOE. In K-3, our calculations show class sizes decreased slightly from 24.9 to 24.7 but at this rate would take 24 years to reach C4E goals of 20 students per class. In 4-8 th, average dropped slightly from 26/8 to 26.7 & would take 30 years to reach C4E goals of 23 students per class. In HS, average class size increased from 26.7 to 26.8 students – it trend continues, would never reach C4E goals of 25.
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Data sources: DOE Class Size Reports 2006-2014, 2008 DOE Contracts for Excellence Approved Plan Class sizes in D20 in K-3 have increased by 24.1% since 2006 are far above city averages.
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Data sources: DOE Class Size Reports 2006-2014, 2008 DOE Contracts for Excellence Approved Plan Class sizes in D20 in grades 4-8 have increased by 4.8% since 2007 and are far above city averages.
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Class sizes city-wide increased in core HS classes this year and up 2.6% since 2007 *DOE’s class size data is unreliable & their methodology for calculating HS averages have changed year to year Data sources: DOE Class Size Reports 2006-2014, 2008 DOE Contracts for Excellence Approved Plan
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Examples of schools in D20 with large class sizes, K-3 Data source: November 2014 DOE Class Size Report
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Other ways city has encouraged class size increases In 2010, the DOE eliminated the early grade class size reduction funding for K-3, despite promising to keep it as part of its C4E plan. In 2011, the DOE refused to comply with a side agreement with the UFT to cap class sizes at 28 in grades 1-3, leading to sharp increases in these grades to 30 or more. Co-locations have made overcrowding worse, and taken space that instead could have been used to reduce class size. When principals try to lower class size, particularly in middle or high schools, DOE often sends them more students.
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More ways DOE has worked to increase class size in its C4E plan DOE has cut school budgets by 14% since 2007. DOE failed to allocate ANY funds specifically towards class size reduction in its targeted or citywide C4E allocations. DOE allows principals to use C4E funds to “Minimize growth of class size,” which is not lowering class size DOE has never aligned its capital plan to smaller classes, as required by state C4E regs. The current “Blue Book” formula would tend to force class sizes higher especially in grades 4-12.
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Bill de Blasio promised to reduce class size while running for Mayor During his campaign, Mayor de Blasio promised if elected to abide by the city’s original class size plan approved by the state in 2007. The Mayor needs to deliver on his promise and provide what NYC parents want and their children need. He also needs to expand the capital plan to alleviate school overcrowding, end ALL co-locations, and build more schools!
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What can you do? Urge Chancellor and your City Councilmembers to expand capital plan and reduce class size. City Council votes on capital plan every June; This year they should refuse to approve the capital plan until it is significantly improved. Will you help us urge them to do so by sending a letter to the Mayor? Please sign up for our newsletter to be kept up to date on this issue.
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Comparison of class sizes in Blue book compared to current averages & Contract for excellence goals Grade levels UFT Contract class size limits Target class sizes in "blue book" Current average class sizes C4E class Size goals How many students allowed in 500 Sq ft classroom according to NYC building code Kindergarten25202319.914 1st-3rd322025.519.925 4th-5th32282622.925 6th-8th 30 (Title I) 33 (non-Title I) 2827.422.925 HS (core classes) 343026.7*24.525 * DOE reported HS class sizes unreliable
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