1. HS2 in the East Midlands Stephen McFarlane HS2 Ltd Greater Nottingham Transport Partnership Forum 24th February 2016

2. HS2 vision: To be a catalyst for growth across Britain
HS2 vision: be a catalyst for growth across Britain
British economy growing but not fulfilling economic potential
Britain has two speed economy which leads to constraints on what it can achieve
HS2 will help deliver economic growth
Connect UK cities and towns
Allow them to grow and thrive
Give people greater opportunities in work and life
Create 10,000s of jobs[1]
Deliver wider benefits, such as upskilling rail and construction industries
HS2 will also contribute to stronger productivity in UK[2]
Britain not as productive as it should be
Less productive than other developed countries[3]
Midlands and North less productive than London[4]
Productivity is an important factor in delivering economic growth
¾ of UK GDP growth between 1998 and 2007 attributed to growth in labour productivity[5]
Sustainability of economic expansion and further progress in living standards rest on stimulating productivity growth[6]
Transport infrastructure is a key determinant of productivity[7]
Rail and road networks enhance efficiency and welfare by facilitating transactions[7]
Improvements to connectivity foster more intense economic interaction, that in turn raises productivity[8]
We aim to do much more than just build and operate a rail network

3. Over-crowding Poor connectivity in the South in the North
UK not fulfilling economic potential – constraints on growth
UK potential constrained by:
lack of connectivity / underperforming economy in Midlands/North
over-crowded transport and over-heated property market in London/South 
In Midlands and North
Cities have many resources e.g. fine universities; high tech manufacturers
But resources constrained by lack of connectivity
Longer distance rail network is slow compared to car journeys, with relatively low frequency[9]
Many routes have inadequate capacity to cater for current passenger demand[9]
Strategic Road Network between cities is congested, which leads to
extended journey times
day-to-day variation in travel times
significant disruption through accidents and incidents[9]
In North/Midlands, poor connectivity reduces distance that people willing to travel for work and leisure
In London / South East
Is engine of British economy
But its transport, housing, health and education systems struggling to keep up with growing population
In 2014, average house price in London three times higher than north west (£594,000 vs £201,000)[10]
This causes difficulties for many people, especially families and key workers (like teachers and nurses)
Need to better connect London, Midlands and North so people and businesses can realise potential
Over-crowding Poor connectivity
in the South in the North

4. Rail demand continues to rise
Growing population UK’s expected to rise by ~10m over next 25 yrs[11]
Rail passenger trips More than doubled since mid-1990s to over1.5bn[12]
West Coast Main Line full[13] Line is full over key route sections
Midlands & East Coast lines can’t carry more services
City-to-city connections Urban population predicted to rise to 14m by 2050[14]
Many commuters have to stand for entire journeys[15]
Rail freight volumes To be 20% higher than current levels by 2030[16]
Traffic on strategic roads To grow quicker than additional capacity to road[17] network
But Rail network is old and not fit for modern use
Was built by the Victorians 
No major railway in England been built north of London for over 120 years
Railways carry inter-city, local and freight services all on the same lines – so problems on one service affects all other services
Delays are common
On the West Coast Main Line, 15% of trains regularly run more than 10 minutes late, even after a recent £9bn upgrade[18]
Journeys are uncomfortable and unreliable
In short, we need to invest in our transport infrastructure – doing nothing is not an option
Rail demand continues to rise

5. HS2: a strategic transformation
Phase Two
Stations:
East Midlands Hub
Sheffield
Leeds
Crewe
Manchester Piccadilly
Manchester Airport
HS2 is the strategic answer to these challenges
HS2 will address capacity challenges
Each train will have up to 1,100 seats[19]
Expected to carry over 300,000 people every day[20]
Will increase capacity on overall rail network by ~20,000 passenger seats per hour[21]
Will free up extra capacity for local passenger services on existing route[22]
Better passenger experiences on local and commuter services (as well as HS2)
Additional capacity for freight
DfT, Network Rail and HS2 Ltd indicate between additional paths[23]
Reduces traffic on roads
Estimated 500,000 HGV lorries would be taken off our motorways each year as more freight travels by train[24]
In addition to the HS2 service, there will be more space on the existing rail network and on the roads, meaning more people are able to travel, and travel in general will be more comfortable
Phase One
Stations:
Euston
Old Oak Common
Birmingham Interchange
Birmingham Curzon Street

6. HS2: a local transformation
Nottingham University, Jubilee Campus

7. Journey times from East Midlands Hub
Journeys that are currently time-consuming, unreliable and uncomfortable will be fast, frequent and stress-free on HS2

8. Catalyst for wider transport debate

9. Delivering and operating HS2 will realise wider benefits across the country

10. Upskilling the rail and construction industries

11. HS2 Timeline

12. Momentum 2016: 2017: Spring: Phase one House of Commons Third Reading
Autumn: Phase Two route decision
End of year: Royal Assent Phase One Bill
2017:
Award of Main Civils Contracts
Start of enabling works
Deposit of Phase 2a Hybrid Bill

13. Thank you