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RiversidePublicUtilities.com Arts & Innovation RiversidePublicUtilities.com Overview of RPU 2014 Power Supply Integrated Resource Plan RPU Power Resources.

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Presentation on theme: "RiversidePublicUtilities.com Arts & Innovation RiversidePublicUtilities.com Overview of RPU 2014 Power Supply Integrated Resource Plan RPU Power Resources."— Presentation transcript:

1 RiversidePublicUtilities.com Arts & Innovation RiversidePublicUtilities.com Overview of RPU 2014 Power Supply Integrated Resource Plan RPU Power Resources Division April 18, 2016 CEC IRP Workshop (Docket #16-OIR-01) Summary overview of the 2014 RPU Power Supply IRP

2 RiversidePublicUtilities.com RPU’s most recent IRP was produced in 2014. It is a comprehensive IRP that was designed to meet the following five objectives: 1. Provide an overview (background material) of our – 20-year forward energy & peak demand forecasts – Current generation and transmission resources – Existing electric system 2. Review & assess critical legislative/regulatory mandates & CAISO stakeholder initiatives – CEC, CARB, EPA, SCAQMD (RPS, GHG, EE and Air Quality) – Various CAISO initiatives (FRAC/MOO, EIM, ISO/CPUC JRF, FERC Order 764, etc.) 3. Summarize and assess effectiveness of our current EE/DSM programs 4. Quantify and discuss intermediate-term (5-year forward) power resource forecasts – Projected capacity and RA needs – Renewable energy and RPS mandates – GHG goals and mandates – Cash-flow risk metrics (hedging assessment) – Power resource budget forecasts 2

3 RiversidePublicUtilities.com 2014 IRP objectives: continued 5. Examine and analyze long-term (20-year forward) issues & decisions, and quantify preliminary, load-normalized Cost-of-Service (COS LN ) impacts for various future scenarios – Projected load growth impacts (including EE impacts on load growth) – Critical intermediate- and long-term budgetary issues – Market price shock impacts (sensitivity analyses) – Uncertain IPP coal contract termination date: timing impacts – Potential IPP coal replacement options (both natural gas and renewable options) – Impacts for changes in RPS mandates (including 40% and 50% 2030 mandates) – Trends in (and impacts from) increasing customer solar PV installations – Preliminary assessment of key future market paradigms; such as Energy Storage, new DSM options, Electric Vehicles, etc. 3

4 RiversidePublicUtilities.com IRP Process: Background Information 4 Process / ActivityTime Period IRP Pre-planning activities w/internal & external stakeholdersAug-Sept 2013 Initial IRP studies / simulations & drafting of initial documentOct-2013 to May 2014 External review of initial draft IRP (outside independent consultant)Jun-Jul 2014 Revised IRP studies / additional analysesAug-Oct 2014 Document revisions, additions & updatesSep-Dec 2014 Presentation to Public Utilities BoardFeb 2015 Public 60 day review processMar-Apr 2015 Official adoption of 2014 IRP (Public Utilities Board)June 4, 2015 Official adoption of 2014 IRP (City Council)July 28, 2015

5 RiversidePublicUtilities.com IRP: Document Overview & Organization 14 Chapters, 6 Appendices, ~ 300 pages All analyses were produced internally (Power Resources Division - Planning & Analytics Unit). All written material produced internally, except for Appendix A (PCM software documentation). 2014 IRP Document is publically available on the RPU Website. Document Organization: – ES & Ch.14 present high-level & detailed summaries, respectively – Background material: Ch.2 (Load Forecasting), Ch.3 (Portfolio Resources), Ch.4 (RPU Distribution System), Appendix A (Ascend Software) – Legislative & Regulatory Issues: Ch.5 – EE/DSM Programs: Ch.6 – Market Outlook: Ch.7 – 5-Year forward Forecasts: Ch.8 – 20-Year forward Forecasts: Ch.9 & Ch.10 – IPP Replacement Options: Ch.11 – Higher RPS Mandates: Ch.12 – New Paradigms: Ch.13 (Energy storage, new DSM/DR programs, Customer DG-PV, and Vehicle Electrification) – Additional Technical Details: Appendices B - F 5

6 RiversidePublicUtilities.com RPU IRP Guiding Principles (for selecting new Generation Assets, Contracts, or Demand Side resources) Will the new generation asset, contract, or demand side resource – Help RPU ensure wholesale and/or retail price stability? – Maintain or improve technology diversification within our portfolio of resources? – Support/improve our local or system reliability needs? – Meet our cost effectiveness criteria? – Properly align with RPU’s daily and/or seasonal load serving needs? – Reduce our Carbon footprint and/or increase our renewable energy supply? – Support our commitment to environmental stewardship? 6

7 RiversidePublicUtilities.com RPU Progress (towards California RPS, EE, and GHG climate targets) 7 RPU has significantly increased the percentage of renewable energy assets in our resource portfolio. Over the last four years, RPU has signed Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) for 7 new or existing renewable energy projects – projects that will deliver over 500,000 MWh annually of new renewable into our portfolio by 2017. – Projected RPS levels: 2016 [29.8%] 2018 [34.9%] 2020 [41.8%] RPU successfully met the kWh savings goal of 1% of retail sales in FY 14/15 as adopted by our Board of Public Utilities. During FY 14/15, RPU assisted its customers in saving a total of over 20,000 MWh of electricity. RPU continuously strives to reduce our carbon footprint and is actively planning for a future resource portfolio that is coal free. Our audited 2014 CO2 emissions were 865,369 tons, over 200,000 tons below our 2014 CARB allocation of 1,068,000 tons of emission credits.

8 RiversidePublicUtilities.com SB-350 IRP Requirements analyzed and/or addressed in RPU’s 2014 IRP SB 350 IRP RequirementRPU’s 2014 IRP Section(s) GHG Reduction1.2 / 5.1.2 / 8.7 50% RPS3.4 / 8.2 / 9.2 / 10.3 / 11.2.3 / 12 Reasonable Rates1.2 Bill Impacts1.2 / 8.5 / 8.6 / 10.6 System and Local Reliability8.1 / 8.1.2 / 9.1 Transmission and Distribution Systems3.2 / 3.3 / 4 / 5.2 Distribution Systems & DSM13.3 Local Air Pollutants & GHG8.7 Energy Efficiency5.1.6 / 6 / 13.3 Energy Storage5.1.5 / 13.2 Transportation Electrification13.5 Diversified Resource Procurement3.1 / 3.4 / 8.3 / 9.2 / 10 / 11 / 12 / 13 Resource Adequacy8.1 / 9.1 Response to Commissioner Scott Request: RPU has not yet determined exactly how we will incorporate transportation electrification into our 2018 IRP. (Note: it definitely will be addressed.) Our 2014 IRP discusses this topic in section 13.5, primarily from a future planning perspective for potential impacts. As of Feb 2016, the RPU service area only has ~ 450 BEV & PHEV (Source: CVRP Rebate statistics).

9 RiversidePublicUtilities.com Summary & Q/A RPU staff already create a comprehensive IRP document that addresses (nearly) all SB-350 requirements, including all critical CA energy and environment policies. CEC guidelines should be flexible. For example, allow a POU to submit a brief “SB-350 Index report” that directs CEC staff to the specific IRP sections that already address each requirement. CEC should recognize that many mid-size POUs do not produce new or “updated” IRPs every year. Example: RPU is on a 4-year cycle; next IRP will be issued in 2018. (Many other CEC filings can be used to track progress, such as our RPS compliance reports, SB 1037 report, SB1 Solar report, IEPR-S2 filing, IEPR Form 4 report, etc.) 9


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